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BK Ogre vs Rigas Zelli Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2026
Meetings · BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli
18 Dec 2026
BK O v RZE
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
BK O65
RZE87
22 Jan 2025
BK O76
RZE72
29 Dec 2023
BK O75
RZE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 79
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 79
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 79
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 79
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 79
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 79
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 79
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 79
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
77avg 83
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
53avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
103-70
103
70
+33
107avg 83
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 83
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 83
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
81-105
81
105
-24
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
21-20
20-14
24-19
20-16
20-29
16-21
19-27
9-23
25-18
27-21
26-14
25-17
17-21
22-14
23-19
17-17
21-18
24-20
22-35
26-14
27-18
13-10
9-19
16-24
21-15
21-16
32-12
18-23
14-28
18-35
20-25
29-17
28-18
29-12
21-22
15-20
163.4Avg total
84.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.774.1167.8+19.6100%
Season at home (5)96.672.4169.0+24.2100%
Season away (4)90.076.2166.2+13.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.479.0163.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)84.880.2165.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.391.2171.5-10.817%
vs Similar (8)84.984.6169.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.677.1168.8+14.594%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
BK OgreRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
44.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.385.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.838.184.9+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.585.3+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.882.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.081.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.287.2-3.267%-
vs Similar (8)43.142.986.0+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.637.283.8+9.488%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
68.3%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
Rigas Zelli
WLWLWWWLWW
#10
League position
#1
-2.5
Net rating
+9.4
100.7
Offensive rating
98.8
103.2
Defensive rating
89.4
56.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.0%
3-point %
36.0%
53.8%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 98.8Defence103.2 · 89.4Shooting56.7% · 54.9%3-point %37.0% · 36.0%Ball care14.9% · 15.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BK Ogre wins
5
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre110-85
18/02/26Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre90-83
05/11/25BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli65-87
22/01/25BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli76-72
26/10/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre88-71
27/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre75-83
29/12/23BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli75-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HViimsi93-72
11/11/26AAris81-105
07/11/26HTal Tech92-66
04/11/26HLe Mans65-71
31/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-87
28/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-71
24/10/26HKeila KK103-70
21/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem64-100
17/10/26HBK Liepaja85-69
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.796.690.0
Allowed / game74.172.476.2
Point differential+19.6+24.2+13.8
Avg total167.8169.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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