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BK Ogre vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-87
22-20 14-21 16-24 23-22
Position#7
Record9-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#6
Record11-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2023
Meetings · BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli
18 Dec 2026
BK O v RZE
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
BK O65
RZE87
22 Jan 2025
BK O76
RZE72
29 Dec 2023
BK O75
RZE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
69avg 79
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
56avg 79
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
86avg 79
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 79
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 79
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 79
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 79
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
88avg 79
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
79avg 79
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 79
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
14-22
26-21
20-19
29-16
16-20
6-21
14-23
19-9
22-22
24-19
29-23
29-18
15-24
25-19
16-15
13-24
13-31
14-27
11-24
28-15
13-18
22-17
25-21
25-21
22-15
29-20
25-17
22-17
23-20
23-24
25-29
15-23
28-17
13-23
22-21
30-13
22-21
18-15
23-23
162.4Avg total
81.9Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.577.4158.9+4.160%
Season at home (7)83.175.6158.7+7.657%
Season away (8)80.179.0159.1+1.162%
Last 10 (10)81.980.5162.4+1.460%
Last 5 (5)90.678.0168.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.885.0153.8-16.217%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.284.6165.8-3.438%
vs Weaker (11)89.371.4160.6+17.982%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 73
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 73
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-78
87
78
+9
72avg 73
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 73
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 73
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-73
65
73
-8
53avg 73
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 73
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
68avg 73
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 73
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 73
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-26
20-21
19-29
14-12
32-16
21-16
21-15
25-11
22-20
19-25
21-22
28-20
21-17
17-20
8-22
19-29
20-16
25-15
21-21
17-20
15-14
13-24
20-15
27-18
28-12
14-16
20-22
18-17
27-18
14-24
14-14
18-17
18-22
18-16
17-20
24-27
29-18
11-26
29-15
158.7Avg total
81.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.971.4151.3+8.565%
Season at home (9)83.169.4152.6+13.789%
Season away (8)76.273.6149.9+2.638%
Last 10 (10)81.277.5158.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)79.877.2157.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.081.5158.5-4.525%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.574.5147.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (11)82.367.2149.5+15.182%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
BK OgreRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
79.3Avg total
40.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.483.7+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.440.381.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.479.3+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.081.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.242.578.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.143.387.4+0.854%-
vs Weaker (11)43.735.779.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
80.8Avg total
44.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.233.673.8+6.559%-
Last 30 at home (9)38.233.872.0+4.444%-
Last 30 away (8)42.433.575.9+8.975%-
Last 10 (10)44.236.680.8+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.680.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.240.080.2+0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.534.570.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (11)41.031.272.2+9.873%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.2
51.6%
50.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.2
36.8%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
72.9%
70.5%13.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
50.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
32.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.513.7
66.8%
70.5%13.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
WLWWWLWWLL
Rigas Zelli
WLLWLWLWWL
#7
League position
#6
+1.1
Net rating
+3.6
107.6
Offensive rating
103.2
106.5
Defensive rating
99.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
33.3%
64.6%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 103.2Defence106.5 · 99.6Shooting52.8% · 49.1%3-point %36.8% · 33.3%Ball care20.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BK Ogre wins
0
Rigas Zelli wins
No previous meetings.
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HParnu93-72
08/12/23AVentspils78-84
02/12/23ATal Tech93-90
25/11/23HTallinna Kalev101-73
15/11/23HViimsi88-71
10/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
04/11/23APrometey85-76
27/10/23AValmiera Glass Via94-73
21/10/23HTartu Ulikool65-80
18/10/23AKeila KK71-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/23HVEF Riga93-86
23/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-75
12/12/23ABK Liepaja81-84 OT
05/12/23ARapla89-68
02/12/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-73
25/11/23HParnu85-81
22/11/23AViimsi74-79
18/11/23HValmiera Glass Via87-78
15/11/23ALatvijas Universitate88-59
10/11/23APrometey79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%57%62%
Points / game81.583.180.1
Allowed / game77.475.679.0
Point differential+4.1+7.6+1.1
Avg total158.9158.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW65%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%89%38%
Points / game79.983.176.2
Allowed / game71.469.473.6
Point differential+8.5+13.7+2.6
Avg total151.3152.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1514193%88.969.3+19.6
2 Prometey1312192%92.868.2+24.6
3 Ventspils1410471%90.684.1+6.5
4 VEF Riga1611569%85.970.7+15.2
5 Tartu Ulikool1611569%77.871.4+6.4
6 Rigas Zelli1711665%79.971.4+8.5
7 BK Ogre159660%81.577.4+4.1
8 Tal Tech158753%79.179.1+0.0
9 BK Liepaja158753%80.280.3-0.1
10 Keila KK1771041%79.784.4-4.7
11 Parnu1661038%76.177.9-1.8
12 Rapla1761135%74.578.3-3.8
13 Viimsi1751229%69.585.2-15.7
14 Valmiera Glass Via1741324%74.885.8-11.1
15 Latvijas Universitate1831517%68.385.6-17.3
16 Tallinna Kalev1621412%68.287.9-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2214162375
Rigas Zelli2021242287
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