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BK Ogre vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-72
25-20 17-21 19-15 15-16
Position#5
Record11-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.5
BK Ogre 🏆
vs
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Ogres
Other2024
Meetings · BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli
18 Dec 2026
BK O v RZE
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
BK O65
RZE87
22 Jan 2025
BK O76
RZE72
29 Dec 2023
BK O75
RZE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
68-66
68
66
+2
60avg 76
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 76
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
71-57
71
57
+14
70avg 76
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
125-73
125
73
+52
no box
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 76
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
52avg 76
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
95avg 76
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 76
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
54avg 76
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 76
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
12-19
9-14
24-14
24-15
27-24
25-20
19-22
25-22
23-13
6-12
17-10
32-18
32-14
36-26
25-15
26-17
18-21
18-26
23-18
13-19
10-18
14-28
22-16
19-19
30-22
24-26
26-24
15-14
23-33
13-12
21-16
17-18
19-23
12-12
21-25
14-16
27-19
13-28
26-24
159.4Avg total
82.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.378.5158.8+1.758%
Season at home (9)81.178.7159.8+2.467%
Season away (10)79.578.4157.9+1.150%
Last 10 (10)82.377.1159.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)75.882.4158.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.887.1160.9-13.40%
vs Similar (6)82.774.5157.2+8.283%
vs Weaker (15)81.879.7161.5+2.153%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
67avg 76
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
89-42
89
42
+47
87avg 76
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
82-62
82
62
+20
78avg 76
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
87-51
87
51
+36
84avg 76
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Vef Riga Skola
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A22/12
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
79-65
79
65
+14
74avg 76
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
55avg 76
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
92-62
92
62
+30
96avg 76
A11/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
87-59
87
59
+28
88avg 76
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
89avg 76
H18/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
12-17
22-20
16-10
15-12
28-9
27-13
19-8
21-12
29-10
17-20
15-20
25-11
20-11
17-14
25-15
19-20
20-18
18-7
24-12
26-15
23-11
10-19
20-20
17-14
18-31
17-13
15-21
27-14
18-17
31-14
16-17
17-16
19-25
17-11
34-7
30-24
19-13
20-20
22-12
143.2Avg total
82.8Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.569.0152.5+14.580%
Season at home (10)83.269.0152.2+14.2100%
Season away (10)83.869.0152.8+14.860%
Last 10 (10)82.860.4143.2+22.490%
Last 5 (5)83.266.8150.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.479.4152.8-6.020%
vs Similar (5)83.675.8159.4+7.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.867.1151.8+17.784%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +6.4+6.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +6.4+6.4
BK OgreRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BS Ogre
#15
W
64-32
64
32
+32
A21/12
Latvian Cup
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A11/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
81.2Avg total
42.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.181.9+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.481.2+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)41.840.882.6+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.381.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.642.479.0-5.838%-
vs Similar (6)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
vs Weaker (15)42.740.783.4+1.953%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Vef Riga Skola
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/12
Latvian Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H18/01
Latvian Cup
73.7Avg total
42.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.435.777.1+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.936.277.1+4.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.631.173.7+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.078.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.038.875.8-1.820%-
vs Similar (5)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.333.876.1+8.568%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.9
47.6%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.6
37.1%
32.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.413.2
71.7%
70.6%13.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.8
50.0%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.6
32.0%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.511.1
67.3%
70.6%11.1
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BK Ogre
LLLWLWWWWW
Rigas Zelli
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+25.2
106.1
Offensive rating
104.8
106.1
Defensive rating
79.6
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
38.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.1%
3-point %
32.0%
65.1%
Assist %
71.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 104.8Defence106.1 · 79.6Shooting51.2% · 49.1%3-point %37.1% · 32.0%Ball care17.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 28.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ BK Ogre   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BK Ogre wins
2
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre88-71
27/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Ogre75-83
29/12/23BK Ogre v Rigas Zelli75-87
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo80-87
18/01/25HBK Liepaja69-78
11/01/25ABK Liepaja72-75
08/01/25HKeila KK99-91
04/01/25HVEF Riga59-81
29/12/24HKeila Coolbet85-82
21/12/24ABS Ogre125-73
18/12/24HRapla71-57
13/12/24AVentspils95-81
06/12/24ATartu Ulikool68-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HLatvijas Universitate91-69
15/01/25HLatvijas Universitate87-59
11/01/25ALatvijas Universitate92-62
04/01/25ABC Kalev/Cramo67-79
28/12/24HTartu Ulikool79-65
22/12/24AVef Riga Skola81-57
18/12/24AParnu87-51
14/12/24HTal Tech82-62
10/12/24AKeila KK89-42
07/12/24HRapla73-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL58%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game80.381.179.5
Allowed / game78.578.778.4
Point differential+1.7+2.4+1.1
Avg total158.8159.8157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game83.583.283.8
Allowed / game69.069.069.0
Point differential+14.5+14.2+14.8
Avg total152.5152.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1715288%81.867.3+14.5
2 Rigas Zelli2016480%83.569.0+14.5
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1814478%86.773.1+13.6
4 Valmiera Glass Via1913668%82.674.4+8.3
5 Tartu Ulikool1913668%82.480.5+1.9
6 BK Ogre1911858%80.378.5+1.7
7 BK Liepaja189950%79.880.2-0.4
8 Rapla1991047%79.881.6-1.8
9 Parnu2091145%81.280.5+0.8
10 Tal Tech2091145%78.382.6-4.2
11 Ventspils1881044%88.187.3+0.8
12 Keila Coolbet1871139%79.882.4-2.6
13 Viimsi1941521%71.883.5-11.7
14 Keila KK1821611%71.691.8-20.2
15 Latvijas Universitate2021810%70.584.5-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BK Ogre2517191576
Rigas Zelli2021151672
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