Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 74-63

21-16 12-12 27-13 14-22

Position#6

Record10-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game76.2

Rapla 🏆

Tallinna Kalev

Position#14

Record3-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game81.4

Latvia-Estonian League

Other2022

Meetings · Rapla v Tallinna Kalev

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tallinna Kalev winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

77-62

+15

H19/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

81-66

+15

A26/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

67-59

H29/11

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

81-71

+10

H03/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

107-76

107

+31

A10/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

51-73

-22

A13/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

71-69

A22/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

74-82

-8

A23/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

73-95

-22

H28/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

75-92

-17

A07/01

Latvia-Estonian League

22-12

17-14

21-24

17-12

27-15

9-19

17-15

28-17

10-18

18-14

20-14

19-13

26-15

18-15

20-28

17-13

35-20

31-19

18-18

23-19

18-18

14-21

6-21

13-13

23-19

17-14

17-17

14-19

19-19

24-26

18-15

13-22

24-21

16-29

14-32

19-13

21-28

25-16

9-32

20-16

150.2Avg total

75.7Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.4	76.2	152.7	+0.2	56%
Season at home (8)	77.0	73.5	150.5	+3.5	62%
Season away (10)	76.0	78.4	154.4	-2.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	74.5	150.2	+1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	82.2	151.0	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	73.2	82.8	156.0	-9.7	17%
vs Similar (7)	72.0	79.3	151.3	-7.3	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	81.5	71.3	152.7	+10.2	91%

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#10

83-78

A02/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

74-83

-9

H18/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

76-75

H26/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

77-91

-14

A03/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

78-82

-4

H07/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

56-63

-7

H10/12

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

60-93

-33

A13/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

62-97

-35

H21/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

81-92

-11

H28/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

72-78

-6

H06/01

Latvia-Estonian League

31-19

25-15

14-25

13-19

18-28

21-18

19-19

16-18

13-20

19-18

22-16

22-21

15-17

18-25

20-27

24-22

18-24

17-22

13-23

30-13

11-14

16-13

10-17

19-19

13-19

18-24

15-23

14-27

18-26

20-24

12-24

12-23

25-21

24-28

16-20

16-23

19-20

11-24

21-18

21-16

155.1Avg total

71.9Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.4	81.4	154.8	-7.9	19%
Season at home (9)	73.0	80.1	153.1	-7.1	22%
Season away (7)	74.0	83.0	157.0	-9.0	14%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	83.2	155.1	-11.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.2	84.6	150.8	-18.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	72.9	86.3	159.2	-13.4	19%
vs Similar (7)	79.1	78.3	157.4	+0.9	43%
vs Weaker (2)	82.5	80.0	162.5	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RaplaTallinna Kalev

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	19.5	40.2	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.4	20.4	42.9	+2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.6	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.5	40.1	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.1	21.3	38.5	-4.2	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	14.0	29.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	18.6	37.2	-0.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.1	24.0	43.1	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.7	17.9	33.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.0	22.6	41.7	-3.6	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.4	17.4	37.9	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-

RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#13

39-26

+13

H19/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

36-34

A26/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

28-32

-4

H29/11

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

44-30

+14

H03/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

66-39

+27

A10/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

32-39

-7

A13/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Liepaja

#11

40-33

A22/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Ventspils

43-45

-2

A23/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

40-50

-10

H28/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

46-44

A07/01

Latvia-Estonian League

78.6Avg total

41.4Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.0	78.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.4	37.7	74.1	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	41.8	82.4	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.2	82.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.0	44.1	81.1	-7.1	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.1	36.6	77.7	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#10

56-34

+22

A02/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Prometey

39-46

-7

H18/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Latvijas Universitate

#13

32-38

-6

H26/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Valmiera Glass Via

#15

33-42

-9

A03/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Keila KK

#12

35-46

-11

H07/12

Latvia-Estonian League

BK Ogre

27-27

H10/12

Latvia-Estonian League

VEF Riga

31-43

-12

A13/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Parnu

38-50

-12

H21/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Viimsi

49-49

H28/12

Latvia-Estonian League

Tartu Ulikool

30-44

-14

H06/01

Latvia-Estonian League

78.9Avg total

37.0Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.2	79.5	-5.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.8	40.1	77.9	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	44.6	81.2	-8.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	41.9	78.9	-4.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	42.6	77.6	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.2	44.0	80.1	-7.8	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.4	38.4	78.9	+2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.9	37.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.6	18.5	34.1	-2.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.8	23.4	36.2	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.4	20.1	36.5	-3.7	42%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.9	22.7	37.6	-7.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.5	17.8	37.3	+1.6	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.9	41.9	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	21.2	37.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	20.4	35.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.1	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	15.7	34.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	58%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.1	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	37.8	74.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.9	38.1	73.0	-3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	37.3	71.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	40.0	68.6	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.2	38.8	74.9	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	33.9	41.0	74.9	-7.1	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	40.4	34.6	75.0	+5.7	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	41.5	78.8	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	38.9	76.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	44.4	81.5	-7.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	41.3	76.2	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	42.0	73.2	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.1	41.9	78.0	-5.8	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	39.9	78.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	42.5	88.0	+3.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rapla wins

Tallinna Kalev wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/22	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	90-73
08/04/22	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	84-64
26/03/22	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	64-78
30/10/21	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	87-96
14/04/21	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	96-88
01/04/21	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	72-87
13/02/21	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	81-71
13/01/21	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	83-85
21/11/20	Tallinna Kalev v Rapla	83-89
24/10/20	Rapla v Tallinna Kalev	92-76

Raplalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/23	A	BK Ogre	75-92
28/12/22	H	Prometey	73-95
23/12/22	A	Ventspils	74-82
22/12/22	A	BK Liepaja	71-69
13/12/22	A	Tartu Ulikool	51-73
10/12/22	A	Valmiera Glass Via	107-76
03/12/22	H	BK Ogre	81-71
29/11/22	H	Keila KK	67-59
26/11/22	A	Parnu	81-66
19/11/22	H	Latvijas Universitate	77-62

Tallinna Kalevlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/23	H	Tartu Ulikool	72-78
28/12/22	H	Viimsi	81-92
21/12/22	H	Parnu	62-97
13/12/22	A	VEF Riga	60-93
10/12/22	H	BK Ogre	56-63
07/12/22	H	Keila KK	78-82
03/12/22	A	Valmiera Glass Via	77-91
26/11/22	H	Latvijas Universitate	76-75
18/11/22	H	Prometey	74-83
02/11/22	A	Tal Tech	83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	56%
Home	LWWWL	62%
Away	WLWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	56%	62%	50%
Points / game	76.4	77.0	76.0
Allowed / game	76.2	73.5	78.4
Point differential	+0.2	+3.5	-2.4
Avg total	152.7	150.5	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tallinna Kalev

Latvia-Estonian League 2022

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LLLLL	22%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	19%	22%	14%
Points / game	73.4	73.0	74.0
Allowed / game	81.4	80.1	83.0
Point differential	-7.9	-7.1	-9.0
Avg total	154.8	153.1	157.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	50% (2)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Prometey	18	17	1	94%	96.4	72.0	+24.4
2	VEF Riga	19	16	3	84%	86.1	68.8	+17.3
3	BC Kalev/Cramo	14	11	3	79%	87.2	73.1	+14.1
4	Tartu Ulikool	17	13	4	76%	83.3	77.4	+5.9
5	Ventspils	17	10	7	59%	85.1	80.8	+4.3
6	Viimsi	16	9	7	56%	80.7	80.4	+0.2
7	BK Ogre	18	10	8	56%	77.6	77.3	+0.2
8	Rapla	18	10	8	56%	76.4	76.2	+0.2
9	Parnu	15	7	8	47%	81.4	77.7	+3.7
10	Latvijas Universitate	18	7	11	39%	76.2	76.6	-0.4
11	BK Liepaja	18	7	11	39%	80.3	83.8	-3.5
12	Keila KK	17	6	11	35%	80.4	87.6	-7.2
13	Tal Tech	15	4	11	27%	75.6	83.7	-8.1
14	Tallinna Kalev	16	3	13	19%	73.4	81.4	-7.9
15	Valmiera Glass Via	17	3	14	18%	73.6	95.1	-21.5
16	Rakvere Tarvas	15	1	14	7%	70.5	97.1	-26.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rapla	21	12	27	14	74
Tallinna Kalev	16	12	13	22	63

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Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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