BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 98-89

30-17 23-26 24-24 21-22

Position#8

Record10-15

FormLWLLW

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game81.4

BK Ogre 🏆

Valga

Position#9

Record3-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game90.4

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · BK Ogre v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

82-71

+11

A01/02

LBL

Jurmala

84-88 OT

-4

H04/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

83-75

H08/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

81-60

+21

A15/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

79-97

-18

H18/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

64-97

-33

A22/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

72-69

A25/02

LBL

Jurmala

68-87

-19

A04/03

LBL

VEF Riga

75-84

-9

A08/03

LBL

Jekabpils

94-84

+10

H11/03

LBL

19-25

15-15

20-19

28-12

13-20

26-17

23-25

12-12

21-17

16-24

20-12

26-22

20-13

17-21

17-14

27-12

18-20

19-29

22-27

20-21

14-32

11-16

21-31

18-18

16-15

24-19

9-18

23-17

19-24

22-20

16-9

11-34

24-17

18-25

13-25

20-17

21-16

33-27

19-15

21-26

159.4Avg total

78.2Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	75.2	81.4	156.6	-6.2	40%
Season at home (11)	74.7	77.6	152.4	-2.9	55%
Season away (14)	75.6	84.3	159.9	-8.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	81.2	159.4	-3.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	84.2	158.8	-9.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	77.3	85.7	162.9	-8.4	33%
vs Similar (4)	76.2	74.8	151.0	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	68.0	64.8	132.8	+3.2	62%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

70-93

-23

A05/02

LBL

VEF Riga

75-112

112

-37

H08/02

LBL

Parnu

89-99

-10

H10/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

62-94

-32

A15/02

LBL

Audentese

108-53

108

+55

H21/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

69-85

-16

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

79-98

-19

H26/02

LBL

Tal Tech

77-102

102

-25

A01/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

70-72

-2

H07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

97-76

+21

A11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

17-32

14-23

13-14

26-24

18-33

13-26

16-22

28-31

25-22

21-22

20-20

23-35

12-18

24-28

11-34

15-14

30-9

29-8

33-15

16-21

19-24

15-19

14-28

21-14

28-26

16-19

14-24

21-29

22-34

21-17

15-28

19-23

18-19

17-20

20-15

15-18

36-19

20-30

17-13

24-14

168.0Avg total

79.6Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.6	90.4	163.9	-16.8	19%
Season at home (9)	76.0	89.8	165.8	-13.8	22%
Season away (7)	70.4	91.1	161.6	-20.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	88.4	168.0	-8.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	86.6	165.0	-8.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	73.3	87.5	160.9	-14.2	15%
vs Similar (7)	79.0	90.3	169.3	-11.3	14%
vs Weaker (3)	98.0	78.3	176.3	+19.7	67%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.9	42.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.6	23.7	43.2	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.6	46.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	24.4	49.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.0	25.1	45.1	-5.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.7	16.0	46.7	+14.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.9	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.8	38.4	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.8	22.6	40.3	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.0	36.8	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.3	21.2	39.6	-2.9	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	21.6	39.3	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	33%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

34-40

-6

A01/02

LBL

Jurmala

39-37

H04/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

37-41

-4

H08/02

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#10

37-34

A15/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

37-49

-12

H18/02

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

25-48

-23

A22/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

40-34

A25/02

LBL

Jurmala

41-44

-3

A04/03

LBL

VEF Riga

42-42

A08/03

LBL

Jekabpils

54-43

+11

H11/03

LBL

79.8Avg total

38.6Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	40.0	77.4	-2.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	37.5	76.3	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	42.1	78.3	-5.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.1	42.9	80.0	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	36.5	73.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	38.3	34.6	72.9	+3.7	71%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#10

31-55

-24

A05/02

LBL

VEF Riga

31-59

-28

H08/02

LBL

Parnu

46-44

H10/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

36-46

-10

A15/02

LBL

Audentese

59-17

+42

H21/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

34-43

-9

A24/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

44-45

-1

H26/02

LBL

Tal Tech

43-51

-8

A01/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

35-39

-4

H07/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

56-49

A11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

86.3Avg total

41.5Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.7	42.0	80.7	-3.3	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.2	45.8	84.0	-7.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	44.8	86.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.4	87.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.1	43.4	79.5	-7.2	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	45.9	84.6	-7.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.7	39.3	93.0	+14.3	67%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.3	17.9	35.1	-0.6	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.9	21.7	39.6	-3.8	22%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	21.8	40.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	39%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	17.0	33.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.4	17.3	38.7	+4.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	22.2	42.5	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.7	21.4	41.0	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	22.9	44.3	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	39.8	79.1	-0.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	37.5	77.3	+2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	41.7	80.6	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.6	77.2	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	42.0	76.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.2	42.8	82.9	-2.6	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.5	34.8	71.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	38.7	35.1	73.9	+3.6	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	43.3	81.8	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.3	42.8	81.1	-4.4	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.8	44.0	82.8	-5.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.0	43.5	80.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	44.4	84.7	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.3	39.0	83.3	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/16	Valga v BK Ogre	89-66
30/03/16	BK Ogre v Valga	74-81 OT
09/01/16	Valga v BK Ogre	98-83

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/17	H	Jekabpils	94-84
08/03/17	A	VEF Riga	75-84
04/03/17	A	Jurmala	68-87
25/02/17	A	Jekabpils	72-69
22/02/17	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	64-97
18/02/17	H	Valmiera/ORDO	79-97
15/02/17	A	Latvijas Universitate	81-60
08/02/17	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	83-75
04/02/17	H	Jurmala	84-88 OT
01/02/17	A	BK Liepaja	82-71

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/17	A	Rakvere Tarvas	97-76
07/03/17	H	Rapla	70-72
01/03/17	A	Tal Tech	77-102
26/02/17	H	Barons Kvartals	79-98
24/02/17	A	Tartu Ulikool	69-85
21/02/17	H	Audentese	108-53
15/02/17	A	Jekabpils	62-94
10/02/17	H	Parnu	89-99
08/02/17	H	VEF Riga	75-112
05/02/17	A	Latvijas Universitate	70-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	LWLLW	55%
Away	WWWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	11	14
Win %	40%	55%	29%
Points / game	75.2	74.7	75.6
Allowed / game	81.4	77.6	84.3
Point differential	-6.2	-2.9	-8.7
Avg total	156.6	152.4	159.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	18%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	9%	7%

Valga

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	LLLLL	22%
Away	WLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	19%	22%	14%
Points / game	73.6	76.0	70.4
Allowed / game	90.4	89.8	91.1
Point differential	-16.8	-13.8	-20.7
Avg total	163.9	165.8	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	24	22	2	92%	91.9	73.8	+18.1
2	VEF Riga	15	12	3	80%	84.2	72.0	+12.2
3	Valmiera/ORDO	25	16	9	64%	81.4	79.4	+2.0
4	Jekabpils	25	13	12	52%	78.0	73.8	+4.1
5	Barons Kvartals	22	11	11	50%	83.1	79.8	+3.4
6	BK Liepaja	25	12	13	48%	79.3	80.2	-0.9
7	Jurmala	27	11	16	41%	76.2	78.1	-1.9
8	BK Ogre	25	10	15	40%	75.2	81.4	-6.2
9	Latvijas Universitate	26	5	21	19%	69.5	82.9	-13.4
10	Valga	16	3	13	19%	73.6	90.4	-16.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	30	23	24	21	98
Valga	17	26	24	22	89

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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