BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 May 2018

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 85-51

22-17 20-9 17-13 26-12

Position#4

Record22-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game76.2

BK Ogre 🏆

Valga

Position#5

Record6-12

FormWLLLL

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game79.3

LBLLBL - Quarter-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · BK Ogre v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

86-88

-2

H10/03

LBL

Jekabpils

95-78

+17

A17/03

LBL

Valga

78-63

+15

A24/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

110-74

110

+36

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

76-105

105

-29

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

73-72

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

86-83

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

82-81

A21/04

LBL

Valga

94-79

+15

H25/04

LBL

Valga

93-81

+12

A29/04

LBL

31-23

22-16

16-23

17-26

29-27

23-20

22-24

21-7

25-16

25-22

18-7

10-18

18-13

37-16

30-13

25-32

28-32

16-24

14-24

18-25

19-20

19-21

18-14

17-17

27-15

16-20

17-29

26-19

17-22

26-22

19-22

20-15

30-12

22-13

19-25

23-29

26-19

26-20

13-25

28-17

167.7Avg total

87.3Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	84.1	76.2	160.3	+7.8	71%
Season at home (16)	83.8	75.1	158.9	+8.7	69%
Season away (15)	84.3	77.4	161.7	+6.9	73%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	80.4	167.7	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	79.2	164.8	+6.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.8	86.7	166.5	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (4)	83.2	85.0	168.2	-1.8	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.5	71.2	156.6	+14.3	90%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

105-88

105

+17

A04/04

LBL

Jurmala

59-94

-35

H07/04

LBL

Tal Tech

85-72

+13

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

86-98

-12

A13/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

85-93

-8

H17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

89-85

A20/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

60-64

-4

H23/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

79-94

-15

A25/04

LBL

Parnu

66-90

-24

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

81-93

-12

H29/04

LBL

24-25

29-26

25-21

27-16

26-18

12-34

9-20

12-22

20-20

28-18

12-14

25-20

17-21

29-30

24-23

16-24

21-17

24-24

22-24

18-28

19-16

26-21

22-23

22-25

19-17

12-19

17-9

12-19

12-30

13-22

25-19

29-23

12-18

16-24

25-27

13-21

19-26

20-26

25-13

17-28

166.6Avg total

79.5Scored

87.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	71.4	79.3	150.8	-7.9	33%
Season at home (9)	67.6	80.1	147.7	-12.6	22%
Season away (9)	75.3	78.6	153.9	-3.2	44%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	87.1	166.6	-7.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	85.2	160.2	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.2	88.1	158.4	-17.9	7%
vs Similar (14)	79.6	80.7	160.3	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (2)	106.5	86.0	192.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.7	40.3	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	19.9	44.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.3	21.8	44.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	19.8	38.5	-1.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.4	37.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.2	21.5	37.7	-5.3	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	18.5	40.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.4	42.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	22.9	41.1	-4.8	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	24.4	45.3	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.5	23.6	41.1	-6.1	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	22.5	50.5	+5.5	100%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

53-39

+14

H10/03

LBL

Jekabpils

52-47

A17/03

LBL

Valga

50-38

+12

A24/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

55-29

+26

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

44-56

-12

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

38-41

-3

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

43-35

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

43-44

-1

A21/04

LBL

Valga

52-25

+27

H25/04

LBL

Valga

52-39

+13

A29/04

LBL

87.5Avg total

48.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	37.3	80.6	+6.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	40.7	84.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	39.3	87.5	+8.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	36.8	82.4	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.5	45.7	86.2	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.2	44.8	89.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.3	35.9	80.2	+8.4	80%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

53-51

A04/04

LBL

Jurmala

38-52

-14

H07/04

LBL

Tal Tech

48-38

+10

H10/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

46-51

-5

A13/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

45-41

H17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

45-37

A20/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Parnu

31-36

-5

H23/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

25-52

-27

A25/04

LBL

Parnu

28-42

-14

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BK Ogre

39-52

-13

H29/04

LBL

85.0Avg total

39.8Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	42.7	80.6	-4.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	42.8	79.5	-6.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.8	42.6	81.4	-3.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	45.2	85.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	43.8	77.4	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	33.7	45.1	78.9	-11.4	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.1	40.4	80.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	51.5	42.0	93.5	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	22.5	39.8	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	15.9	36.8	+4.9	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.2	17.5	32.7	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	21.4	43.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	22.5	50.5	+5.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.3	40.9	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.4	19.4	39.7	+1.0	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.2	41.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	23.3	42.4	-4.2	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	21.5	48.5	+5.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	37.1	77.6	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	37.5	77.9	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	36.7	77.3	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	41.1	80.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.4	82.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.3	41.0	80.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.1	35.3	76.4	+5.9	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.8	80.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.7	40.1	73.8	-6.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	43.2	86.4	+0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.9	81.6	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.4	82.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.5	43.0	79.5	-6.5	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	55.0	44.0	99.0	+11.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/18	Valga v BK Ogre	81-93
25/04/18	BK Ogre v Valga	94-79
24/03/18	Valga v BK Ogre	63-78
25/11/17	BK Ogre v Valga	65-61
15/03/17	BK Ogre v Valga	98-89
08/11/16	Valga v BK Ogre	89-66
30/03/16	BK Ogre v Valga	74-81 OT
09/01/16	Valga v BK Ogre	98-83

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/18	A	Valga	93-81
25/04/18	H	Valga	94-79
21/04/18	A	Jurmala	82-81
18/04/18	A	VEF Riga	86-83
15/04/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	73-72
07/04/18	A	Ventspils	76-105
31/03/18	H	BK Liepaja	110-74
24/03/18	A	Valga	78-63
17/03/18	A	Jekabpils	95-78
10/03/18	H	Jurmala	86-88

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/04/18	H	BK Ogre	81-93
26/04/18	A	Parnu	66-90
25/04/18	A	BK Ogre	79-94
23/04/18	H	Parnu	60-64
20/04/18	A	Parnu	89-85
17/04/18	H	Parnu	85-93
13/04/18	A	Tartu Ulikool	86-98
10/04/18	H	Tal Tech	85-72
07/04/18	H	Jurmala	59-94
04/04/18	A	Valmiera/ORDO	105-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	71%
Home	WWLWW	69%
Away	LWWWW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	71%	69%	73%
Points / game	84.1	83.8	84.3
Allowed / game	76.2	75.1	77.4
Point differential	+7.8	+8.7	+6.9
Avg total	160.3	158.9	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	44%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	50% (8)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valga

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	LWLLL	22%
Away	LWWWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	33%	22%	44%
Points / game	71.4	67.6	75.3
Allowed / game	79.3	80.1	78.6
Point differential	-7.9	-12.6	-3.2
Avg total	150.8	147.7	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	11%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	29	26	3	90%	86.3	69.1	+17.2
2	VEF Riga	23	19	4	83%	85.3	66.7	+18.7
3	Jurmala	31	24	7	77%	81.5	73.2	+8.3
4	BK Ogre	31	22	9	71%	84.1	76.2	+7.8
5	Valga	18	6	12	33%	71.4	79.3	-7.9
6	Jekabpils	29	8	21	28%	69.1	77.4	-8.3
7	BK Liepaja	29	8	21	28%	72.7	84.6	-11.9
8	Latvijas Universitate	31	8	23	26%	73.4	80.4	-7.0
9	Valmiera/ORDO	29	4	25	14%	71.3	87.9	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	22	20	17	26	85
Valga	17	9	13	12	51

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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