BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 74-81 (OT)

15-15 19-13 13-25 21-15 6-13

Position#10

Record7-24

FormLWWLW

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game88.5

BK Ogre

Valga 🏆

Position#7

Record9-9

FormWWLLL

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game86.4

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · BK Ogre v Valga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

69-93

-24

H06/02

LBL

Jurmala

73-72

H17/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

81-99

-18

A20/02

LBL

Jelgava

97-98 OT

-1

A02/03

LBL

Ventspils

73-91

-18

H09/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

77-86

-9

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

55-53

H16/03

LBL

Jurmala

88-81

A19/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

68-78

-10

H23/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

87-81 OT

A27/03

LBL

10-17

23-26

16-26

20-24

9-11

27-20

15-18

22-23

16-27

28-26

24-26

13-20

20-25

22-14

20-29

22-16

17-25

19-11

12-30

25-25

18-36

20-22

23-16

16-12

16-7

15-17

6-11

18-18

30-26

16-17

20-19

22-19

15-18

10-14

19-21

24-25

19-13

19-25

15-15

22-22

160.0Avg total

76.8Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	73.5	88.5	162.0	-14.9	23%
Season at home (16)	68.9	83.9	152.9	-15.0	25%
Season away (15)	78.5	93.3	171.7	-14.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	83.2	160.0	-6.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	75.8	150.8	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	72.8	90.1	162.9	-17.2	24%
vs Similar (5)	73.2	81.8	155.0	-8.6	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

96-103 OT

103

-7

A23/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

90-77

+13

H26/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

89-98

-9

H02/03

LBL

Jurmala

86-98

-12

A05/03

LBL

Parnu

78-89

-11

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

90-84

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

#11

82-79

A16/03

LBL

Rapla

65-83

-18

A18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

87-95

-8

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

97-108

108

-11

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

21-18

13-20

21-27

35-25

19-19

20-19

23-21

28-18

18-21

16-26

31-23

24-28

23-21

14-23

23-20

26-34

10-25

23-22

26-19

19-23

26-20

25-14

21-23

18-27

12-21

22-8

27-28

21-22

13-17

11-26

20-18

21-22

23-25

25-26

26-23

13-21

22-33

20-24

28-28

27-23

177.4Avg total

86.0Scored

91.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.7	86.4	165.1	-7.8	50%
Season at home (9)	81.4	83.8	165.2	-2.3	56%
Season away (9)	75.9	89.1	165.0	-13.2	44%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	91.4	177.4	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	89.8	174.0	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	80.7	91.6	172.3	-10.8	22%
vs Similar (8)	78.8	83.9	162.6	-5.1	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	89.8	77.2	167.0	+12.5	100%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreValga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.9	20.4	36.3	-4.5	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.3	42.3	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-4.0	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.0	40.7	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.2	42.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.4	23.2	42.7	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.1	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.7	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.6	23.7	43.2	-4.1	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	14.6	31.4	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	39%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	26.2	14.8	41.0	+11.5	100%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

33-43

-10

H06/02

LBL

Jurmala

36-31

H17/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

44-53

-9

A20/02

LBL

Jelgava

42-39

A02/03

LBL

Ventspils

36-36

H09/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

38-58

-20

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

31-24

H16/03

LBL

Jurmala

46-43

A19/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

25-32

-7

H23/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

38-38

A27/03

LBL

76.6Avg total

36.9Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	44.0	80.6	-7.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.5	40.7	74.2	-7.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	47.3	86.9	-7.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	39.7	76.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.0	74.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	37.0	45.1	82.2	-8.1	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.2	38.4	72.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

34-38

-4

A23/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rapla

39-38

H26/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Barons Kvartals

34-47

-13

H02/03

LBL

Jurmala

37-44

-7

A05/03

LBL

Parnu

33-47

-14

A08/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

51-34

+17

H11/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Latvijas Universitate

#11

34-29

A16/03

LBL

Rapla

24-43

-19

A18/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

48-51

-3

A23/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

42-57

-15

A26/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

80.4Avg total

37.6Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.3	81.3	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	41.8	79.9	-3.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.8	82.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.8	44.6	83.4	-5.8	11%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	46.8	34.2	81.0	+12.5	100%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	22.6	39.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	21.9	38.1	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.1	38.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.4	33.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	22.9	40.0	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	23.3	44.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	23.5	44.1	-3.0	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	22.9	44.2	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.0	47.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	24.0	48.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.7	20.8	38.4	-3.1	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	20.5	40.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	23.2	45.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	24.3	47.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-1.9	39%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	19.9	42.2	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.8	19.5	40.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	43.1	78.2	-8.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.5	42.5	76.0	-9.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	43.7	80.5	-7.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	41.5	78.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.8	43.6	78.5	-8.8	16%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	44.9	87.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.6	46.1	89.7	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	47.3	95.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	47.0	91.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	41.9	46.9	88.8	-5.1	28%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.2	41.2	83.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

Valga wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/16	Valga v BK Ogre	98-83

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/03/16	A	Barons Kvartals	87-81 OT
23/03/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	68-78
19/03/16	A	Jurmala	88-81
16/03/16	H	Barons Kvartals	55-53
12/03/16	H	BK Liepaja	77-86
09/03/16	H	Ventspils	73-91
02/03/16	A	Jelgava	97-98 OT
20/02/16	A	BK Liepaja	81-99
17/02/16	H	Jurmala	73-72
06/02/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	69-93

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/03/16	A	Tallinna Kalev	97-108
23/03/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	87-95
18/03/16	A	Rapla	65-83
16/03/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	82-79
11/03/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	90-84
08/03/16	A	Parnu	78-89
05/03/16	A	Jurmala	86-98
02/03/16	H	Barons Kvartals	89-98
26/02/16	H	Rapla	90-77
23/02/16	A	Tal Tech	96-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	23%
Home	WLLWL	25%
Away	LLLWW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	23%	25%	20%
Points / game	73.5	68.9	78.5
Allowed / game	88.5	83.9	93.3
Point differential	-14.9	-15.0	-14.8
Avg total	162.0	152.9	171.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	13%	6%	20%

Valga

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	50%
Home	WLWLL	56%
Away	LWWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	56%	44%
Points / game	78.7	81.4	75.9
Allowed / game	86.4	83.8	89.1
Point differential	-7.8	-2.3	-13.2
Avg total	165.1	165.2	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (1)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	30	24	6	80%	83.9	73.1	+10.8
2	Ventspils	29	22	7	76%	86.5	68.3	+18.2
3	VEF Riga	16	12	4	75%	88.2	73.4	+14.8
4	BK Liepaja	30	21	9	70%	83.1	74.2	+8.9
5	Jurmala	31	17	14	55%	80.7	77.8	+2.9
6	Jekabpils	29	15	14	52%	78.2	80.0	-1.8
7	Valga	18	9	9	50%	78.7	86.4	-7.8
8	Barons Kvartals	29	11	18	38%	78.8	82.0	-3.1
9	Jelgava	31	9	22	29%	70.2	79.9	-9.7
10	BK Ogre	31	7	24	23%	73.5	88.5	-14.9
11	Latvijas Universitate	30	5	25	17%	71.4	84.7	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
BK Ogre	15	19	13	21	6	74
Valga	15	13	25	15	13	81

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs Valga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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