BK Ogre vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 May 2018

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 84-77

25-22 24-15 18-25 17-15

Position#4

Record23-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game76.1

BK Ogre 🏆

Ventspils

Position#1

Record27-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game69.4

LBLLBL - Semi-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · BK Ogre v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

78-63

+15

A24/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

110-74

110

+36

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

76-105

105

-29

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

73-72

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

86-83

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

82-81

A21/04

LBL

Valga

94-79

+15

H25/04

LBL

Valga

93-81

+12

A29/04

LBL

Valga

85-51

+34

H02/05

LBL

Ventspils

77-98

-21

A08/05

LBL

25-16

25-22

18-7

10-18

18-13

37-16

30-13

25-32

28-32

16-24

14-24

18-25

19-20

19-21

18-14

17-17

27-15

16-20

17-29

26-19

17-22

26-22

19-22

20-15

30-12

22-13

19-25

23-29

26-19

26-20

13-25

28-17

22-17

20-9

17-13

26-12

15-23

14-17

29-29

19-29

164.1Avg total

85.4Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	83.9	76.1	160.0	+7.8	70%
Season at home (17)	83.9	73.7	157.6	+10.2	71%
Season away (16)	83.9	78.7	162.6	+5.2	69%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	78.7	164.1	+6.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	78.0	164.2	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	79.4	88.3	167.7	-8.9	29%
vs Similar (4)	83.2	85.0	168.2	-1.8	25%
vs Weaker (19)	86.5	71.8	158.3	+14.6	89%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

#15

81-75

A14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera/ORDO

94-55

+39

H17/03

LBL

VEF Riga

63-82

-19

H21/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

107-62

107

+45

H24/03

LBL

BK Ogre

105-76

105

+29

H07/04

LBL

Jekabpils

88-67

+21

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

87-80

H14/04

LBL

Jurmala

70-72

-2

H18/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

90-69

+21

A22/04

LBL

BK Ogre

98-77

+21

H08/05

LBL

26-19

13-15

23-20

19-21

29-13

20-14

26-14

19-14

10-23

19-19

21-26

13-14

23-8

22-10

35-22

27-22

32-28

24-16

24-14

25-18

22-22

17-13

31-9

18-23

25-25

16-13

25-14

21-28

23-11

18-19

15-27

14-15

25-15

26-17

24-21

15-16

23-15

17-14

29-29

29-19

159.8Avg total

88.3Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	86.7	69.4	156.1	+17.3	90%
Season at home (17)	85.8	68.2	154.0	+17.5	88%
Season away (13)	87.9	70.9	158.8	+17.0	92%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	71.5	159.8	+16.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	73.0	159.6	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.4	80.2	152.6	-7.8	40%
vs Similar (5)	72.0	78.8	150.8	-6.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	88.3	72.5	160.8	+15.8	85%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK OgreVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.9	41.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	18.4	39.9	+3.1	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.9	41.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.6	41.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	17.4	40.0	+5.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.3	40.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	16.2	37.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.6	22.9	40.4	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.3	17.7	41.1	+5.6	84%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.7	38.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	17.3	39.5	+4.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	15.0	34.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.2	34.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	75%	-

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valga

50-38

+12

A24/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

55-29

+26

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

44-56

-12

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

38-41

-3

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

43-35

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

43-44

-1

A21/04

LBL

Valga

52-25

+27

H25/04

LBL

Valga

52-39

+13

A29/04

LBL

Valga

42-26

+16

H02/05

LBL

Ventspils

29-40

-11

A08/05

LBL

82.1Avg total

44.8Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	39.3	82.7	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.0	37.8	81.8	+6.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	40.7	83.5	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	37.3	82.1	+7.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	34.8	78.4	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.9	44.9	83.7	-6.0	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.2	44.8	89.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (19)	44.8	36.2	81.0	+8.7	79%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

#15

39-34

A14/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera/ORDO

49-27

+22

H17/03

LBL

VEF Riga

29-42

-13

H21/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

45-18

+27

H24/03

LBL

BK Ogre

56-44

+12

H07/04

LBL

Jekabpils

39-35

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

41-38

H14/04

LBL

Jurmala

41-30

+11

H18/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

51-32

+19

A22/04

LBL

BK Ogre

40-29

+11

H08/05

LBL

75.9Avg total

43.0Scored

32.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.7	35.4	76.1	+5.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.4	36.3	78.7	+6.1	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	32.9	75.9	+10.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	32.8	75.2	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.8	36.0	70.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.0	34.8	78.8	+9.2	90%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.7	23.1	43.9	-2.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	22.5	39.8	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.2	15.9	37.1	+5.3	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.0	41.8	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.6	44.9	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.0	44.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.3	42.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.2	20.2	36.4	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	38.1	79.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	38.0	79.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.2	85.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	40.6	43.4	84.0	-2.9	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	41.6	35.7	77.3	+5.9	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.0	80.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	39.4	81.6	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	38.6	83.9	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	40.2	84.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	44.2	81.8	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.4	39.2	73.6	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.2	37.6	81.9	+6.6	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Ogre wins

Ventspils wins

Date	Game	Score
08/05/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	98-77
07/04/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	105-76
10/02/18	BK Ogre v Ventspils	89-87
05/01/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	75-68
22/12/17	BK Ogre v Ventspils	82-89
29/03/17	BK Ogre v Ventspils	95-85
18/03/17	Ventspils v BK Ogre	92-85
05/11/16	Ventspils v BK Ogre	116-86
01/10/16	BK Ogre v Ventspils	70-101
09/03/16	BK Ogre v Ventspils	73-91

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/18	A	Ventspils	77-98
02/05/18	H	Valga	85-51
29/04/18	A	Valga	93-81
25/04/18	H	Valga	94-79
21/04/18	A	Jurmala	82-81
18/04/18	A	VEF Riga	86-83
15/04/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	73-72
07/04/18	A	Ventspils	76-105
31/03/18	H	BK Liepaja	110-74
24/03/18	A	Valga	78-63

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/18	H	BK Ogre	98-77
22/04/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	90-69
18/04/18	H	Jurmala	70-72
14/04/18	H	VEF Riga	87-80
11/04/18	A	Jekabpils	88-67
07/04/18	H	BK Ogre	105-76
24/03/18	H	BK Liepaja	107-62
21/03/18	H	VEF Riga	63-82
17/03/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	94-55
14/03/18	A	Bakken Bears	81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	70%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	WWWWL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	70%	71%	69%
Points / game	83.9	83.9	83.9
Allowed / game	76.1	73.7	78.7
Point differential	+7.8	+10.2	+5.2
Avg total	160.0	157.6	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	47%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	50% (8)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ventspils

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	90%
Home	WWWLW	88%
Away	WLWWW	92%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	17	13
Win %	90%	88%	92%
Points / game	86.7	85.8	87.9
Allowed / game	69.4	68.2	70.9
Point differential	+17.3	+17.5	+17.0
Avg total	156.1	154.0	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	71%	77%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	30	27	3	90%	86.7	69.4	+17.3
2	VEF Riga	24	20	4	83%	85.6	67.0	+18.6
3	Jurmala	33	25	8	76%	81.6	73.0	+8.6
4	BK Ogre	33	23	10	70%	83.9	76.1	+7.8
5	Valga	19	6	13	32%	70.4	79.6	-9.3
6	Jekabpils	29	8	21	28%	69.1	77.4	-8.3
7	BK Liepaja	29	8	21	28%	72.7	84.6	-11.9
8	Latvijas Universitate	32	8	24	25%	72.6	80.8	-8.2
9	Valmiera/ORDO	29	4	25	14%	71.3	87.9	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Ogre	25	24	18	17	84
Ventspils	22	15	25	15	77

← all games of the day

BK Ogre vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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