Valga vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Mar 2018

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 63-78

16-25 22-25 7-18 18-10

Position#5

Record5-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game69.2

Allowed / game75.5

Valga

BK Ogre 🏆

Position#4

Record15-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game75.0

LBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Valga v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

88-81

A11/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

70-82

-12

A15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

58-88

-30

H20/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

89-77

+12

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

76-96

-20

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

72-63

H07/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

89-81

A10/03

LBL

Parnu

95-79

+16

A14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

68-87

-19

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

54-87

-33

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

27-22

20-14

18-26

23-19

13-16

14-21

15-19

28-26

13-15

10-31

20-20

15-22

27-14

22-18

12-24

28-21

11-21

18-20

18-26

29-29

22-11

15-23

18-10

17-19

26-33

16-20

26-14

21-14

28-18

15-22

22-18

30-21

17-22

18-19

23-27

10-19

17-28

15-18

13-18

9-23

158.0Avg total

75.9Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	69.2	75.5	144.6	-6.3	38%
Season at home (6)	67.5	76.0	143.5	-8.5	33%
Season away (7)	70.6	75.0	145.6	-4.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	82.1	158.0	-6.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	79.4	155.0	-3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	69.6	84.9	154.5	-15.3	20%
vs Similar (14)	79.4	78.4	157.8	+0.9	57%
vs Weaker (1)	108.0	84.0	192.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

68-75

-7

A05/01

LBL

VEF Riga

78-81

-3

H10/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

101-80

101

+21

A20/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

87-70

+17

H27/01

LBL

Jekabpils

76-79

-3

H03/02

LBL

Ventspils

89-87

H10/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

83-68

+15

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

97-75

+22

H03/03

LBL

Jurmala

86-88

-2

H10/03

LBL

Jekabpils

95-78

+17

A17/03

LBL

16-15

16-19

20-21

16-20

18-22

16-24

26-21

18-14

27-29

28-14

29-19

17-18

17-9

31-25

22-10

17-26

22-19

21-15

17-15

16-30

24-22

24-27

17-22

24-16

21-14

23-18

25-15

14-21

21-15

27-20

22-20

31-23

22-16

16-23

17-26

29-27

23-20

22-24

21-7

164.1Avg total

86.0Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.2	75.0	158.2	+8.2	65%
Season at home (14)	81.2	74.9	156.1	+6.3	64%
Season away (9)	86.3	75.1	161.4	+11.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	78.1	164.1	+7.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	79.2	169.2	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	84.7	86.8	171.4	-2.1	33%
vs Similar (4)	82.0	86.5	168.5	-4.5	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	85.3	72.1	157.4	+13.2	88%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.3	20.8	38.1	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.2	45.4	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.5	23.5	48.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.8	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.9	36.9	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.8	19.7	36.5	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.6	36.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.4	36.2	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	20.9	37.7	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.6	18.9	35.4	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.6	24.7	46.2	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.5	17.9	40.5	+4.6	82%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

47-36

+11

A11/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tartu Ulikool

27-37

-10

A15/02

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

23-46

-23

H20/02

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

49-32

+17

A28/02

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

29-41

-12

H02/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Jekabpils

37-34

H07/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

42-53

-11

A10/03

LBL

Parnu

43-40

A14/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Tallinna Kalev

35-41

-6

A17/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

32-46

-14

H21/03

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

77.0Avg total

36.4Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	40.0	76.4	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.3	39.1	74.4	-3.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.2	40.8	78.0	-3.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.8	80.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.1	41.7	75.8	-7.5	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.9	38.8	76.6	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	33.0	83.0	+17.0	100%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

32-34

-2

A05/01

LBL

VEF Riga

34-46

-12

H10/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

55-43

+12

A20/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

48-34

+14

H27/01

LBL

Jekabpils

43-34

H03/02

LBL

Ventspils

48-49

-1

H10/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

44-32

+12

A14/02

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

48-35

+13

H03/03

LBL

Jurmala

53-39

+14

H10/03

LBL

Jekabpils

52-47

A17/03

LBL

85.0Avg total

45.7Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	40.2	83.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	43.3	39.9	83.2	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	43.7	40.7	84.5	+3.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	39.3	85.0	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	40.4	89.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.6	45.2	88.8	-1.7	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.5	42.8	86.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.4	37.0	80.4	+6.4	82%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.9	20.3	36.2	-4.5	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	24.0	55.0	+7.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.0	41.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	22.8	38.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.5	16.6	38.1	+4.9	76%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.6	22.9	42.5	-3.3	47%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.1	21.6	43.6	+0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	27.0	54.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	44%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.8	80.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	41.7	80.0	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	41.9	81.5	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	41.5	81.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.6	74.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.5	43.2	78.7	-7.7	13%	-
vs Similar (14)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	58.0	51.0	109.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.2	79.4	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	40.3	38.1	78.4	+2.2	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.9	38.3	81.2	+4.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.8	79.1	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.8	79.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.1	41.6	82.7	-0.4	56%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	43.8	82.2	-5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.9	35.1	77.0	+6.9	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/17	BK Ogre v Valga	65-61
15/03/17	BK Ogre v Valga	98-89
08/11/16	Valga v BK Ogre	89-66
30/03/16	BK Ogre v Valga	74-81 OT
09/01/16	Valga v BK Ogre	98-83

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/18	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	54-87
17/03/18	A	Tallinna Kalev	68-87
14/03/18	A	Parnu	95-79
10/03/18	A	BK Liepaja	89-81
07/03/18	H	Jekabpils	72-63
02/03/18	H	Tartu Ulikool	76-96
28/02/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	89-77
20/02/18	H	VEF Riga	58-88
15/02/18	A	Tartu Ulikool	70-82
11/02/18	A	Tal Tech	88-81

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/18	A	Jekabpils	95-78
10/03/18	H	Jurmala	86-88
03/03/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	97-75
14/02/18	A	BK Liepaja	83-68
10/02/18	H	Ventspils	89-87
03/02/18	H	Jekabpils	76-79
27/01/18	H	Latvijas Universitate	87-70
20/01/18	A	Valmiera/ORDO	101-80
10/01/18	H	VEF Riga	78-81
05/01/18	A	Ventspils	68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	38%
Home	LWLLW	33%
Away	LLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	33%	43%
Points / game	69.2	67.5	70.6
Allowed / game	75.5	76.0	75.0
Point differential	-6.3	-8.5	-4.4
Avg total	144.6	143.5	145.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	17%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	65%
Home	WLWWL	64%
Away	LLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	14	9
Win %	65%	64%	67%
Points / game	83.2	81.2	86.3
Allowed / game	75.0	74.9	75.1
Point differential	+8.2	+6.3	+11.2
Avg total	158.2	156.1	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	36%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	50% (8)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	23	21	2	91%	85.0	68.7	+16.4
2	VEF Riga	18	16	2	89%	84.9	66.3	+18.6
3	Jurmala	21	16	5	76%	81.9	74.6	+7.3
4	BK Ogre	23	15	8	65%	83.2	75.0	+8.2
5	Valga	13	5	8	38%	69.2	75.5	-6.3
6	BK Liepaja	23	8	15	35%	74.0	82.3	-8.4
7	Jekabpils	25	7	18	28%	68.1	76.6	-8.5
8	Latvijas Universitate	24	6	18	25%	73.7	80.2	-6.5
9	Valmiera/ORDO	26	4	22	15%	70.9	86.7	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	16	22	7	18	63
BK Ogre	25	25	18	10	78

← all games of the day

Valga vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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