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Blu Basket Bergamo vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-101
20-26 26-20 20-28 17-27
Position#11
Record3-1
FormLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.8
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaFacchetti
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Blu Basket Bergamo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Blu Basket BergamoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBergamo
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
83-93
83
93
-10
61avg 79
A28/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
94avg 79
H05/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 79
A08/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 79
H12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-19
26-25
19-28
25-24
24-21
18-21
25-17
21-19
30-22
15-22
27-16
19-22
14-15
22-17
22-15
167.2Avg total
86.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.281.0167.2+5.275%
Season at home (2)84.576.0160.5+8.5100%
Season away (2)88.086.0174.0+2.050%
Last 10 (4)86.281.0167.2+5.275%
Last 5 (4)86.281.0167.2+5.275%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)85.074.0159.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (2)87.588.0175.5-0.550%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
78avg 75
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 75
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 75
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 75
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 75
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 75
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 75
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 75
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 75
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 75
A12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
15-20
17-27
17-15
16-22
25-21
22-31
15-11
25-16
23-22
17-27
17-19
8-18
25-26
20-18
32-19
23-13
25-20
21-21
16-18
18-32
24-24
22-19
21-19
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
163.2Avg total
82.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.575.8155.2+3.875%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season away (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.281.0163.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.679.4160.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)83.380.8164.1+2.557%
vs Weaker (8)92.880.2173.0+12.588%
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Blu Basket BergamoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Blu Basket BergamoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#19
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/09
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A08/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/10
Serie A2
83.5Avg total
42.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)42.840.883.5+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (2)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (2)44.540.585.0+4.050%-
Last 10 (4)42.840.883.5+2.050%-
Last 5 (4)42.840.883.5+2.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (2)43.542.586.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.085.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.438.984.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.186.1+0.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.740.983.6+1.852%-
vs Weaker (8)47.941.689.5+6.288%-
This opponent (Blu Basket Bergamo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Blu Basket Bergamotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Blu Basket Bergamo: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
50.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.6%
34.6%27.8
🏀 Free throws26.520.0
75.5%
74.4%20.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.7
56.8%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.1
32.7%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.813.4
75.3%
74.4%13.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Blu Basket Bergamo
WWWL
Pesaro
WWWLLWWLLL
#11
League position
#3
+6.3
Net rating
+0.9
115.5
Offensive rating
106.3
109.2
Defensive rating
105.4
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
32.7%
61.7%
Assist %
56.6%
75%
Form (last 4/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 106.3Defence109.2 · 105.4Shooting52.6% · 53.1%3-point %35.6% · 32.7%Ball care17.5% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.28Form (last 4/10)75% · 50%
■ Blu Basket Bergamo   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Blu Basket Bergamo wins
0
Pesaro wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HUrania Milano77-69
08/10/25ARimini93-79
05/10/25HRoseto92-83
28/09/25APistoia83-93
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
06/05/25AFortitudo Bologna85-94
03/05/25HBasket Torino85-72
27/04/25AVerona85-81
19/04/25HUdine82-84
13/04/25ACantu78-85
06/04/25AJuVi Cremona89-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Blu Basket Bergamo
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.284.588.0
Allowed / game81.076.086.0
Point differential+5.2+8.5+2.0
Avg total167.2160.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game79.574.085.0
Allowed / game75.874.577.0
Point differential+3.8-0.5+8.0
Avg total155.2148.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi54180%80.063.4+16.6
2 Sebastiani Rieti54180%76.869.8+7.0
3 Verona54180%79.874.8+5.0
4 Blu Basket Bergamo43175%86.281.0+5.2
5 Pesaro43175%79.575.8+3.8
6 Libertas Livorno53260%75.069.4+5.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna53260%87.882.4+5.4
8 Rimini53260%82.477.4+5.0
9 Basket Torino53260%77.475.6+1.8
10 Pistoia53260%80.882.0-1.2
11 Mestre53260%78.480.0-1.6
12 Cividale52340%76.074.6+1.4
13 Avellino Basket52340%75.076.6-1.6
14 Scafati52340%78.880.8-2.0
15 Cento52340%72.675.4-2.8
16 JuVi Cremona52340%73.881.6-7.8
17 Roseto51420%86.291.2-5.0
18 Urania Milano51420%81.488.2-6.8
19 Forli51420%70.080.6-10.6
20 Ruvo Di Puglia5050%69.885.4-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Blu Basket Bergamo2026201783
Pesaro26202827101
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