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Verona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-85
18-8 26-25 18-20 19-32
Position#8
Record21-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record19-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.4
ItalySerie A2Round 38· PalaOlimpia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Verona v Pesaro
28 Dec 2025
VER88
PES79
27 Apr 2025
VER81
PES85
18 Dec 2022
VER90
PES94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
69-47
69
47
+22
60avg 71
H19/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
82-63
82
63
+19
79avg 71
H26/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
58-74
58
74
-16
48avg 71
A01/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 71
H08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 71
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
92avg 71
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 71
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
75avg 71
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 71
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 71
A19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
16-8
19-11
22-11
18-13
22-16
22-20
20-14
14-25
7-9
18-20
19-20
19-20
17-17
9-26
28-15
21-16
16-13
17-19
29-26
19-22
33-17
20-19
16-15
22-18
11-20
16-18
27-25
20-23
16-18
22-11
24-29
19-17
24-22
31-14
17-25
29-18
15-28
21-19
25-29
153.5Avg total
79.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)77.674.5152.1+3.257%
Season at home (18)79.472.3151.7+7.172%
Season away (19)76.076.5152.5-0.542%
Last 10 (10)79.274.3153.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)85.481.4166.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.971.6145.5+2.353%
vs Weaker (13)81.673.9155.5+7.769%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
84avg 74
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
64avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 74
H15/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
72avg 74
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
78avg 74
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 74
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 74
H19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
18-20
30-26
17-22
12-9
22-13
19-23
16-21
12-28
22-22
19-27
24-21
13-15
26-16
22-14
14-13
22-28
14-28
31-22
22-22
14-27
17-21
20-22
25-15
23-11
30-17
15-20
17-27
17-15
16-22
25-21
22-31
15-11
25-16
23-22
17-27
17-19
168.9Avg total
84.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)82.080.4162.4+1.651%
Season at home (19)84.575.4159.9+9.174%
Season away (18)79.485.7165.1-6.328%
Last 10 (10)84.184.8168.9-0.730%
Last 5 (5)83.085.6168.6-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.083.5160.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)84.082.5166.6+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)89.077.0166.0+12.088%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
VeronaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H19/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H26/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A01/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H08/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Serie A2
72.7Avg total
37.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.073.6+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.135.574.6+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.236.572.8-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.772.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.045.572.5-18.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.334.569.8+0.947%-
vs Weaker (13)41.836.478.2+5.462%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
85.9Avg total
44.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.885.1+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.039.883.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)42.544.186.6-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.785.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.285.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.079.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.142.584.6-0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)46.041.887.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.1
55.0%
50.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.7
30.9%
34.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
74.4%14.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
74.4%16.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWWLWWLLWW
Pesaro
LLLWLWLLLW
#8
League position
#9
+7.9
Net rating
-1.0
110.1
Offensive rating
107.6
102.2
Defensive rating
108.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
33.4%
58.3%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 107.6Defence102.2 · 108.6Shooting51.9% · 50.8%3-point %30.9% · 33.4%Ball care16.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 27.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Verona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Pesaro v Verona63-73
21/01/23Pesaro v Verona76-73
18/12/22Verona v Pesaro90-94
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AVigevano90-94
12/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza91-78
06/04/25HAvellino Basket82-81
30/03/25ACantu76-81
23/03/25HOrzinuovi88-73
19/03/25ACividale83-74
08/03/25HBasket Torino73-78
01/03/25AUrania Milano58-74
26/02/25HBrindisi82-63
19/02/25HSebastiani Rieti69-47
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HUdine82-84
13/04/25ACantu78-85
06/04/25AJuVi Cremona89-91 OT
30/03/25HLibertas Livorno85-69
21/03/25ARimini81-99
15/03/25HForli84-71
09/03/25HSebastiani Rieti78-85
02/03/25ABasket Torino69-85
25/02/25AOrzinuovi98-103 OT
19/02/25ACento97-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %57%72%42%
Points / game77.679.476.0
Allowed / game74.572.376.5
Point differential+3.2+7.1-0.5
Avg total152.1151.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL51%
HomeWLWWL74%
AwayLLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %51%74%28%
Points / game82.084.579.4
Allowed / game80.475.485.7
Point differential+1.6+9.1-6.3
Avg total162.4159.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%53%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3729878%83.475.2+8.2
2 Rimini37261170%82.177.9+4.2
3 Cantu37241365%78.273.8+4.4
4 Forli37231462%77.775.4+2.2
5 Cividale37221559%80.478.8+1.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti37221559%75.574.2+1.3
7 Verona37211657%77.674.5+3.2
8 Fortitudo Bologna37201754%75.573.9+1.6
9 Basket Torino37201754%77.075.9+1.1
10 Urania Milano37201754%76.777.3-0.6
11 Pesaro37191851%82.080.4+1.6
12 Brindisi37191851%76.876.1+0.7
13 Avellino Basket37191851%79.479.9-0.6
14 Orzinuovi37162143%78.280.5-2.3
15 Cento37142338%73.577.5-4.0
16 Libertas Livorno37132435%76.077.9-1.9
17 JuVi Cremona37132435%80.882.8-2.0
18 Vigevano37122532%75.781.2-5.5
19 Nardo37112630%75.481.8-6.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza3773019%76.583.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona1826181981
Pesaro825203285
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