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Cantu vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-78
22-16 21-25 31-22 11-15
Position#2
Record22-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game73.6
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record19-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.2
ItalySerie A2Round 36· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Pesaro
13 Apr 2025
KAN85
PES78
04 Oct 2020
KAN81
PES72
17 Apr 2020
KAN v PES
upcoming
19 Nov 2018
KAN87
PES90
26 Dec 2017
KAN92
PES73
16 Oct 2016
KAN77
PES68
27 Dec 2015
KAN90
PES65
03 May 2015
KAN83
PES67
27 Oct 2013
KAN93
PES78
17 Mar 2013
KAN74
PES62
26 May 2012
KAN69
PES78
20 May 2012
KAN74
PES47
18 May 2012
KAN78
PES72
29 Oct 2011
KAN66
PES71
01 May 2011
KAN63
PES55
28 Feb 2010
KAN81
PES93
07 May 2009
KAN71
PES75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
60avg 70
A09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 70
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 70
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
87-62
87
62
+25
87avg 70
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
73avg 70
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 70
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
18-19
14-14
22-19
23-18
13-12
20-19
22-28
25-21
22-16
19-15
21-16
29-16
16-15
27-16
15-15
16-27
21-17
30-24
18-21
18-15
19-20
27-18
20-21
16-23
15-11
30-26
18-24
18-22
20-11
18-16
25-27
21-22
26-15
23-19
17-17
15-14
22-24
22-25
11-22
157.5Avg total
81.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)77.973.6151.5+4.363%
Season at home (17)80.269.1149.4+11.182%
Season away (18)75.777.9153.6-2.244%
Last 10 (10)81.076.5157.5+4.560%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.479.7157.1-2.350%
vs Weaker (20)78.871.7150.4+7.165%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 74
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
84avg 74
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
64avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 74
H15/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
72avg 74
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
78avg 74
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
27-17
19-27
27-16
19-16
21-18
15-21
16-15
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
18-20
30-26
17-22
12-9
22-13
19-23
16-21
12-28
22-22
19-27
24-21
13-15
26-16
22-14
14-13
22-28
14-28
31-22
22-22
14-27
17-21
20-22
25-15
23-11
30-17
15-20
17-27
17-15
166.9Avg total
84.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.180.2162.3+1.954%
Season at home (18)84.674.9159.6+9.778%
Season away (17)79.585.8165.2-6.329%
Last 10 (10)84.382.6166.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)83.483.0166.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.181.7163.9+0.448%
vs Weaker (8)89.077.0166.0+12.088%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
CantuPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H12/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H16/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/04
Serie A2
75.4Avg total
39.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.676.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.133.376.4+9.793%-
Last 30 away (15)38.237.976.1+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.375.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.237.874.0-1.640%-
vs Weaker (20)42.934.577.3+8.480%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/04
Serie A2
84.2Avg total
43.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.983.4+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.685.6-1.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.484.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.885.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.642.183.7-0.548%-
vs Weaker (8)46.041.887.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.3
52.6%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.4
38.5%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
74.4%12.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.4
54.0%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.3
33.7%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
74.4%17.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWLWLWWWL
Pesaro
LWLWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#9
+5.5
Net rating
+2.3
112.3
Offensive rating
108.4
106.8
Defensive rating
106.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.5%
3-point %
33.7%
55.1%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 108.4Defence106.8 · 106.0Shooting54.9% · 52.3%3-point %38.5% · 33.7%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 25.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cantu wins
4
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Pesaro v Cantu90-67
24/01/21Pesaro v Cantu107-83
04/10/20Cantu v Pesaro81-72
26/12/19Pesaro v Cantu72-87
17/03/19Pesaro v Cantu72-80
19/11/18Cantu v Pesaro87-90
22/04/18Pesaro v Cantu82-91
26/12/17Cantu v Pesaro92-73
05/02/17Pesaro v Cantu78-73
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ABasket Torino70-85
02/04/25ANardo87-73
30/03/25HVerona81-76
23/03/25ABrindisi79-84
09/03/25HRimini84-74
02/03/25AUdine85-89
26/02/25HLibertas Livorno87-62
16/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza87-68
12/02/25HCividale78-77
09/02/25ACento72-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AJuVi Cremona89-91 OT
30/03/25HLibertas Livorno85-69
21/03/25ARimini81-99
15/03/25HForli84-71
09/03/25HSebastiani Rieti78-85
02/03/25ABasket Torino69-85
25/02/25AOrzinuovi98-103 OT
19/02/25ACento97-76
16/02/25AFortitudo Bologna71-70
08/02/25HCividale91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%82%44%
Points / game77.980.275.7
Allowed / game73.669.177.9
Point differential+4.3+11.1-2.2
Avg total151.5149.4153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%53%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (4)50% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%78%29%
Points / game82.184.679.5
Allowed / game80.274.985.8
Point differential+1.9+9.7-6.3
Avg total162.3159.6165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3527877%83.074.7+8.3
2 Rimini35251071%81.977.5+4.4
3 Cantu35221363%77.973.6+4.3
4 Forli35211460%78.076.1+1.9
5 Sebastiani Rieti35211460%75.874.0+1.8
6 Verona36211558%77.373.9+3.4
7 Cividale36211558%80.378.9+1.4
8 Fortitudo Bologna35201557%76.073.8+2.2
9 Urania Milano36201656%76.576.8-0.3
10 Pesaro35191654%82.180.2+1.9
11 Brindisi36191753%77.076.1+0.9
12 Basket Torino36191753%76.575.7+0.8
13 Avellino Basket36191753%79.479.9-0.4
14 Orzinuovi35152043%77.780.0-2.3
15 Cento36142239%73.577.4-3.9
16 JuVi Cremona36132336%81.283.2-2.0
17 Libertas Livorno36122433%75.577.7-2.2
18 Vigevano36112531%75.280.9-5.7
19 Nardo36102628%74.681.7-7.1
20 Assigeco Piacenza3672919%76.382.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2221311185
Pesaro1625221578
← all games of the day
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