PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BMS Herlev vs Amager Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-61
15-18 24-11 19-23 17-9
Position#10
Record5-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#13
Record6-25
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game95.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · BMS Herlev v Amager
23 Apr 2026
BMS 75
AMAG61
28 Oct 2025
BMS 103
AMAG70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
72-96
72
96
-24
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A21/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A04/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-120
66
120
-54
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
52-99
52
99
-47
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
60-103
60
103
-43
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A19/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-29
20-21
14-24
27-13
10-28
21-15
9-13
18-23
25-28
21-23
15-33
23-19
19-21
24-19
14-15
13-34
16-29
28-28
9-29
11-20
21-27
9-29
11-23
24-16
18-24
9-14
14-26
14-21
10-24
17-30
19-28
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
27-23
27-14
21-19
22-18
165.9Avg total
72.7Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.193.6171.7-15.524%
Season at home (11)80.493.1173.5-12.727%
Season away (10)75.694.2169.8-18.620%
Last 10 (10)72.793.2165.9-20.520%
Last 5 (5)72.693.2165.8-20.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.796.4172.1-20.812%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.884.6170.4+1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A19/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A08/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A11/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
H14/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A29/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
85-107
85
107
-22
H01/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H08/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
90-96
90
96
-6
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H18/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
25-25
16-20
27-19
22-23
12-11
18-17
15-24
14-18
18-17
24-22
27-18
35-26
15-15
21-26
22-26
17-14
30-20
22-17
28-21
25-27
18-16
27-18
14-21
16-21
17-34
23-26
29-26
21-23
27-18
17-28
33-17
19-23
24-21
22-24
25-28
26-22
26-24
22-20
16-32
177.7Avg total
88.5Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.095.3178.3-12.319%
Season at home (16)88.397.1185.4-8.819%
Season away (15)77.493.4170.8-16.020%
Last 10 (10)88.589.2177.7-0.740%
Last 5 (5)89.493.8183.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.1100.1180.1-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.089.5175.5-3.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -8.5-8.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
BMS HerlevAmager
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
29-63
29
63
-34
H16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A20/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Basketligaen
84.5Avg total
38.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)40.746.987.6-6.129%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.245.987.1-4.736%-
Last 30 away (10)40.247.988.1-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.046.584.5-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.882.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.148.988.1-9.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)45.840.286.0+5.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A19/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H21/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/03
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H01/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H08/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A12/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/04
Basketligaen
84.9Avg total
42.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.446.486.7-6.017%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.947.490.2-4.525%-
Last 30 away (14)37.545.282.7-7.77%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.684.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.889.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.749.990.7-9.27%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.042.882.8-2.827%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.5
57.0%
54.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.0
31.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
70.1%17.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
54.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.0
37.4%
32.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws26.719.9
74.5%
70.1%19.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev
WLLLLLWLLL
Amager
LLWLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#13
+1.1
Net rating
-1.1
101.9
Offensive rating
93.9
100.8
Defensive rating
94.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.6%
3-point %
37.4%
59.7%
Assist %
65.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 93.9Defence100.8 · 94.9Shooting53.1% · 53.0%3-point %31.6% · 37.4%Ball care13.7% · 17.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ BMS Herlev   ■ Amager
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BMS Herlev wins
0
Amager wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Amager v BMS Herlev74-80
28/10/25BMS Herlev v Amager103-70
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26AVaerlose97-74
11/04/26HVejen89-110
08/04/26ABears Academy60-103
01/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus65-80
20/01/26ABakken Bears52-99
16/01/26HBakken Bears66-120
09/01/26AAmager80-74
04/01/26ARanders79-107
21/12/25ABears Academy67-69
18/12/25HCopenhagen72-96
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HBears Academy90-98
12/04/26AVaerlose90-96
08/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus98-86
01/04/26HVejen85-107
29/03/26AVejen84-82
21/03/26HHerlev Wolfpack97-72
14/03/26HVaerlose107-109 OT
11/03/26AHolbaek-Stenhus83-75
08/03/26ABears Academy67-75
19/02/26ACopenhagen84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW24%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %24%27%20%
Points / game78.180.475.6
Allowed / game93.693.194.2
Point differential-15.5-12.7-18.6
Avg total171.7173.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Amager
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLWLWL19%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %19%19%20%
Points / game83.088.377.4
Allowed / game95.397.193.4
Point differential-12.3-8.8-16.0
Avg total178.3185.4170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears3226681%99.878.1+21.7
2 Team FOG Naestved3225778%102.890.4+12.3
3 Svendborg3223972%91.576.9+14.6
4 Horsens32221069%86.978.6+8.3
5 Randers32211166%93.685.8+7.8
6 Vaerlose31161552%79.889.2-9.4
7 Copenhagen32141844%86.387.2-0.9
8 Bears Academy32131941%83.490.5-7.1
9 Vejen32102231%79.990.4-10.4
10 BMS Herlev2151624%78.193.6-15.5
11 Holbaek-Stenhus3172423%81.592.8-11.4
12 Herlev Wolfpack102820%77.290.2-13.0
13 Amager3162519%83.095.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev1524191775
Amager181123961
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.