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Randers vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-79
23-18 28-25 23-21 33-15
Position#4
Record11-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game84.3
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#10
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game92.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2025-26
Meetings · Randers v BMS Herlev
18 Oct 2026
RAND93
BMS 71
04 Jan 2026
RAND107
BMS 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
100-66
100
66
+34
101avg 86
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 86
H30/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
98-91
98
91
+7
91avg 86
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
89-76
89
76
+13
94avg 86
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 86
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
105avg 86
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
80avg 86
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 86
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
64avg 86
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 86
H27/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-18
19-19
18-20
29-9
17-21
26-22
18-26
23-20
30-22
24-22
20-26
24-21
21-17
27-22
18-23
23-14
19-16
10-19
16-19
25-19
16-20
33-15
25-23
26-29
24-9
23-25
15-20
24-22
27-13
28-29
23-25
18-24
19-30
19-18
16-24
22-20
31-27
16-16
23-23
27-26
172.9Avg total
89.6Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.484.3177.7+9.173%
Season at home (8)98.083.0181.0+15.088%
Season away (7)88.185.7173.9+2.457%
Last 10 (10)89.683.3172.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)91.087.6178.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.087.2168.2-6.220%
vs Similar (7)82.785.9168.6-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)94.280.4174.6+13.889%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
no box
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
no box
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H01/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A06/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
no box
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
no box
H20/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
93-134
93
134
-41
no box
A10/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
72-96
72
96
-24
no box
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A21/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
15-14
16-25
12-24
33-22
17-9
22-20
26-29
21-12
29-18
32-16
21-24
13-30
21-22
21-20
17-22
25-19
17-25
20-26
14-23
15-20
21-30
16-18
21-21
17-28
25-29
27-21
15-23
20-34
35-32
23-31
15-37
11-22
27-29
20-21
14-24
27-13
10-28
21-15
9-13
172.2Avg total
80.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.992.2173.2-11.323%
Season at home (8)83.089.2172.2-6.238%
Season away (5)77.697.0174.6-19.40%
Last 10 (10)80.691.6172.2-11.020%
Last 5 (5)77.897.8175.6-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.994.5172.5-16.69%
vs Similar (2)97.579.5177.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -7.6-7.6
RandersBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H11/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H27/12
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
46.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.986.1+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.740.990.7+8.880%-
Last 30 away (15)40.740.981.5-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)46.340.086.3+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.487.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.643.084.6-1.420%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.086.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.939.586.4+7.472%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A16/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H20/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A10/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H18/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/12
Basketligaen
88.7Avg total
42.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.347.089.3-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (8)42.944.086.9-1.138%-
Last 30 away (5)41.451.893.2-10.40%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.388.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.653.094.6-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.449.189.5-8.79%-
vs Similar (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.6%
54.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.0
35.6%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
70.1%19.6
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Randers wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25BMS Herlev v Randers75-94
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HCopenhagen97-92
18/12/25ABakken Bears76-92
11/12/25HBakken Bears96-91
23/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus86-76
20/11/25HVejen100-87
14/11/25ACopenhagen70-73
06/11/25HHorsens89-76
01/11/25AAmager98-91
30/10/25HSvendborg84-89
25/10/25HAmager100-66
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ABears Academy67-69
18/12/25HCopenhagen72-96
10/12/25ATeam FOG Naestved93-134
20/11/25HTeam FOG Naestved84-101
16/11/25AHorsens73-89
06/11/25AVaerlose76-93
01/11/25HSvendborg72-94
28/10/25HAmager103-70
25/10/25HBears Academy98-80
10/10/25HHorsens68-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game93.498.088.1
Allowed / game84.383.085.7
Point differential+9.1+15.0+2.4
Avg total177.7181.0173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %23%38%0%
Points / game80.983.077.6
Allowed / game92.289.297.0
Point differential-11.3-6.2-19.4
Avg total173.2172.2174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1413193%104.472.9+31.4
2 Team FOG Naestved1412286%109.083.9+25.1
3 Horsens1613381%85.873.1+12.7
4 Svendborg1411379%92.977.4+15.6
5 Randers1511473%93.484.3+9.1
6 Copenhagen1610662%87.983.6+4.3
7 Vaerlose168850%76.388.4-12.1
8 Bears Academy1641225%79.397.1-17.8
9 BMS Herlev1331023%80.992.2-11.3
10 Amager1621412%79.899.6-19.8
11 Holbaek-Stenhus141137%78.191.9-13.7
12 Vejen141137%72.692.9-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers23282333107
BMS Herlev1825211579
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