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Boca Juniors vs Comunicaciones Mercedes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 95-80
24-22 25-20 22-18 24-20
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#20
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes
22 Dec 2023
BOCA95
COMU80
12 Dec 2022
BOCA102
COMU107
21 Mar 2022
BOCA73
COMU78
20 Mar 2021
BOCA86
COMU96
21 Nov 2019
BOCA76
COMU86
01 May 2019
BOCA80
COMU82
26 Apr 2018
BOCA75
COMU72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Zarate
#15
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 73
A26/10
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 73
H03/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
90avg 73
A23/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
66avg 73
A26/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 73
A29/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
64-70
64
70
-6
54avg 73
H05/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
59avg 73
H09/12
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
62-69
62
69
-7
52avg 73
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 73
A16/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-23
30-10
13-19
22-17
23-17
18-18
24-20
18-14
16-10
24-28
13-19
18-23
21-31
22-24
35-26
23-21
17-12
20-16
13-11
26-18
19-16
18-18
22-14
12-21
12-10
22-21
18-18
20-15
19-18
14-20
14-19
16-24
11-12
21-15
14-18
19-22
19-18
18-10
24-12
152.3Avg total
78.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.873.5153.4+6.362%
Season at home (7)76.173.3149.4+2.943%
Season away (6)84.273.8158.0+10.383%
Last 10 (10)78.174.2152.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)71.667.8139.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.375.3144.7-6.033%
vs Similar (13)85.882.2168.1+3.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.570.5149.0+7.973%
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMercedes
Date
Competition
La Union
#16
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 69
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
47avg 69
H11/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 69
A20/11
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 69
A23/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 69
A28/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 69
A30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#13
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
no box
H04/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
71-78
71
78
-7
60avg 69
H09/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
93-94
93
94
-1
92avg 69
H12/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 69
A20/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
28-21
18-22
21-16
21-25
18-19
7-16
18-17
21-21
19-16
17-19
18-24
16-24
20-20
16-16
17-23
18-23
12-18
17-22
25-14
18-26
17-21
26-21
24-20
26-20
24-26
14-20
18-16
17-20
11-15
27-22
16-21
25-14
25-23
21-25
22-32
19-18
19-25
19-30
19-19
160.1Avg total
76.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.582.9161.3-4.427%
Season at home (8)81.681.0162.6+0.650%
Season away (7)74.985.0159.9-10.10%
Last 10 (10)76.883.3160.1-6.510%
Last 5 (5)82.488.2170.6-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.887.3166.1-8.516%
vs Similar (4)79.880.8160.5-1.050%
vs Weaker (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
Boca JuniorsComunicaciones Mercedes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zarate
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A26/10
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A23/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H05/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/12
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/12
Champions League Americas
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.675.8-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.836.274.1+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)36.640.577.1-3.835%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.869.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.041.575.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (13)39.238.777.8+0.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.537.073.5-0.545%-
This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/11
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#13
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H04/12
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H09/12
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H12/12
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/12
Liga A
79.4Avg total
38.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.481.3-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.641.781.3-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.081.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.179.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.942.881.7-4.040%-
vs Similar (4)36.238.875.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (1)51.045.096.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.016.0
55.2%
53.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.5
27.4%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.511.5
79.3%
71.7%11.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Comunicaciones Mercedestheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AFlamengo80-62
15/12/23AHebraica y Macabi62-69
09/12/23HQuimsa67-72
05/12/23HRiachuelo64-70
29/11/23AObera TC85-66
26/11/23ARegatas73-60
23/11/23AObras Sanitarias96-104
18/11/23HInstituto de Cordoba88-94 OT
03/11/23HPlatense87-72
26/10/23AZarate79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23APenarol76-92
12/12/23HObera TC93-94
09/12/23HUnion De Santa Fe71-78
04/12/23HFerro87-89 OT
30/11/23AIndependiente de Oliva85-88
28/11/23AOlimpico72-77
23/11/23ASan Martin69-83
20/11/23ARegatas75-80
11/11/23HSan Lorenzo64-77
06/11/23HLa Union76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%43%83%
Points / game79.876.184.2
Allowed / game73.573.373.8
Point differential+6.3+2.9+10.3
Avg total153.4149.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
Comunicaciones Mercedes
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game78.581.674.9
Allowed / game82.981.085.0
Point differential-4.4+0.6-10.1
Avg total161.3162.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa1312192%83.875.6+8.2
2 Olimpico1311285%87.775.3+12.4
3 Platense1310377%80.274.1+6.1
4 Obras Sanitarias118373%87.685.4+2.3
5 Instituto de Cordoba1410471%79.173.9+5.3
6 Boca Juniors138562%79.873.5+6.3
7 San Lorenzo159660%74.969.4+5.5
8 Regatas148657%75.175.0+0.1
9 Obera TC137654%83.583.3+0.2
10 Zarate137654%72.078.2-6.2
11 San Martin158753%77.673.3+4.3
12 Gimnasia157847%83.882.3+1.5
13 Riachuelo146843%81.681.9-0.2
14 Independiente de Oliva146843%77.480.8-3.4
15 Ferro1551033%75.180.7-5.6
16 Penarol1441029%76.686.9-10.3
17 Comunicaciones Mercedes1541127%78.582.9-4.4
18 La Union1331023%75.881.8-6.0
19 Union De Santa Fe1321115%76.983.8-6.8
20 Argentino1421214%75.683.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors2425222495
Comunicaciones Mercedes2220182080
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