Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 69-78

22-19 16-20 14-20 17-19

Position#4

Record4-6

FormWLLLW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game79.0

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#8

Record7-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game74.4

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

63-82

-19

H10/12

Liga A

Ferro

90-77

+13

H12/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

79-89

-10

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

81-88

-7

A21/12

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#14

96-97

-1

A07/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

83-75

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

#11

81-86

-5

A16/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

62-78

-16

A18/01

Liga A

Regatas

78-80

-2

A20/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

92-50

+42

H27/01

Liga A

18-20

14-10

16-28

15-24

27-25

20-10

17-21

26-21

22-26

16-24

17-24

24-15

17-23

25-22

17-21

22-22

23-16

21-33

30-26

25-11

14-17

25-21

19-26

22-16

11-27

26-20

22-23

21-21

13-18

18-19

10-20

16-17

24-19

22-22

16-22

25-4

28-12

20-12

19-22

160.7Avg total

80.5Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	83.3	79.0	162.3	+4.3	40%
Season at home (5)	87.4	72.0	159.4	+15.4	80%
Season away (5)	79.2	86.0	165.2	-6.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	80.2	160.7	+0.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	73.8	153.0	+5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	84.4	155.8	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	78.8	78.8	157.6	+0.0	43%
vs Weaker (11)	81.0	72.1	153.1	+8.9	55%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#20

82-81

H16/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

52-55

-3

H18/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

78-60

+18

H21/12

Liga A

La Union

#11

93-83

+10

A06/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

76-82

-6

H10/01

Liga A

Ferro

81-78

A16/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

72-83

-11

H20/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

76-90

-14

A24/01

Liga A

Regatas

54-83

-29

A26/01

Liga A

Ferro

76-65

+11

H29/01

Liga A

21-17

15-16

22-30

24-18

10-18

17-8

13-14

12-15

18-17

16-19

23-12

21-12

28-16

16-19

32-30

17-18

16-17

24-19

18-19

18-27

13-18

27-19

20-20

21-21

11-24

18-16

23-19

20-24

18-14

8-25

19-22

31-29

12-19

18-17

10-24

14-23

20-22

15-17

23-18

18-8

150.0Avg total

74.0Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	74.8	74.4	149.2	+0.4	58%
Season at home (7)	73.6	71.9	145.4	+1.7	57%
Season away (5)	76.6	78.0	154.6	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	76.0	150.0	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	79.8	151.6	-8.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	78.3	80.3	158.7	-2.0	42%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	71.1	76.3	147.4	-5.2	40%
vs Weaker (8)	76.1	72.6	148.8	+3.5	62%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	16.4	36.6	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	13.8	35.6	+8.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.7	15.5	35.3	+4.2	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.6	17.7	33.3	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.6	18.7	35.2	-2.1	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	14.4	34.6	+5.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.6	15.3	35.9	+5.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	18.6	35.1	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.5	34.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	18.4	37.7	+0.8	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	14.7	20.0	34.7	-5.3	20%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.9	15.1	32.0	+1.8	62%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

32-30

H10/12

Liga A

Ferro

47-35

+12

H12/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

38-50

-12

A16/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-45

-3

A21/12

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#14

45-38

A07/01

Liga A

Quimsa

#13

39-28

+11

H13/01

Liga A

La Union

#11

33-43

-10

A16/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

34-39

-5

A18/01

Liga A

Regatas

40-36

A20/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

53-16

+37

H27/01

Liga A

76.3Avg total

40.3Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	34.8	73.7	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.5	30.8	71.3	+9.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.4	75.8	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	36.0	76.3	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	32.4	72.2	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.4	37.4	72.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.9	37.1	75.9	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.4	30.8	71.2	+9.5	73%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quilmes

#20

36-33

H16/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

27-26

H18/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

34-36

-2

H21/12

Liga A

La Union

#11

44-35

A06/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

40-36

H10/01

Liga A

Ferro

40-37

A16/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

29-40

-11

H20/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

26-39

-13

A24/01

Liga A

Regatas

30-36

-6

A26/01

Liga A

Ferro

35-39

-4

H29/01

Liga A

69.8Avg total

34.1Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.1	36.1	70.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.2	35.3	68.6	-2.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	37.0	72.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	35.7	69.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	38.2	70.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	35.8	37.1	72.9	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	33.1	37.7	70.8	-4.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (8)	32.8	32.6	65.4	+0.1	50%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.2	38.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.1	42.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.6	39.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.9	40.2	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	24.8	41.8	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.3	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	20.2	41.8	+1.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.1	81.3	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.0	40.1	79.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	43.8	83.2	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	44.2	84.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.4	80.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.0	47.0	83.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.3	40.9	80.2	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.6	41.3	81.9	-0.6	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.7	79.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.3	77.7	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	42.4	82.1	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	40.3	80.2	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.6	81.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.7	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.0	38.6	76.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	40.0	83.4	+3.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/18	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	75-72
05/04/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors	73-82

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/19	H	Weber Bahia	92-50
20/01/19	A	Regatas	78-80
18/01/19	A	San Martin	62-78
16/01/19	A	La Union	81-86
13/01/19	H	Quimsa	83-75
07/01/19	A	Libertad	96-97
21/12/18	A	San Lorenzo	81-88
16/12/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	79-89
12/12/18	H	Ferro	90-77
10/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	63-82

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/01/19	H	Ferro	76-65
26/01/19	A	Regatas	54-83
24/01/19	A	San Martin	76-90
20/01/19	H	San Lorenzo	72-83
16/01/19	A	Ferro	81-78
10/01/19	H	San Martin	76-82
06/01/19	A	La Union	93-83
21/12/18	H	Estudiantes	78-60
18/12/18	H	Hispano Americano	52-55
16/12/18	H	Quilmes	82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	80%	0%
Points / game	83.3	87.4	79.2
Allowed / game	79.0	72.0	86.0
Point differential	+4.3	+15.4	-6.8
Avg total	162.3	159.4	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	-	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	58%
Home	LWLLW	57%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	58%	57%	60%
Points / game	74.8	73.6	76.6
Allowed / game	74.4	71.9	78.0
Point differential	+0.4	+1.7	-1.4
Avg total	149.2	145.4	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	29%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	11	11	0	100%	93.6	72.7	+20.9
2	Regatas	15	12	3	80%	85.3	77.5	+7.9
3	Ferro	12	8	4	67%	81.7	78.2	+3.4
4	Gimnasia	11	7	4	64%	81.5	76.5	+4.9
5	San Martin	13	8	5	62%	79.5	80.2	-0.6
6	Quimsa	10	6	4	60%	89.5	83.4	+6.1
7	Obras Sanitarias	12	7	5	58%	83.1	82.2	+0.8
8	Boca Juniors	12	7	5	58%	74.8	74.4	+0.4
9	Libertad	14	8	6	57%	77.3	77.2	+0.1
10	Instituto de Cordoba	9	5	4	56%	84.8	79.1	+5.7
11	Hispano Americano	12	6	6	50%	80.2	82.7	-2.4
12	Penarol	13	6	7	46%	80.8	85.1	-4.3
13	La Union	12	5	7	42%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
14	Comunicaciones Mercedes	10	4	6	40%	83.3	79.0	+4.3
15	Olimpico	11	4	7	36%	75.5	75.3	+0.2
16	Estudiantes	14	4	10	29%	72.9	80.4	-7.6
17	Argentino	11	3	8	27%	80.1	90.1	-10.0
18	Quilmes	10	2	8	20%	79.7	86.9	-7.2
19	Weber Bahia	11	2	9	18%	65.5	77.9	-12.5
20	Atenas	9	1	8	11%	75.6	82.9	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	22	16	14	17	69
Boca Juniors	19	20	20	19	78

← all games of the day

Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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