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Flamengo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 62-80
22-19 18-19 10-18 12-24
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.0
Flamengo
vs
Boca Juniors 🏆
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeChampions League Americas· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Boca Juniors
20 Apr 2025
FLAM83
BOCA57
14 Jan 2025
FLAM96
BOCA61
15 Dec 2024
FLAM70
BOCA69
16 Dec 2023
FLAM62
BOCA80
12 Mar 2022
FLAM79
BOCA72
10 Dec 2021
FLAM88
BOCA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 80
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
84avg 80
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 80
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 80
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 80
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-67
93
67
+26
90avg 80
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
77-72
77
72
+5
73avg 80
A05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
80avg 80
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
81avg 80
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
16-15
13-18
12-7
21-16
16-13
20-23
32-19
25-17
23-11
26-15
18-12
13-27
20-17
14-22
17-16
20-22
26-30
29-15
20-19
16-19
24-18
31-14
18-22
20-14
26-21
25-20
22-12
23-19
22-17
18-22
14-14
22-10
15-22
18-24
28-14
25-22
15-31
28-16
11-10
157.0Avg total
84.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.272.8157.0+11.490%
Last 5 (5)86.873.8160.6+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.081.2159.2-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.574.0159.5+11.581%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 72
H21/10
Liga A
Zarate
#15
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 72
A26/10
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 72
H03/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
96-104
96
104
-8
90avg 72
A23/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
66avg 72
A26/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
85-66
85
66
+19
84avg 72
A29/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
64-70
64
70
-6
54avg 72
H05/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
59avg 72
H09/12
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
62-69
62
69
-7
52avg 72
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
17-30
25-28
24-14
15-21
21-23
30-10
13-19
22-17
23-17
18-18
24-20
18-14
16-10
24-28
13-19
18-23
21-31
22-24
35-26
23-21
17-12
20-16
13-11
26-18
19-16
18-18
22-14
12-21
12-10
22-21
18-18
20-15
19-18
14-20
14-19
16-24
11-12
21-15
14-18
154.6Avg total
78.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.069.0131.0-7.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)62.069.0131.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.376.3154.6+2.040%
Last 5 (5)70.267.4137.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.278.0145.2-10.820%
vs Similar (14)86.481.9168.4+4.564%
vs Weaker (11)78.570.5149.0+7.973%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
FlamengoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/12
NBB
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H14/12
Champions League Americas
78.0Avg total
40.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.479.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.638.680.1+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)40.238.278.4+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.778.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)39.845.885.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.137.378.4+3.862%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A26/10
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H03/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A23/11
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/11
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H05/12
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/12
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A15/12
Champions League Americas
72.6Avg total
36.2Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.575.6-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.736.173.9+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.577.1-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.472.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.468.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.241.875.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (14)38.938.477.4+0.571%-
vs Weaker (11)36.537.073.5-0.545%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.320.1
58.6%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.4
33.4%
33.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
73.9%14.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.015.0
53.6%
52.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.06.0
18.8%
33.2%18.0
🏀 Free throws14.012.0
85.7%
73.9%12.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWWWWWLWWW
Boca Juniors
LLLWWLLWWL
#1
League position
#10
+18.6
Net rating
-12.6
116.6
Offensive rating
84.2
98.0
Defensive rating
96.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
40.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.4%
3-point %
18.8%
70.2%
Assist %
71.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 84.2Defence98.0 · 96.9Shooting54.6% · 40.0%3-point %33.4% · 18.8%Ball care16.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Flamengo   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Flamengo wins
1
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Flamengo v Boca Juniors79-72
30/01/22Boca Juniors v Flamengo71-68
10/12/21Flamengo v Boca Juniors88-66
25/11/10Boca Juniors v Flamengo70-80
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/23HHebraica y Macabi92-87 OT
07/12/23ASao Paulo83-70
05/12/23APaulistano77-72
02/12/23HFranca93-67
27/11/23HBauru89-73
23/11/23AMogi95-86
21/11/23ASao Jose64-82
16/11/23HBrasilia92-55
13/11/23HCerrado89-71
10/11/23AVasco68-65 OT
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23AHebraica y Macabi62-69
09/12/23HQuimsa67-72
05/12/23HRiachuelo64-70
29/11/23AObera TC85-66
26/11/23ARegatas73-60
23/11/23AObras Sanitarias96-104
18/11/23HInstituto de Cordoba88-94 OT
03/11/23HPlatense87-72
26/10/23AZarate79-73
21/10/23HGimnasia82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total179.0179.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game69.0-69.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total131.0-131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%86.073.0+13.0
2 Flamengo110100%92.087.0+5.0
3 Obras Sanitarias21150%90.084.5+5.5
4 Hebraica y Macabi21150%78.077.0+1.0
5 Boca Juniors1010%62.069.0-7.0
6 U. De Concepcion2020%67.085.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2218101262
Boca Juniors1919182480
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