Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 66-88

18-24 18-24 16-17 14-23

Position#17

Record10-27

FormLLLWL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game87.0

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Boca Juniors 🏆

Position#4

Record24-13

FormLLWWW

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game80.1

Liga ARound 20

Other2022-23

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

64-86

-22

H06/03

Liga A

Penarol

#13

99-78

+21

H20/03

Liga A

Olimpico

87-81

H24/03

Liga A

Quimsa

89-95

-6

A28/03

Liga A

Olimpico

98-106

106

-8

A30/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

67-83

-16

H02/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

93-95

-2

A06/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

66-85

-19

A08/04

Liga A

Atenas

#20

90-81

A09/04

Liga A

Ferro

#15

81-97

-16

H13/04

Liga A

19-23

12-24

19-19

14-20

19-20

21-16

25-26

34-16

25-24

20-16

28-21

14-20

16-25

22-15

29-33

22-22

28-22

25-28

22-32

23-24

15-16

17-23

20-17

15-27

23-23

24-20

27-23

19-29

15-26

16-11

17-18

18-30

24-26

27-19

17-17

22-19

27-30

23-21

16-26

15-20

172.1Avg total

83.4Scored

88.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	80.2	87.0	167.2	-6.9	27%
Season at home (18)	78.7	83.6	162.2	-4.9	33%
Season away (19)	81.6	90.3	171.9	-8.7	21%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	88.7	172.1	-5.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	88.2	167.6	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	79.6	90.1	169.7	-10.5	17%
vs Similar (4)	91.0	81.5	172.5	+9.5	100%
vs Weaker (2)	96.0	81.5	177.5	+14.5	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

86-84

A19/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

95-86

H22/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-77

+10

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

122-115

122

115

H30/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

93-81

+12

A01/04

Liga A

Olimpico

67-86

-19

A07/04

Liga A

Quimsa

71-88

-17

A08/04

Liga A

Platense

84-58

+26

H11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

92-71

+21

H13/04

Liga A

Penarol

#13

92-82

+10

H16/04

Liga A

18-20

20-18

25-25

23-21

24-26

16-14

25-14

30-32

25-22

19-17

25-19

18-19

30-24

30-25

31-33

22-22

30-14

19-23

10-25

18-18

20-25

19-18

18-25

26-20

16-26

11-17

20-15

27-17

20-10

17-16

23-17

22-18

20-21

27-15

16-14

22-19

30-25

24-24

171.7Avg total

88.9Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	84.3	80.1	164.4	+4.2	65%
Season at home (19)	86.6	78.7	165.3	+7.9	79%
Season away (18)	81.8	81.6	163.4	+0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.9	82.8	171.7	+6.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	77.0	158.2	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	83.5	162.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar (18)	80.3	77.3	157.6	+2.9	61%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.4	80.0	168.4	+8.4	80%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesBoca Juniors

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	23.5	44.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	23.3	43.1	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	28.0	51.5	-4.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.1	39.5	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	37.9	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.0	42.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.6	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.8	16.8	39.5	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	16.5	44.5	+11.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	50%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Platense

31-47

-16

H06/03

Liga A

Penarol

#13

40-36

H20/03

Liga A

Olimpico

45-40

H24/03

Liga A

Quimsa

38-40

-2

A28/03

Liga A

Olimpico

53-50

A30/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

32-39

-7

H02/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#14

47-43

A06/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

31-37

-6

A08/04

Liga A

Atenas

#20

51-45

A09/04

Liga A

Ferro

#15

50-51

-1

H13/04

Liga A

84.6Avg total

41.8Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	43.4	83.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	43.1	84.0	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.3	43.7	83.0	-4.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.8	84.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.0	85.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.3	44.8	83.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.5	35.0	79.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	51.5	44.5	96.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#19

38-38

A19/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#11

40-40

H22/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

44-39

A26/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

60-49

+11

H30/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

44-44

A01/04

Liga A

Olimpico

28-43

-15

A07/04

Liga A

Quimsa

44-45

-1

A08/04

Liga A

Platense

47-32

+15

H11/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

45-35

+10

H13/04

Liga A

Penarol

#13

38-33

H16/04

Liga A

82.6Avg total

42.8Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	36.9	78.5	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	39.1	74.9	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.8	82.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.6	78.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	45.0	84.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.3	40.5	81.8	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	22.5	44.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.0	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	19.4	42.9	+4.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.7	19.8	42.4	+2.9	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	18.1	41.3	+5.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	25.1	45.9	-4.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.0	42.8	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.1	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	27.2	49.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	20.5	45.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	16.0	35.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.4	20.9	40.4	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	21.4	45.3	+2.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	45.0	87.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.2	41.5	82.8	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.9	47.6	90.5	-4.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	45.9	87.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	45.2	82.4	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	41.3	45.4	86.7	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	46.5	46.5	93.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	37.0	81.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	40.2	83.7	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.8	41.2	87.9	+5.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	39.0	78.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	43.0	89.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	38.5	77.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	42.1	40.7	82.8	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	47.1	39.5	86.6	+7.6	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Boca Juniors wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/22	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	102-107
22/03/22	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	73-78
12/01/22	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors	69-84
21/03/21	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	86-96 OT
28/01/21	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors	93-85
27/02/20	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors	93-60
22/11/19	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-86
02/05/19	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	80-82
01/02/19	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Boca Juniors	69-78
26/04/18	Boca Juniors v Comunicaciones Mercedes	75-72

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/04/23	H	Ferro	81-97
09/04/23	A	Atenas	90-81
08/04/23	A	Instituto de Cordoba	66-85
06/04/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	93-95
02/04/23	H	San Martin	67-83
30/03/23	A	Olimpico	98-106
28/03/23	A	Quimsa	89-95
24/03/23	H	Olimpico	87-81
20/03/23	H	Penarol	99-78
06/03/23	H	Platense	64-86

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/23	H	Penarol	92-82
13/04/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	92-71
11/04/23	H	Platense	84-58
08/04/23	A	Quimsa	71-88
07/04/23	A	Olimpico	67-86
01/04/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	93-81
30/03/23	H	Instituto de Cordoba	122-115
26/03/23	A	Gimnasia	87-77
22/03/23	H	Riachuelo	95-86
19/03/23	A	Union De Santa Fe	86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	27%
Home	LWWLL	33%
Away	LLLLW	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	27%	33%	21%
Points / game	80.2	78.7	81.6
Allowed / game	87.0	83.6	90.3
Point differential	-6.9	-4.9	-8.7
Avg total	167.2	162.2	171.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	17%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	33% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	65%	79%	50%
Points / game	84.3	86.6	81.8
Allowed / game	80.1	78.7	81.6
Point differential	+4.2	+7.9	+0.2
Avg total	164.4	165.3	163.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	37%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	55% (11)	60% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Instituto de Cordoba	38	31	7	82%	83.3	76.7	+6.6
2	Quimsa	38	28	10	74%	87.5	76.6	+10.9
3	Gimnasia	38	27	11	71%	84.2	78.3	+5.9
4	Obera TC	38	25	13	66%	77.5	75.2	+2.2
5	Boca Juniors	37	24	13	65%	84.3	80.1	+4.2
6	Olimpico	38	24	14	63%	83.5	77.6	+5.9
7	Obras Sanitarias	37	22	15	59%	82.8	79.6	+3.2
8	Platense	37	21	16	57%	78.8	78.5	+0.2
9	Regatas	37	21	16	57%	76.8	76.7	+0.1
10	La Union	37	20	17	54%	81.1	79.6	+1.6
11	Penarol	38	20	18	53%	81.2	80.6	+0.6
12	Riachuelo	38	20	18	53%	83.3	84.5	-1.1
13	San Martin	38	19	19	50%	77.9	74.1	+3.8
14	Independiente de Oliva	38	17	21	45%	79.3	80.1	-0.8
15	Ferro	38	16	22	42%	80.0	82.6	-2.6
16	Argentino	38	11	27	29%	73.0	80.2	-7.2
17	Comunicaciones Mercedes	37	10	27	27%	80.2	87.0	-6.9
18	Union De Santa Fe	38	8	30	21%	77.8	83.3	-5.5
19	San Lorenzo	38	8	30	21%	76.5	85.1	-8.7
20	Atenas	38	5	33	13%	76.0	88.3	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	18	18	16	14	66
Boca Juniors	24	24	17	23	88

← all games of the day

Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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