Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 22:00

Final 82-83

16-11 17-30 25-28 24-14

Position#4

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.2

Allowed / game65.5

Boca Juniors

Gimnasia 🏆

Position#9

Record2-2

FormLLLWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game81.8

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Gimnasia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

75-72

no box

A02/06

Liga A

Quimsa

68-85

-17

no box

A07/06

Liga A

Quimsa

75-72

no box

A09/06

Liga A

Quimsa

78-83

-5

no box

H13/06

Liga A

Quimsa

64-73

-9

no box

H15/06

Liga A

Quimsa

51-77

-26

no box

A17/06

Liga A

Ferro

#13

77-66

+11

75avg 77

H08/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

68-56

+12

62avg 77

H11/10

Liga A

Penarol

#11

92-72

+20

92avg 77

A15/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

80-68

+12

79avg 77

A18/10

Liga A

20-23

12-20

24-16

19-13

22-16

15-27

13-26

18-16

24-22

13-18

19-23

19-9

14-23

21-24

23-17

20-19

16-21

13-15

21-20

14-17

17-28

11-15

12-18

11-16

22-12

19-20

20-18

16-16

11-19

17-14

23-10

17-13

19-22

22-14

34-16

17-20

16-25

20-15

14-11

30-17

145.2Avg total

72.8Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.2	65.5	144.8	+13.8	100%
Season at home (2)	72.5	61.0	133.5	+11.5	100%
Season away (2)	86.0	70.0	156.0	+16.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	72.4	145.2	+0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	67.8	141.4	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	67.8	79.7	147.5	-11.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	89.3	82.2	171.5	+7.1	82%
vs Weaker (7)	84.6	69.3	153.9	+15.3	100%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGimnasia

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

97-83

+14

no box

H10/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

69-65

no box

A13/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

72-69

no box

A14/05

Liga A

Quimsa

69-83

-14

no box

A24/05

Liga A

Quimsa

77-91

-14

no box

A26/05

Liga A

Quimsa

74-84

-10

no box

H28/05

Liga A

La Union

#16

80-99

-19

53avg 45

A05/10

Liga A

San Martin

77-88

-11

8avg 45

A07/10

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

88-63

+25

66avg 45

H10/10

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

83-77

51avg 45

H12/10

Liga A

29-24

16-18

35-26

17-15

18-20

14-10

15-19

22-16

20-21

20-12

16-17

16-19

12-19

20-23

14-21

23-20

19-18

19-14

23-35

16-24

14-14

17-23

17-28

26-19

12-25

19-21

27-25

22-28

15-21

6-27

25-16

31-24

21-12

20-14

15-22

32-15

26-18

16-15

21-20

20-24

158.8Avg total

78.6Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	82.0	81.8	163.8	+0.2	50%
Season at home (2)	85.5	70.0	155.5	+15.5	100%
Season away (2)	78.5	93.5	172.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	80.2	158.8	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	82.2	162.6	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	78.6	86.4	165.0	-7.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.6	75.1	153.7	+3.5	64%
vs Weaker (13)	85.9	79.8	165.8	+6.1	77%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsGimnasia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.3	41.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	43%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.6	19.5	41.2	+2.1	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.2	34.5	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	19.8	36.3	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	59%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.6	36.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.0	35.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.8	17.6	34.5	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	16.3	36.1	+3.5	69%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

32-43

-11

A02/06

Liga A

Quimsa

37-43

-6

A07/06

Liga A

Quimsa

37-40

-3

A09/06

Liga A

Quimsa

35-47

-12

H13/06

Liga A

Quimsa

29-36

-7

H15/06

Liga A

Quimsa

28-43

-15

A17/06

Liga A

Ferro

#13

41-32

H08/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

28-33

-5

H11/10

Liga A

Penarol

#11

41-36

A15/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

36-40

-4

A18/10

Liga A

73.7Avg total

34.4Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.5	79.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	38.0	79.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	40.9	78.8	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	39.3	73.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	36.8	71.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.0	42.3	77.3	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	71%	-
vs Weaker (7)	39.9	36.0	75.9	+3.9	57%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

45-42

H10/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

32-30

A13/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

40-33

A14/05

Liga A

Quimsa

32-42

-10

A24/05

Liga A

Quimsa

38-32

A26/05

Liga A

Quimsa

31-37

-6

H28/05

Liga A

La Union

#16

31-46

-15

A05/10

Liga A

San Martin

21-48

-27

A07/10

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

41-26

+15

H10/10

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

42-33

H12/10

Liga A

72.2Avg total

35.3Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	35.5	75.7	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	38.8	77.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	36.9	72.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	38.0	71.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.8	40.4	78.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.5	37.5	74.9	+0.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.5	69%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	20.2	43.9	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.6	35.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.3	21.7	39.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.9	65%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.9	15.1	37.0	+6.7	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.9	43.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.6	43.9	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.6	33.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.5	15.7	31.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	21.6	20.1	41.8	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	18.1	41.0	+4.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.0	48.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.9	40.9	87.8	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	35.4	74.6	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	33.1	71.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	31.0	69.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.8	37.3	70.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	45.5	40.1	85.6	+5.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.7	33.3	78.0	+11.4	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.4	84.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	39.7	81.2	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	43.0	86.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	43.3	86.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	44.2	91.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	40.8	46.0	86.8	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.5	44.0	88.5	+0.5	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Gimnasia wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/23	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	77-87
25/01/23	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	82-72
07/03/22	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	89-86 OT
25/01/22	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	63-76
29/09/21	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	78-60
22/04/21	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	70-78
20/04/21	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	79-70
16/01/21	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	87-74
11/11/20	Boca Juniors v Gimnasia	66-98
17/11/19	Gimnasia v Boca Juniors	99-87 OT

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/10/23	A	Argentino	80-68
15/10/23	A	Penarol	92-72
11/10/23	H	San Lorenzo	68-56
08/10/23	H	Ferro	77-66
17/06/23	A	Quimsa	51-77
15/06/23	H	Quimsa	64-73
13/06/23	H	Quimsa	78-83
09/06/23	A	Quimsa	75-72
07/06/23	A	Quimsa	68-85
02/06/23	A	Instituto de Cordoba	75-72

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/23	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-77
10/10/23	H	Union De Santa Fe	88-63
07/10/23	A	San Martin	77-88
05/10/23	A	La Union	80-99
28/05/23	H	Quimsa	74-84
26/05/23	A	Quimsa	77-91
24/05/23	A	Quimsa	69-83
14/05/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	72-69
13/05/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-65
10/05/23	H	Obras Sanitarias	97-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	79.2	72.5	86.0
Allowed / game	65.5	61.0	70.0
Point differential	+13.8	+11.5	+16.0
Avg total	144.8	133.5	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Gimnasia

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWW	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	82.0	85.5	78.5
Allowed / game	81.8	70.0	93.5
Point differential	+0.2	+15.5	-15.0
Avg total	163.8	155.5	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	3	3	0	100%	89.7	66.7	+23.0
2	Boca Juniors	4	4	0	100%	79.2	65.5	+13.8
3	Platense	4	3	1	75%	86.0	73.5	+12.5
4	Quimsa	4	3	1	75%	89.5	82.2	+7.2
5	Obras Sanitarias	4	3	1	75%	85.2	80.2	+5.0
6	Regatas	4	3	1	75%	78.2	74.2	+4.0
7	Obera TC	4	2	2	50%	92.0	79.2	+12.8
8	San Martin	4	2	2	50%	76.0	74.0	+2.0
9	Independiente de Oliva	4	2	2	50%	74.8	74.0	+0.8
10	Gimnasia	4	2	2	50%	82.0	81.8	+0.2
11	La Union	4	2	2	50%	79.2	79.8	-0.5
12	Instituto de Cordoba	4	2	2	50%	80.0	81.2	-1.2
13	San Lorenzo	4	2	2	50%	70.2	71.5	-1.2
14	Comunicaciones Mercedes	4	2	2	50%	80.5	82.0	-1.5
15	Riachuelo	3	1	2	33%	90.3	98.7	-8.3
16	Ferro	4	1	3	25%	76.5	80.5	-4.0
17	Penarol	4	1	3	25%	79.8	95.8	-16.0
18	Zarate	4	1	3	25%	67.2	84.5	-17.2
19	Union De Santa Fe	4	0	4	0%	76.5	89.8	-13.2
20	Argentino	4	0	4	0%	72.8	87.0	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	16	17	25	24	82
Gimnasia	11	30	28	14	83

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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