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Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Gimnasia
19 Mar 2027
BOCA v GIMN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
BOCA71
GIMN74
23 Apr 2025
BOCA73
GIMN62
21 Oct 2023
BOCA82
GIMN83
24 Jan 2023
BOCA82
GIMN72
25 Jan 2022
BOCA63
GIMN76
28 Sep 2021
BOCA78
GIMN60
20 Apr 2021
BOCA79
GIMN70
11 Nov 2020
BOCA66
GIMN98
26 Mar 2020
BOCA v GIMN
upcoming
14 Oct 2019
BOCA99
GIMN94
25 Apr 2019
BOCA95
GIMN77
08 Dec 2017
BOCA80
GIMN85
01 Nov 2017
BOCA68
GIMN80
02 Dec 2016
BOCA102
GIMN82
29 Oct 2016
BOCA71
GIMN88
25 Feb 2016
BOCA97
GIMN92
20 Oct 2015
BOCA73
GIMN82
28 May 2015
BOCA73
GIMN92
26 May 2015
BOCA77
GIMN68
29 Apr 2015
BOCA70
GIMN88
17 Nov 2014
BOCA78
GIMN58
04 May 2014
BOCA89
GIMN83
25 Apr 2014
BOCA76
GIMN70
23 Apr 2014
BOCA86
GIMN79
28 Jan 2014
BOCA69
GIMN61
14 Nov 2013
BOCA65
GIMN70
24 Jan 2013
BOCA87
GIMN79
27 Sep 2012
BOCA77
GIMN68
08 Jan 2012
BOCA79
GIMN78
21 Oct 2011
BOCA88
GIMN70
04 Feb 2011
BOCA67
GIMN70
02 Nov 2010
BOCA72
GIMN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gimnasia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 80
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 80
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 80
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 80
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 80
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 80
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 80
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 80
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGimnasia
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 70
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
73-89
73
89
-16
58avg 70
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 70
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 70
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
no box
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
68-58
68
58
+10
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
30-19
17-28
24-23
22-20
18-18
14-29
19-22
20-18
17-19
16-16
25-19
19-21
18-24
29-23
21-14
23-14
22-19
11-15
17-13
16-17
10-12
14-15
18-13
21-15
17-19
16-19
25-23
19-21
15-22
14-6
14-13
16-24
17-18
24-18
23-20
17-17
18-19
12-12
21-10
152.9Avg total
77.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.274.0151.2+3.275%
Season at home (4)81.275.0156.2+6.275%
Season away (8)75.173.5148.6+1.675%
Last 10 (10)77.775.2152.9+2.580%
Last 5 (5)74.872.4147.2+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.069.0136.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)75.872.2147.9+3.565%
vs Weaker (8)81.577.1158.6+4.475%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
Boca JuniorsGimnasia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Gimnasia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H04/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A01/11
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/11
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H09/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/11
Liga A
74.8Avg total
37.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.976.2+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.178.0+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.837.774.5-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.274.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.870.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.436.575.8+2.960%-
vs Weaker (8)41.238.179.4+3.150%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gimnasiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gimnasia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.5
51.5%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.0
30.9%
32.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
72.7%11.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
Gimnasia
WLWWWWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
+1.0
115.8
Offensive rating
106.8
117.2
Defensive rating
105.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.5%
3-point %
30.9%
53.3%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 106.8Defence117.2 · 105.9Shooting54.3% · 49.2%3-point %34.5% · 30.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Gimnasia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boca Juniors wins
5
Gimnasia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
Gimnasialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPlatense68-58
09/11/26HObera TC92-95 OT
06/11/26AIndependiente de Oliva77-76 OT
04/11/26AAtenas79-76
01/11/26AInstituto de Cordoba58-57
29/10/26HFerro73-61
12/10/26AArgentino87-82
11/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy78-72
09/10/26ASan Lorenzo73-89
04/10/26HLa Union92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gimnasia
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.281.275.1
Allowed / game74.075.073.5
Point differential+3.2+6.2+1.6
Avg total151.2156.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %17%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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