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Penarol vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 72-92
22-19 14-22 16-34 20-17
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game61.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Boca Juniors
10 Dec 2026
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
PENA89
BOCA78
21 Mar 2025
PENA64
BOCA72
15 Oct 2023
PENA72
BOCA92
28 Apr 2023
PENA110
BOCA114
23 Nov 2022
PENA86
BOCA81
01 May 2022
PENA80
BOCA81
29 Apr 2022
PENA70
BOCA81
02 Feb 2022
PENA68
BOCA71
25 Sep 2021
PENA77
BOCA86
19 Jan 2021
PENA74
BOCA80
29 Apr 2020
PENA v BOCA
upcoming
08 Oct 2019
PENA85
BOCA65
21 Apr 2019
PENA82
BOCA63
10 Feb 2018
PENA79
BOCA71
27 Feb 2017
PENA89
BOCA71
29 Sep 2016
PENA90
BOCA65
29 Jan 2016
PENA91
BOCA86
01 Oct 2015
PENA86
BOCA80
15 Apr 2015
PENA67
BOCA75
05 Dec 2014
PENA66
BOCA86
10 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA67
08 May 2014
PENA81
BOCA79
15 Dec 2013
PENA78
BOCA71
22 Nov 2013
PENA91
BOCA81
18 Jan 2013
PENA97
BOCA78
13 Sep 2012
PENA58
BOCA70
20 Jan 2012
PENA81
BOCA69
13 Nov 2011
PENA93
BOCA88
07 Jan 2011
PENA68
BOCA73
03 Dec 2010
PENA120
BOCA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H12/04
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
A15/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
A16/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A19/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A26/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
no box
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 69
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 69
A12/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
18-19
22-24
25-22
19-26
11-27
15-16
22-24
13-26
23-21
20-25
34-24
14-16
19-22
25-30
24-24
26-18
17-19
18-21
28-30
21-21
14-15
15-26
28-32
19-22
22-20
24-31
19-25
28-16
19-19
14-26
20-20
15-22
13-31
19-20
24-32
17-29
26-17
26-18
18-16
179.9Avg total
85.3Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.092.5171.5-13.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)79.092.5171.5-13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.394.6179.9-9.330%
Last 5 (5)86.098.2184.2-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.786.5165.2-7.718%
vs Similar (17)82.886.3169.1-3.547%
vs Weaker (2)86.592.5179.0-6.050%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
H27/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
104-96
104
96
+8
no box
H30/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A02/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A07/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A09/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H13/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
no box
H15/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
51-77
51
77
-26
no box
A17/06
Liga A
Ferro
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
75avg 69
H08/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
68-56
68
56
+12
62avg 69
H11/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-16
24-23
24-17
26-30
34-16
17-27
27-23
20-23
12-20
24-16
19-13
22-16
15-27
13-26
18-16
24-22
13-18
19-23
19-9
14-23
21-24
23-17
20-19
16-21
13-15
21-20
14-17
17-28
11-15
12-18
11-16
22-12
19-20
20-18
16-16
11-19
17-14
23-10
17-13
151.0Avg total
75.3Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.561.0133.5+11.5100%
Season at home (2)72.561.0133.5+11.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.375.7151.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)67.671.0138.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.879.7147.5-11.817%
vs Similar (17)89.382.2171.5+7.182%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.671.3153.9+11.3100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.6+2.6
PenarolBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H12/04
Liga A
Hebraica y Macabi
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A15/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A12/10
Liga A
81.1Avg total
38.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.279.0-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.037.776.7+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.642.781.3-4.113%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.781.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.541.780.2-3.327%-
vs Similar (17)38.639.377.9-0.635%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H30/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H13/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H15/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/06
Liga A
Ferro
#13
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H11/10
Liga A
77.2Avg total
37.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.679.2-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.079.6+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.841.078.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.077.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.270.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.042.377.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (17)41.240.081.2+1.271%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.636.375.9+3.343%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Penarol wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Penarol v Boca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol98-84
23/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol94-78
16/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol92-82
24/11/22Penarol v Boca Juniors86-81
08/05/22Boca Juniors v Penarol86-77
05/05/22Boca Juniors v Penarol68-75
01/05/22Penarol v Boca Juniors80-81
30/04/22Penarol v Boca Juniors70-81
10/02/22Boca Juniors v Penarol69-85
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23ARegatas87-80
09/10/23AObera TC71-105
29/04/23HBoca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23ABoca Juniors84-98
23/04/23ABoca Juniors78-94
19/04/23AObras Sanitarias89-88
16/04/23ABoca Juniors82-92
15/04/23AGimnasia90-96
13/04/23HHebraica y Macabi67-93
12/04/23HUnion De Santa Fe95-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HSan Lorenzo68-56
08/10/23HFerro77-66
17/06/23AQuimsa51-77
15/06/23HQuimsa64-73
13/06/23HQuimsa78-83
09/06/23AQuimsa75-72
07/06/23AQuimsa68-85
02/06/23AInstituto de Cordoba75-72
30/05/23HInstituto de Cordoba104-96
27/05/23HInstituto de Cordoba93-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game92.5-92.5
Point differential-13.5--13.5
Avg total171.5-171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game72.572.5-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total133.5133.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obera TC220100%104.074.0+30.0
2 Olimpico220100%93.065.5+27.5
3 Quimsa220100%84.069.0+15.0
4 Boca Juniors220100%72.561.0+11.5
5 Platense43175%86.073.5+12.5
6 La Union32167%84.382.3+2.0
7 Regatas21150%79.578.5+1.0
8 San Martin21150%80.079.5+0.5
9 Gimnasia42250%82.081.8+0.2
10 Instituto de Cordoba21150%79.080.0-1.0
11 Comunicaciones Mercedes42250%80.582.0-1.5
12 San Lorenzo21150%69.571.0-1.5
13 Obras Sanitarias21150%74.578.0-3.5
14 Riachuelo21150%86.594.0-7.5
15 Penarol21150%79.092.5-13.5
16 Independiente de Oliva31233%77.379.0-1.7
17 Ferro2020%69.576.0-6.5
18 Union De Santa Fe4040%76.589.8-13.2
19 Argentino2020%73.591.0-17.5
20 Zarate2020%63.594.5-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2214162072
Boca Juniors1922341792
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