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Boca Juniors vs Instituto de Cordoba Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 01:15
Final 75-70 (OT)
13-20 14-12 23-22 15-11 10-5
Position#1
Record35-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#2
Record33-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game73.7
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Final· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Instituto de Cordoba
13 Mar 2026
BOCA75
INST68
19 Feb 2026
BOCA70
INST63
20 Jul 2025
BOCA78
INST77
12 Jul 2025
BOCA85
INST84
03 Jul 2025
BOCA75
INST70
01 Jul 2025
BOCA69
INST82
16 May 2025
BOCA105
INST80
18 Apr 2025
BOCA80
INST73
19 Jul 2024
BOCA79
INST72
13 Jul 2024
BOCA70
INST66
11 Jul 2024
BOCA77
INST68
18 Nov 2023
BOCA88
INST94
29 May 2023
BOCA104
INST96
27 May 2023
BOCA93
INST77
29 Mar 2023
BOCA122
INST115
03 Mar 2022
BOCA97
INST73
07 Dec 2020
BOCA83
INST75
03 Feb 2020
BOCA71
INST93
03 Apr 2019
BOCA86
INST94
11 Apr 2018
BOCA89
INST71
09 Dec 2016
BOCA96
INST97
12 Feb 2016
BOCA89
INST69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Instituto de Cordoba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 76
H20/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 76
H06/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
61avg 76
H08/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 76
A12/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
67avg 76
A13/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 76
H17/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
70-58
70
58
+12
64avg 76
H23/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 76
H25/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
77avg 76
A28/06
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
34avg 76
H02/07
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-29
21-21
23-16
25-15
17-11
18-22
25-23
21-18
20-13
12-18
16-22
20-20
19-12
12-13
22-31
14-23
19-8
20-20
21-21
15-20
30-14
27-20
14-16
15-13
16-17
19-18
20-10
26-28
24-16
20-11
17-15
15-19
21-14
24-19
23-28
14-17
17-23
22-29
16-13
151.6Avg total
78.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)80.775.2155.9+5.574%
Season at home (25)82.272.8155.0+9.584%
Season away (22)79.078.0156.9+1.064%
Last 10 (10)78.573.1151.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)79.072.0151.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.083.0140.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.773.9153.6+5.867%
vs Weaker (17)80.774.8155.5+5.976%
This opponent (Instituto de Cordoba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto de CordobaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCordoba
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
76-61
76
61
+15
69avg 73
A20/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
56-64
56
64
-8
35avg 73
H08/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
77-76
77
76
+1
68avg 73
H09/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 73
A13/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 73
A14/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
64avg 73
H20/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
78avg 73
H22/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
60avg 73
A25/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 73
A27/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 73
A02/07
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
19-15
19-16
20-16
9-20
14-8
12-19
21-17
18-17
20-28
26-14
13-17
23-19
19-19
24-18
22-26
21-11
11-27
27-22
27-21
20-22
20-15
20-16
17-17
19-21
19-14
24-12
20-25
17-21
20-25
21-13
8-21
20-24
22-21
23-16
23-21
17-14
23-17
29-22
13-16
151.5Avg total
77.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)80.373.7154.1+6.670%
Season at home (23)83.674.6158.2+9.074%
Season away (24)77.272.9150.1+4.267%
Last 10 (10)77.873.7151.5+4.180%
Last 5 (5)79.074.6153.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.276.8147.0-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.777.8156.4+0.967%
vs Weaker (14)83.377.9161.2+5.471%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
Boca JuniorsInstituto de Cordoba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#20
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A12/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A13/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H23/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H25/06
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/06
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H02/07
Liga A
73.8Avg total
39.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.076.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.577.4+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.837.576.3+1.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.573.8+4.890%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.274.8+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.049.078.0-20.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.538.678.1+0.958%-
vs Weaker (17)40.835.175.9+5.771%-
This opponent (Instituto de Cordoba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto de CordobaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H08/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H09/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/06
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A25/06
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A02/07
Liga A
74.1Avg total
36.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.240.580.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)39.239.879.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.274.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.878.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.538.074.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.039.578.5-0.558%-
vs Weaker (14)41.141.282.3-0.150%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.3
55.6%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
71.7%12.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Instituto de Cordobatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Instituto de Cordoba: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
53.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
71.7%11.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jul 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
LWWWWWLLWW
Instituto de Cordoba
WWLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+11.6
Net rating
-3.2
113.2
Offensive rating
101.5
101.6
Defensive rating
104.6
57.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.5%
3-point %
31.7%
72.5%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 101.5Defence101.6 · 104.6Shooting57.3% · 51.0%3-point %39.5% · 31.7%Ball care15.3% · 17.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Instituto de Cordoba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/25HInstituto de Cordoba69-82
28/06/25AQuimsa83-80
25/06/25HQuimsa87-70
23/06/25HQuimsa70-58
17/06/25HFerro86-70
13/06/25AFerro74-72
12/06/25AFerro73-76
08/06/25HFerro69-71
06/06/25HFerro85-71
20/05/25HArgentino89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/25ABoca Juniors82-69
27/06/25ARegatas88-82
25/06/25ARegatas66-80
22/06/25HRegatas82-72
20/06/25HRegatas77-70
14/06/25ARiachuelo86-81
13/06/25ARiachuelo88-82
09/06/25HRiachuelo77-76
08/06/25HRiachuelo56-64
20/05/25AObras Sanitarias76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeLWWWL84%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %74%84%64%
Points / game80.782.279.0
Allowed / game75.272.878.0
Point differential+5.5+9.5+1.0
Avg total155.9155.0156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%48%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)62% (8)54% (13)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Instituto de Cordoba
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLLWWW74%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %70%74%67%
Points / game80.383.677.2
Allowed / game73.774.672.9
Point differential+6.6+9.0+4.2
Avg total154.1158.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%52%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors47351274%80.775.2+5.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba47331470%80.373.7+6.6
3 Obera TC42271564%82.178.0+4.1
4 Quimsa44281664%85.877.9+8.0
5 Obras Sanitarias44271761%81.979.9+2.0
6 Riachuelo46271959%80.376.9+3.3
7 Regatas51272453%78.578.6-0.0
8 Ferro48252352%80.181.0-0.9
9 Gimnasia43222151%81.678.2+3.4
10 San Martin43212249%74.373.1+1.2
11 Union De Santa Fe42202248%82.285.5-3.3
12 Penarol38182047%81.278.7+2.5
13 Atenas41192246%78.980.9-2.0
14 San Lorenzo38172145%77.579.8-2.3
15 Olimpico38172145%80.783.4-2.7
16 Platense38152339%79.482.2-2.8
17 Independiente de Oliva38142437%85.288.1-2.9
18 La Union38132534%84.286.5-2.3
19 Zarate42113126%70.980.5-9.5
20 Argentino4293321%71.582.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boca Juniors131423151075
Instituto de Cordoba20122211570
← all games of the day
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