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Ferro vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 23:05
Final 72-74
23-14 8-19 20-20 21-21
Position#8
Record25-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#1
Record30-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game75.7
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ferro v Boca Juniors
29 Dec 2025
FERR100
BOCA84
13 Jun 2025
FERR72
BOCA74
11 Jun 2025
FERR76
BOCA73
03 Dec 2024
FERR82
BOCA97
03 Apr 2024
FERR69
BOCA70
30 Oct 2022
FERR99
BOCA96
16 Apr 2022
FERR58
BOCA78
10 Nov 2020
FERR60
BOCA76
22 Jan 2020
FERR88
BOCA79
15 Jan 2019
FERR78
BOCA81
19 Oct 2018
FERR68
BOCA63
23 Apr 2018
FERR102
BOCA105
14 Oct 2017
FERR80
BOCA81
07 Mar 2017
FERR71
BOCA70
26 Sep 2016
FERR83
BOCA63
15 Mar 2016
FERR64
BOCA71
20 Nov 2015
FERR65
BOCA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
73avg 72
A18/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 72
A20/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
77-67
77
67
+10
71avg 72
H25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
75-92
75
92
-17
72avg 72
H27/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
57-76
57
76
-19
44avg 72
A30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
77-64
77
64
+13
73avg 72
A31/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 72
H03/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 72
A06/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 72
A08/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 72
H12/06
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-20
12-20
22-13
27-16
18-21
19-19
21-16
19-17
18-16
23-15
17-19
18-28
14-16
26-23
17-25
8-24
14-21
21-15
14-16
27-14
15-20
20-13
15-17
23-17
21-17
22-21
25-14
15-25
11-17
22-18
23-25
18-21
13-20
18-12
22-16
20-20
12-19
13-12
31-22
150.2Avg total
76.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)80.581.0161.5-0.554%
Season at home (23)83.280.2163.4+3.065%
Season away (23)77.881.8159.6-4.043%
Last 10 (10)76.174.1150.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)77.272.0149.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.978.5156.4-0.657%
vs Similar (12)83.181.9165.0+1.258%
vs Weaker (4)81.571.5153.0+10.075%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
89avg 76
A07/05
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
54avg 76
A09/05
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
68-61
68
61
+7
66avg 76
A10/05
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
93-84
93
84
+9
98avg 76
A14/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
105-80
105
80
+25
112avg 76
H17/05
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 76
H20/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 76
H06/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
61avg 76
H08/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 76
A12/06
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-15
19-20
23-20
18-28
20-20
19-15
22-16
14-24
19-17
14-14
17-14
16-11
14-11
23-14
15-25
24-23
17-18
25-24
27-19
21-27
30-19
29-14
25-20
24-15
21-29
21-21
23-16
25-15
17-11
18-22
25-23
21-18
20-13
12-18
16-22
20-20
19-12
12-13
22-31
158.6Avg total
81.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.175.7156.7+5.473%
Season at home (21)83.073.3156.3+9.886%
Season away (20)79.078.2157.2+0.860%
Last 10 (10)81.876.8158.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)84.275.8160.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
vs Similar (8)80.974.6155.5+6.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.875.5158.3+7.375%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
FerroBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A18/05
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A20/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A31/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H03/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/06
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H12/06
Liga A
74.8Avg total
35.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.178.9+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.138.981.0+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.939.277.1-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.074.8-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.840.478.1-2.643%-
vs Similar (12)41.438.880.2+2.658%-
vs Weaker (4)42.235.577.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H03/05
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A07/05
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/05
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A10/05
Liga A
Platense
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/05
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H06/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A12/06
Liga A
76.7Avg total
39.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.478.8+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.636.779.3+5.967%-
Last 30 away (12)39.538.477.9+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.976.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.879.4+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.540.583.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (8)40.839.580.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.536.277.8+5.265%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.3
55.6%
53.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.4
68.5%
71.7%12.4
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ferro wins
6
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
12/06/25Ferro v Boca Juniors76-73
08/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro69-71
06/06/25Boca Juniors v Ferro85-71
28/02/25Boca Juniors v Ferro80-77
04/12/24Ferro v Boca Juniors82-97
04/04/24Ferro v Boca Juniors69-70
08/10/23Boca Juniors v Ferro77-66
01/02/23Boca Juniors v Ferro68-69
30/10/22Ferro v Boca Juniors99-96
17/04/22Ferro v Boca Juniors58-78
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25HBoca Juniors76-73
08/06/25ABoca Juniors71-69
06/06/25ABoca Juniors71-85
03/06/25HGimnasia91-69
31/05/25AGimnasia77-64
30/05/25AGimnasia57-76
27/05/25HGimnasia75-92
25/05/25HGimnasia77-67
20/05/25ASan Lorenzo85-72
18/05/25AGimnasia81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25AFerro73-76
08/06/25HFerro69-71
06/06/25HFerro85-71
20/05/25HArgentino89-81
17/05/25HInstituto de Cordoba105-80
14/05/25APlatense93-84
10/05/25ARegatas68-61
09/05/25ASan Martin64-69
07/05/25ALa Union92-97 OT
03/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %54%65%43%
Points / game80.583.277.8
Allowed / game81.080.281.8
Point differential-0.5+3.0-4.0
Avg total161.5163.4159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)56% (9)62% (8)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %73%86%60%
Points / game81.183.079.0
Allowed / game75.773.378.2
Point differential+5.4+9.8+0.8
Avg total156.7156.3157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)62% (8)45% (11)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors41301173%81.175.7+5.4
2 Quimsa41281368%87.077.7+9.3
3 Instituto de Cordoba41281368%80.373.5+6.9
4 Obera TC41271466%82.278.0+4.2
5 Obras Sanitarias44271761%81.979.9+2.0
6 Riachuelo45271860%80.276.7+3.5
7 Regatas46252154%78.778.6+0.1
8 Ferro46252154%80.581.0-0.5
9 Gimnasia43222151%81.678.2+3.4
10 San Martin43212249%74.373.1+1.2
11 Union De Santa Fe42202248%82.285.5-3.3
12 Penarol38182047%81.278.7+2.5
13 Atenas41192246%78.980.9-2.0
14 San Lorenzo38172145%77.579.8-2.3
15 Olimpico38172145%80.783.4-2.7
16 Platense38152339%79.482.2-2.8
17 Independiente de Oliva38142437%85.288.1-2.9
18 La Union38132534%84.286.5-2.3
19 Zarate42113126%70.980.5-9.5
20 Argentino4293321%71.582.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro238202172
Boca Juniors1419202174
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