Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jun 2025

Tip-off: 23:05

Final 69-71

21-18 20-13 12-18 16-22

Position#1

Record30-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game75.8

Boca Juniors

Ferro 🏆

Position#8

Record23-21

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game81.5

Liga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio Luis Conde

Other2024-25

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

84-76

78avg 76

H25/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#11

83-77

87avg 76

A29/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

80-78

75avg 76

H03/05

Liga A

La Union

#18

92-97 OT

-5

89avg 76

A07/05

Liga A

San Martin

#10

64-69

-5

54avg 76

A09/05

Liga A

Regatas

68-61

66avg 76

A10/05

Liga A

Platense

#16

93-84

98avg 76

A14/05

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

105-80

105

+25

112avg 76

H17/05

Liga A

Argentino

#20

89-81

83avg 76

H20/05

Liga A

Ferro

85-71

+14

79avg 76

H06/06

Liga A

15-20

17-16

27-16

25-24

24-19

31-19

10-20

18-19

21-23

17-15

19-20

23-20

18-28

20-20

19-15

22-16

14-24

19-17

14-14

17-14

16-11

14-11

23-14

15-25

24-23

17-18

25-24

27-19

21-27

30-19

29-14

25-20

24-15

21-29

21-21

23-16

25-15

17-11

18-22

25-23

161.7Avg total

84.3Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	81.6	75.8	157.4	+5.8	77%
Season at home (20)	83.8	73.4	157.2	+10.3	90%
Season away (19)	79.3	78.3	157.6	+1.1	63%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	77.4	161.7	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	75.4	163.4	+12.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	76.5	77.0	153.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar (9)	81.9	75.9	157.8	+6.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	83.9	75.8	159.7	+8.1	84%

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

81-69

+12

76avg 72

H29/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

90-80

+10

88avg 72

H15/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

81-74

73avg 72

A18/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#14

85-72

+13

82avg 72

A20/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-67

+10

71avg 72

H25/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

75-92

-17

72avg 72

H27/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

57-76

-19

44avg 72

A30/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-64

+13

73avg 72

A31/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

91-69

+22

92avg 72

H03/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

71-85

-14

58avg 72

A06/06

Liga A

26-17

16-21

22-9

17-22

27-15

23-27

20-19

25-21

22-20

12-20

22-13

27-16

18-21

19-19

21-16

19-17

18-16

23-15

17-19

18-28

14-16

26-23

17-25

8-24

14-21

21-15

14-16

27-14

15-20

20-13

15-17

23-17

21-17

22-21

25-14

15-25

11-17

22-18

23-25

153.3Avg total

78.5Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	80.8	81.5	162.3	-0.6	52%
Season at home (22)	83.5	80.5	164.1	+3.0	64%
Season away (22)	78.1	82.4	160.5	-4.3	41%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	74.8	153.3	+3.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	77.2	151.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	80.0	80.1	160.1	-0.1	57%
vs Similar (12)	83.1	81.9	165.0	+1.2	58%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	71.5	153.0	+10.0	75%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.4	40.5	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.3	19.1	40.3	+2.2	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.7	41.5	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	64%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.4	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.2	33.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	17.5	39.2	+4.2	75%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

32-36

-4

H25/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#11

55-38

+17

A29/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#17

38-38

H03/05

Liga A

La Union

#18

38-48

-10

A07/05

Liga A

San Martin

#10

33-41

-8

A09/05

Liga A

Regatas

30-22

A10/05

Liga A

Platense

#16

41-41

A14/05

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

51-46

H17/05

Liga A

Argentino

#20

45-44

H20/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-26

+16

H06/06

Liga A

78.5Avg total

40.5Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.7	37.1	79.8	+5.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	39.8	79.2	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.0	78.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.8	77.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.7	40.4	81.1	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.5	36.9	78.4	+4.5	58%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

#15

42-38

H29/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

50-42

H15/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

47-41

A18/05

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#14

45-37

A20/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-33

H25/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-44

-12

H27/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

22-45

-23

A30/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-34

A31/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

44-34

+10

H03/06

Liga A

Boca Juniors

26-42

-16

A06/06

Liga A

77.7Avg total

38.7Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	39.5	83.0	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	39.1	77.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	39.8	73.0	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.1	40.8	80.9	-0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.2	35.5	77.8	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.2	37.5	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	11.5	33.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.7	16.9	37.7	+3.8	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.1	39.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	64%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	19.4	41.2	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.0	25.0	37.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	15.0	36.3	+6.3	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	58%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	36.7	77.4	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.3	37.1	80.4	+6.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.4	36.2	73.5	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	39.6	85.8	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	36.5	70.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.1	34.1	74.2	+6.0	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	41.7	37.9	79.6	+3.8	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	41.3	81.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	35.8	75.6	+4.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.4	78.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.9	39.4	79.2	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.9	41.9	82.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.1	17.3	55.6%	53.8%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	11.1	39.5%	32.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	18.1	12.4	68.5%	71.7%	12.4

They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	19.0	47.6%	53.8%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.8	33.8%	32.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	15.3	10.7	69.9%	71.7%	10.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.6	17.2	54.3%	53.8%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.1	35.4%	32.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.4%	71.7%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.4	47.8%	53.8%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.8	31.6%	32.9%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.2	73.0%	71.7%	12.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
06/06/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	85-71
28/02/25	Boca Juniors v Ferro	80-77
04/12/24	Ferro v Boca Juniors	82-97
04/04/24	Ferro v Boca Juniors	69-70
08/10/23	Boca Juniors v Ferro	77-66
01/02/23	Boca Juniors v Ferro	68-69
30/10/22	Ferro v Boca Juniors	99-96
17/04/22	Ferro v Boca Juniors	58-78
19/03/22	Boca Juniors v Ferro	95-59
28/09/21	Boca Juniors v Ferro	97-69

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/06/25	H	Ferro	85-71
20/05/25	H	Argentino	89-81
17/05/25	H	Instituto de Cordoba	105-80
14/05/25	A	Platense	93-84
10/05/25	A	Regatas	68-61
09/05/25	A	San Martin	64-69
07/05/25	A	La Union	92-97 OT
03/05/25	H	Independiente de Oliva	80-78
29/04/25	A	Union De Santa Fe	83-77
25/04/25	H	Olimpico	84-76

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/06/25	A	Boca Juniors	71-85
03/06/25	H	Gimnasia	91-69
31/05/25	A	Gimnasia	77-64
30/05/25	A	Gimnasia	57-76
27/05/25	H	Gimnasia	75-92
25/05/25	H	Gimnasia	77-67
20/05/25	A	San Lorenzo	85-72
18/05/25	A	Gimnasia	81-74
15/05/25	H	Riachuelo	90-80
29/04/25	H	Olimpico	81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	77%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WLLWW	63%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	77%	90%	63%
Points / game	81.6	83.8	79.3
Allowed / game	75.8	73.4	78.3
Point differential	+5.8	+10.3	+1.1
Avg total	157.4	157.2	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	45%	16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	59% (17)	71% (7)	50% (10)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

Ferro

Liga A 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	52%
Home	WWWLW	64%
Away	WWLWL	41%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	22	22
Win %	52%	64%	41%
Points / game	80.8	83.5	78.1
Allowed / game	81.5	80.5	82.4
Point differential	-0.6	+3.0	-4.3
Avg total	162.3	164.1	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	32%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (15)	50% (8)	57% (7)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Boca Juniors	39	30	9	77%	81.6	75.8	+5.8
2	Obera TC	39	27	12	69%	82.4	77.6	+4.9
3	Quimsa	39	26	13	67%	87.1	77.9	+9.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	39	26	13	67%	80.2	73.2	+7.1
5	Obras Sanitarias	42	27	15	64%	82.4	79.6	+2.7
6	Riachuelo	43	27	16	63%	80.3	76.5	+3.8
7	Regatas	44	23	21	52%	78.4	78.7	-0.3
8	Ferro	44	23	21	52%	80.8	81.5	-0.6
9	Gimnasia	43	22	21	51%	81.6	78.2	+3.4
10	San Martin	43	21	22	49%	74.3	73.1	+1.2
11	Union De Santa Fe	42	20	22	48%	82.2	85.5	-3.3
12	Penarol	38	18	20	47%	81.2	78.7	+2.5
13	Atenas	41	19	22	46%	78.9	80.9	-2.0
14	San Lorenzo	38	17	21	45%	77.5	79.8	-2.3
15	Olimpico	38	17	21	45%	80.7	83.4	-2.7
16	Platense	38	15	23	39%	79.4	82.2	-2.8
17	Independiente de Oliva	38	14	24	37%	85.2	88.1	-2.9
18	La Union	38	13	25	34%	84.2	86.5	-2.3
19	Zarate	42	11	31	26%	70.9	80.5	-9.5
20	Argentino	42	9	33	21%	71.5	82.7	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	21	20	12	16	69
Ferro	18	13	18	22	71

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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