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Boca Juniors vs Platense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Platense
03 Apr 2027
BOCA v PLAT
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
BOCA95
PLAT91
21 Dec 2024
BOCA85
PLAT73
02 Nov 2023
BOCA87
PLAT72
10 Apr 2023
BOCA84
PLAT58
20 Jan 2022
BOCA78
PLAT57
04 Feb 2021
BOCA88
PLAT81
21 Dec 2019
BOCA76
PLAT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Platense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
92avg 81
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
83-94
83
94
-11
76avg 81
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
91avg 81
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
96-105
96
105
-9
95avg 81
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 81
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 81
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 81
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 81
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
21-21
22-29
26-25
22-25
20-27
22-20
19-22
26-21
30-11
21-21
19-20
33-23
21-26
21-31
21-25
17-35
17-20
29-19
17-19
24-25
19-21
17-12
22-26
21-15
23-28
21-12
15-17
32-14
23-20
21-25
19-24
14-13
28-17
21-14
27-19
27-24
23-17
30-26
17-26
175.0Avg total
89.8Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.583.2172.8+6.262%
Season at home (4)94.578.0172.5+16.5100%
Season away (4)84.588.5173.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)89.885.2175.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)85.183.2168.3+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.378.4164.7+7.987%
This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlatenseArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlatense
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
81avg 72
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 72
H17/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
66avg 72
A02/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
58avg 72
A04/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
77avg 72
H06/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 72
H16/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
81-86
81
86
-5
67avg 72
A21/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
80-58
80
58
+22
76avg 72
A28/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
58-68
58
68
-10
no box
A15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-35
19-21
22-13
24-26
15-14
22-18
17-27
23-20
18-8
21-26
12-16
31-24
14-22
14-25
13-31
26-16
19-28
19-29
22-20
26-13
21-17
20-24
24-25
21-14
20-30
17-20
14-19
30-17
16-18
28-18
22-16
14-6
17-19
24-29
15-16
19-15
17-17
19-18
12-12
10-21
158.2Avg total
77.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.978.6155.5-1.838%
Season at home (3)82.383.0165.3-0.733%
Season away (5)73.676.0149.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)77.980.3158.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)76.074.2150.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.286.5164.7-8.215%
vs Similar (15)82.183.3165.5-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)80.576.0156.5+4.550%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
Boca JuniorsPlatense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H30/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H31/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H08/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A13/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H28/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/11
Liga A
89.1Avg total
47.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.238.984.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.442.685.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.089.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.439.984.3+4.567%-
This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlatenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H15/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H17/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A02/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A04/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H06/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H16/10
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A21/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A28/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H11/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/11
Liga A
81.8Avg total
38.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.044.882.9-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.545.985.4-6.523%-
Last 30 away (17)36.944.080.9-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.681.8-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.546.283.7-8.623%-
vs Similar (15)37.743.781.5-6.020%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.9
56.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.1
34.5%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.115.4
76.6%
72.7%15.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Platensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Platense: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.5
52.4%
54.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
32.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.7%14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWLLLWLW
Platense
LLWLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#11
-1.3
Net rating
-0.4
115.8
Offensive rating
113.1
117.2
Defensive rating
113.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.5%
3-point %
34.5%
53.3%
Assist %
50.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 113.1Defence117.2 · 113.6Shooting54.3% · 52.1%3-point %34.5% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Platense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boca Juniors wins
2
Platense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HLa Union97-93
07/11/26HSan Martin90-63
28/10/26HRegatas95-83
24/10/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-72
22/10/26AArgentino82-84
13/10/26AOlimpico80-93
11/10/26AQuimsa96-105
08/10/26HObera TC96-73
31/05/26HQuimsa83-94
30/05/26HQuimsa99-92
Platenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AGimnasia58-68
11/11/26HPenarol75-79
28/10/26ASan Lorenzo80-58
21/10/26AFerro81-86
16/10/26HObera TC86-80
06/10/26HLa Union86-90
04/10/26AQuimsa67-94
02/10/26AOlimpico82-74
17/04/26HSan Martin77-79
15/04/26HRegatas87-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.594.584.5
Allowed / game83.278.088.5
Point differential+6.2+16.5-4.0
Avg total172.8172.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Platense
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game76.982.373.6
Allowed / game78.683.076.0
Point differential-1.8-0.7-2.4
Avg total155.5165.3149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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