Platense vs Penarol Result & Analysis

The Liga A clash on 11 November 2026 between Platense and Penarol is a razor-thin contest, with no clear favourite as the two sides sit just one win apart in the standings. Platense, 3-3 overall with an average of 80.3 points scored and allowed, has gone 1-1 at home, scoring 86.0 and conceding 85.0, and has won only two of its last five games, including a 86-80 home win over Obera TC. Penarol, 5-1 overall, averages 82.2 points scored and 74.5 points allowed, and on the road has gone 3-1, scoring 84.0 and conceding 78.5, winning four of its last five, highlighted by a 95-76 home victory over San Martin. Their head-to-head record is 8-2 in Penarol's favour, the most recent meeting ending 79-72 for Penarol on 7 March 2026. Pythia gives Penarol a 53% chance of winning versus 47% for Platense, projecting a 81-82 scoreline and 163.1 total points; the home team line is 1.5 with a 50% chance of covering, and the total line is 161.5 with a 53% probability of the over, while the game has a 5% chance of going to overtime. The match will hinge on whether Platense can keep its recent defensive pace against Penarol's offensive firepower.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Platense winLost

47.4%fair 2.11

Best odds1.85

Implied51.4%

Edge-4.1pp

Penarol winWon

52.6%fair 1.90

Best odds1.96

Implied48.6%

Edge+4.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Platense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPlatense

Date

Competition

Atenas

#18

72-77

-5

58avg 72

A05/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

98-86

+12

96avg 72

A08/04

Liga A

Regatas

87-95

-8

81avg 72

H15/04

Liga A

San Martin

#12

77-79

-2

71avg 72

H17/04

Liga A

Olimpico

82-74

66avg 72

A02/10

Liga A

Quimsa

67-94

-27

58avg 72

A04/10

Liga A

La Union

#14

86-90

-4

77avg 72

H06/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

86-80

82avg 72

H16/10

Liga A

Ferro

#16

81-86

-5

67avg 72

A21/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

80-58

+22

76avg 72

A28/10

Liga A

17-18

13-18

14-22

28-19

23-20

24-22

20-19

31-25

22-35

19-21

22-13

24-26

15-14

22-18

17-27

23-20

18-8

21-26

12-16

31-24

14-22

14-25

13-31

26-16

19-28

19-29

22-20

26-13

21-17

20-24

24-25

21-14

20-30

17-20

14-19

30-17

16-18

28-18

22-16

14-6

163.5Avg total

81.6Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	80.3	80.3	160.7	+0.0	50%
Season at home (2)	86.0	85.0	171.0	+1.0	50%
Season away (4)	77.5	78.0	155.5	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	81.9	163.5	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	81.6	161.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	80.4	88.8	169.2	-8.5	18%
vs Similar (16)	82.5	83.4	165.9	-0.9	44%
vs Weaker (3)	82.3	80.7	163.0	+1.7	33%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Ferro

91-97

-6

81avg 74

A24/04

Liga A

Ferro

78-80

-2

68avg 74

A26/04

Liga A

Ferro

87-75

+12

83avg 74

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

68-84

-16

61avg 74

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

62-57

54avg 74

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#11

84-77

77avg 74

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

92-85

87avg 74

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

95-76

+19

86avg 74

H28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

73-78

-5

no box

A31/10

Liga A

Olimpico

87-74

+13

no box

A03/11

Liga A

30-29

13-24

21-17

27-27

25-21

18-29

20-12

15-18

22-20

18-23

25-21

22-11

19-22

23-26

10-22

16-14

17-14

13-15

14-6

18-22

18-26

27-17

26-23

13-11

28-22

17-22

26-18

21-23

23-11

25-21

24-25

23-19

19-15

11-23

20-21

23-19

20-17

23-18

24-23

20-16

160.0Avg total

81.7Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.2	74.5	156.7	+7.7	83%
Season at home (2)	78.5	66.5	145.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (4)	84.0	78.5	162.5	+5.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	78.3	160.0	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	78.0	164.2	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	81.0	152.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar (20)	82.9	80.9	163.8	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.1	77.8	159.9	+4.4	62%

This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

57.8%

@ 1.69+1.4pp

Under 159.5

42.2%

@ 2.18-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.69

Bet365

1.68

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.59

1xBet

1.58

Under

Pinnacle

2.18

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.05

1xBet

1.96

Over/Under 164.75 · main lineActual: Under 164.75

Over 164.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under 164.75

no forecast

@ 1.78

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.78

Under

1xBet

1.78

Over/Under 169.5Actual: Under 169.5

Over 169.5

34.2%

@ 2.85+0.2pp

Under 169.5

65.8%

@ 1.42-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.85

Betano

2.57

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.37

📊 3. Team Totals

Platense total 76.5Actual: Platense under 76.5

Over 76.5

67.1%

@ 1.52+2.3pp

Under 76.5

32.9%

@ 2.64-2.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.32

Under

1xBet

2.64

Betano

2.62

Bet365

2.40

Platense total 80.5 · main lineActual: Platense under 80.5

Over 80.5

52.2%

@ 1.85+1.1pp

Under 80.5

47.8%

@ 2.00-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.61

Under

Betano

2.00

Marathon Be

1.86

1xBet

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Platense total 84.5Actual: Platense under 84.5

Over 84.5

37.1%

@ 2.75-2.9pp

Under 84.5

62.9%

@ 1.53+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.16

Under

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.45

Bet365

1.40

Penarol total 77.5Actual: Penarol over 77.5

Over 77.5

66.4%

@ 1.44+2.9pp

Under 77.5

33.6%

@ 2.55-2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.36

Penarol total 81.5 · main lineActual: Penarol under 81.5

Over 81.5

51.3%

@ 1.85+1.6pp

Under 81.5

48.7%

@ 1.83-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Penarol total 85.5Actual: Penarol under 85.5

Over 85.5

36.2%

@ 2.57+0.1pp

Under 85.5

63.8%

@ 1.42-0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.39

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Platense -4Actual: Penarol +4

PLAT -4

34.7%

@ 2.85+2.1pp

PENA +4

65.3%

@ 1.38-2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

PLAT

Bet365

2.85

PENA

Bet365

1.38

Spread Platense -1 · main lineActual: Penarol +1

PLAT -1

45.8%

@ 2.22-4.4pp

PENA +1

54.2%

@ 1.92+4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

PLAT

Bet365

2.22

SBO

1.98

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.86

PENA

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.79

SBO

1.70

Bet365

1.58

Spread Platense +2Actual: Penarol -2

PLAT +2

52.6%

@ 1.86-3.4pp

PENA -2

47.4%

@ 2.15+3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

PLAT

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.77

Pinnacle

1.69

Marathon Be

1.63

PENA

Pinnacle

2.15

Marathon Be

2.03

SBO

1.89

Bet365

1.80

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PlatensePenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	33%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	23.3	43.6	-3.0	31%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	23.1	42.1	-4.0	35%	59%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.8	25.3	44.1	-6.5	18%	82%
vs Similar (16)	20.4	21.6	42.1	-1.2	50%	50%
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	23.7	41.7	-5.7	0%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	42%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	56%	56%
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (20)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	50%	62%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	30%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	31%	77%
Last 30 away (17)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.1	29%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	21.7	40.3	-3.2	36%	64%
vs Similar (16)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-2.9	25%	56%
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	25.0	48.7	-1.3	33%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	19.6	37.3	-1.8	25%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.8	33%	56%
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (20)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	25%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	50%	38%

PlatenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atenas

#18

30-36

-6

A05/04

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

47-42

A08/04

Liga A

Regatas

41-56

-15

H15/04

Liga A

San Martin

#12

37-32

H17/04

Liga A

Olimpico

39-34

A02/10

Liga A

Quimsa

28-47

-19

A04/10

Liga A

La Union

#14

38-57

-19

H06/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#10

41-41

H16/10

Liga A

Ferro

#16

37-50

-13

A21/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

44-36

A28/10

Liga A

81.3Avg total

38.2Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	38.3	44.8	83.1	-6.4	23%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	39.7	45.2	84.9	-5.5	31%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	37.3	44.4	81.7	-7.1	18%	53%
Last 10 (10)	38.2	43.1	81.3	-4.9	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.6	46.2	83.8	-8.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.4	47.0	84.4	-9.6	18%	64%
vs Similar (16)	38.4	42.5	80.9	-4.1	25%	56%
vs Weaker (3)	41.7	48.7	90.3	-7.0	33%	67%

This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro

43-53

-10

A24/04

Liga A

Ferro

43-50

-7

A26/04

Liga A

Ferro

40-43

-3

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-48

-6

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-29

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#11

45-43

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#17

45-44

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

48-32

+16

H28/10

Liga A

Quimsa

30-38

-8

A31/10

Liga A

Olimpico

43-35

A03/11

Liga A

82.4Avg total

40.9Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.5	81.7	-1.4	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	38.2	38.6	76.8	-0.4	42%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	41.5	43.5	85.0	-2.0	44%	67%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.5	82.4	-0.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	100%
vs Similar (20)	40.0	42.3	82.3	-2.2	35%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.5	62%	38%

This opponent (Platense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Penarol win

PLAT win

no forecast

@ 1.86

PENA win

no forecast

@ 1.96

1st half Spread Platense 0 · main lineActual: Penarol 0

PLAT 0

no forecast

@ 1.83

PENA 0

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 80.75 · main lineActual: Over 80.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Platense 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Platense over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.18

Penarol 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Penarol over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half: PLAT + total 80.5

PLAT & over

no forecast

@ 3.65

PLAT & under

no forecast

@ 3.75

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PENA + total 80.5

PENA & over

no forecast

@ 3.65

PENA & under

no forecast

@ 3.75

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 2.09

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 2.03

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

1st half Spread Platense -1Actual: Penarol +1

PLAT -1

no forecast

@ 2.03

PENA +1

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Platense +1Actual: Penarol -1

PLAT +1

no forecast

@ 1.77

PENA -1

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.98

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Platense -2Actual: Penarol +2

PLAT -2

no forecast

@ 2.23

PENA +2

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Platense +2Actual: Penarol -2

PLAT +2

no forecast

@ 1.68

PENA -2

no forecast

@ 2.19

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Penarol (regulation)

PLAT

no forecast

@ 1.90

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

PENA

no forecast

@ 1.95

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	37%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	20.4	41.8	+1.1	54%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.0	24%	24%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.6	21.6	41.3	-2.0	36%	55%
vs Similar (16)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	25%	31%
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	100%	33%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	70%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	67%	42%
Last 30 away (18)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.3	72%	61%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	0%
vs Similar (20)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	65%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.2	19.5	43.8	+4.8	88%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.7	67%	57%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.5	69%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	65%	59%
Last 10 (10)	25.4	18.0	43.4	+7.4	90%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	13.2	36.6	+10.2	100%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	73%	55%
vs Similar (16)	24.1	20.4	44.5	+3.8	62%	69%
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	14.3	33.0	+4.3	67%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	18.8	39.3	+1.8	58%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Similar (20)	21.2	19.1	40.2	+2.1	60%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	38%	38%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.1	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (13)	43.8	38.2	82.1	+5.6	69%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	80%	80%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.4	77.8	+7.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.5	64%	73%
vs Similar (16)	42.8	39.7	82.4	+3.1	56%	56%
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	32.0	72.7	+8.7	67%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80
Last 30 (30)	41.3	38.2	79.5	+3.0	67%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	40.6	36.2	76.8	+4.3	58%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	41.7	39.6	81.3	+2.2	72%	56%
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.8	77.6	+4.0	90%	50%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.6	83.6	+4.4	100%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	38.0	66.5	-9.5	0%	0%
vs Similar (20)	42.1	38.1	80.2	+4.0	70%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	75%	62%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PLAT win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

PENA win + total 162.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PLAT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PENA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PLAT:PENA): PLAT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Platense +10	79.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Platense +9	77.0%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Platense +8	74.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Platense +22.5	96.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Platense over 74.5	73.9%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Platense +12.5	84.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Platense +17.5	92.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Platense +7	71.0%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Penarol +19.5	95.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Penarol +24.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Platense over 72.5	79.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Platense +9.5	77.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Penarol +14.5	90.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Penarol +9.5	81.2%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Penarol over 63.5	96.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Penarol over 64.5	95.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Penarol over 65.5	94.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Penarol +8.5	78.7%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Platense +20.5	95.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Penarol over 62.5	97.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Penarol over 69.5	88.5%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Penarol over 67.5	91.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Penarol over 70.5	86.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Penarol +6.5	73.1%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Penarol +22.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Penarol over 66.5	93.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Platense over 65.5	93.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Penarol over 68.5	90.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Platense +8.5	74.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Platense over 69.5	87.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Penarol +17.5	93.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Over 136.5	94.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Penarol under 92.5	84.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Platense over 67.5	90.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Platense under 87.5	73.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Platense over 66.5	92.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Penarol over 75.5	73.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Penarol over 71.5	84.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Over 137.5	93.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Platense +15.5	89.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 154	70.6%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Push
Penarol under 90.5	79.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Platense +7.5	71.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Penarol under 91.5	82.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Platense over 68.5	89.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Platense over 70.5	84.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Over 151.5	75.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Over 146.5	83.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Over 153.5	71.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Over 141.5	90.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Penarol +7.5	76.0%	1.27	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Under 187.5	92.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Penarol over 72.5	81.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Penarol under 88.5	73.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Penarol over 74.5	76.3%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Platense +10.5	80.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Penarol +12.5	87.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Over 142.5	89.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Under 186.5	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Over 147.5	82.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Platense under 94.5	89.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 182.5	87.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 177.5	80.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Over 152.5	73.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Penarol under 87.5	70.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Platense over 75.5	70.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Platense under 92.5	86.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Under 181.5	86.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Platense under 90.5	81.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Under 172.5	72.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Under 176.5	79.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Platense under 89.5	79.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Platense under 88.5	76.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Under 171.5	70.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Platensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Platense: 81.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	18.5	52.4%	54.4%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	10.1	34.5%	32.6%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.3	71.5%	72.7%	14.3

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.2%	54.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.4	32.3%	32.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.5	68.4%	72.7%	17.5

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.0	53.8%	54.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.9	34.8%	32.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.2	76.1%	72.7%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.4	31.6%	32.6%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.5	70.3%	72.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.8	51.8%	54.4%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	9.9	32.5%	32.6%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	20.9	14.8	70.9%	72.7%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.2%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.1	71.6%	72.7%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	20.4	56.2%	54.4%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.9	35.3%	32.6%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.0	74.5%	72.7%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.6%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.4%	72.7%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Platense

WLWLLWLLWL

Penarol

WLWWWWLWLL

League position

-0.4

Net rating

+4.1

113.1

Offensive rating

113.4

113.6

Defensive rating

109.3

52.1%

Effective FG%

52.9%

53.1%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.42

34.5%

3-point %

32.3%

50.0%

Assist %

48.4%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Platense ■ Penarol

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Platense wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/26	Penarol v Platense	79-72
18/11/25	Platense v Penarol	88-89
25/04/25	Penarol v Platense	75-79
12/10/24	Platense v Penarol	72-75
20/04/24	Penarol v Platense	99-56
18/01/24	Platense v Penarol	87-86
22/01/23	Platense v Penarol	83-89
08/12/22	Penarol v Platense	73-70
12/04/22	Penarol v Platense	84-49
14/01/22	Platense v Penarol	65-86

Platenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	80-58
21/10/26	A	Ferro	81-86
16/10/26	H	Obera TC	86-80
06/10/26	H	La Union	86-90
04/10/26	A	Quimsa	67-94
02/10/26	A	Olimpico	82-74
17/04/26	H	San Martin	77-79
15/04/26	H	Regatas	87-95
08/04/26	A	Independiente de Oliva	98-86
05/04/26	A	Atenas	72-77

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/26	A	Olimpico	87-74
31/10/26	A	Quimsa	73-78
28/10/26	H	San Martin	95-76
17/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	92-85
14/10/26	A	Lanus	84-77
30/09/26	H	Gimnasia	62-57
03/05/26	H	Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	H	Ferro	87-75
26/04/26	A	Ferro	78-80
24/04/26	A	Ferro	91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Platense

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	80.3	86.0	77.5
Allowed / game	80.3	85.0	78.0
Point differential	+0.0	+1.0	-0.5
Avg total	160.7	171.0	155.5
Over 164.75	50%	100%	25%
Win by 10+	17%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	83%	100%	75%
Points / game	82.2	78.5	84.0
Allowed / game	74.5	66.5	78.5
Point differential	+7.7	+12.0	+5.5
Avg total	156.7	145.0	162.5
Over 164.75	33%	50%	25%
Win by 10+	33%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	8	7	1	88%	85.2	75.8	+9.5
2	Penarol	6	5	1	83%	82.2	74.5	+7.7
3	Instituto de Cordoba	8	6	2	75%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
4	Gimnasia	11	8	3	73%	78.0	75.5	+2.5
5	Atenas	6	4	2	67%	85.0	83.0	+2.0
6	Boca Juniors	8	5	3	62%	89.5	83.2	+6.2
7	Olimpico	8	4	4	50%	86.8	85.4	+1.4
8	Platense	6	3	3	50%	80.3	80.3	+0.0
9	Argentino	8	4	4	50%	77.9	79.5	-1.6
10	Obera TC	7	3	4	43%	80.0	83.1	-3.1
11	La Union	5	2	3	40%	82.4	81.2	+1.2
12	Independiente de Oliva	3	1	2	33%	92.0	89.0	+3.0
13	Racing de Chivilcoy	9	3	6	33%	79.4	82.8	-3.3
14	San Lorenzo	6	2	4	33%	69.5	77.2	-7.7
15	Lanus	10	3	7	30%	77.1	81.5	-4.4
16	Regatas	7	2	5	29%	73.3	75.7	-2.4
17	Ferro	7	2	5	29%	82.3	85.7	-3.4
18	San Martin	9	2	7	22%	81.6	87.4	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Platense	17	24	15	19	75
Penarol	19	29	16	15	79

← all games of the day

Platense vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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