Boca Juniors vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 96-81

29-23 27-25 17-17 23-16

Position#3

Record7-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game71.0

Boca Juniors 🏆

Quilmes

Position#8

Record10-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game74.1

Liga ARound 3

Other2013-14

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

78-57

+21

H06/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#10

69-77

-8

A11/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

78-67

+11

H12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

65-70

-5

H15/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

80-78 OT

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

81-91

-10

A23/11

Liga A

Argentino

67-68

-1

A25/11

Liga A

Brasilia

69-81

-12

A27/11

South American League

Bauru

71-79

-8

A29/11

South American League

Regatas

63-67

-4

A03/12

Liga A

22-14

26-15

12-19

18-9

14-18

13-25

20-21

22-13

18-12

19-14

19-16

22-25

22-16

12-21

17-20

14-13

16-23

16-11

25-20

14-17

24-27

16-19

17-17

24-28

12-14

18-15

21-23

16-16

16-23

11-20

20-18

22-20

20-22

21-21

20-17

10-19

13-27

14-8

22-18

14-14

145.6Avg total

72.1Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	74.7	71.0	145.7	+3.7	47%
Season at home (7)	76.1	68.9	145.0	+7.3	71%
Season away (8)	73.5	72.9	146.4	+0.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	73.5	145.6	-1.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	77.2	147.4	-7.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	64.3	72.3	136.7	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	73.5	72.9	146.4	+0.6	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	80.9	66.1	147.0	+14.8	77%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#10

69-73

-4

A31/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

60-58

A02/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

80-78

A08/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

74-84

-10

H09/11

Liga A

Argentino

76-67

H17/11

Liga A

Penarol

79-82

-3

H20/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

67-79

-12

A23/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

63-61

A25/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

77-73

H29/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

75-73

H01/12

Liga A

24-15

15-24

10-15

20-19

12-14

12-13

14-11

22-20

19-24

25-18

16-21

20-15

21-16

13-21

17-22

23-25

25-21

12-15

20-13

19-18

27-22

14-24

20-15

18-21

8-22

18-13

22-28

19-16

16-10

12-11

20-20

15-20

17-10

22-23

20-13

18-27

19-17

13-19

20-18

23-19

144.8Avg total

72.0Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.5	74.1	149.6	+1.4	62%
Season at home (9)	78.1	73.2	151.3	+4.9	78%
Season away (7)	72.1	75.1	147.3	-3.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	72.8	144.8	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	73.6	145.8	-1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	76.1	78.0	154.1	-1.9	33%
vs Similar (13)	75.8	74.8	150.6	+0.9	54%
vs Weaker (2)	74.5	65.0	139.5	+9.5	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	13.8	33.1	+5.6	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.6	39.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	22.7	38.7	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.8	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.2	33.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.7	53%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	16.1	33.9	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	13.8	31.6	+4.1	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	16.9	33.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	16.6	32.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	16.0	28.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.6	16.9	33.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.3	15.3	35.6	+5.0	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.1	33.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.0	33.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.7	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	9.5	28.0	+9.0	100%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

48-29

+19

H06/11

South American League

Obras Sanitarias

#10

27-43

-16

A11/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

37-26

+11

H12/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

34-37

-3

H15/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

32-34

-2

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

40-46

-6

A23/11

Liga A

Argentino

30-29

A25/11

Liga A

Brasilia

27-43

-16

A27/11

South American League

Bauru

41-43

-2

A29/11

South American League

Regatas

27-35

-8

A03/12

Liga A

70.8Avg total

34.3Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	33.8	70.8	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.2	27.5	64.7	+9.7	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	37.0	37.9	74.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	36.5	70.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	39.2	72.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.7	38.7	67.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.3	35.2	71.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.8	31.1	70.9	+8.8	69%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#10

39-39

A31/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

24-27

-3

A02/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

44-42

A08/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

34-37

-3

H09/11

Liga A

Argentino

37-36

H17/11

Liga A

Penarol

41-46

-5

H20/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

26-35

-9

A23/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

28-21

A25/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

39-33

H29/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

32-36

-4

H01/12

Liga A

69.6Avg total

34.4Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.4	72.8	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	35.1	72.4	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.2	38.2	73.3	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	35.2	69.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	34.2	67.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.7	35.9	71.6	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	24.5	61.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	54%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	20.0	37.5	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	16.7	32.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	19.7	38.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	16.2	36.1	+3.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	18.4	37.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	53%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	20.5	40.5	-0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	35.6	73.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.4	36.7	75.1	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.1	34.8	72.9	+3.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	36.3	73.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	33.7	69.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.2	37.6	74.9	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.8	33.8	73.6	+6.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.2	76.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-1.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.4	78.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.9	38.3	76.3	-0.4	53%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.3	37.6	75.9	+0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/13	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	58-60
26/10/13	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	70-68 OT
18/02/12	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	67-47
09/12/11	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	77-66
15/10/11	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	86-85
08/10/11	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	86-69

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/13	A	Regatas	63-67
29/11/13	A	Bauru	71-79
27/11/13	A	Brasilia	69-81
25/11/13	A	Argentino	67-68
23/11/13	A	Penarol	81-91
16/11/13	H	Lanus	80-78 OT
15/11/13	H	Gimnasia	65-70
12/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	78-67
11/11/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-77
06/11/13	H	Sao Jose	78-57

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/13	H	Estudiantes	75-73
29/11/13	H	Sionista	77-73
25/11/13	A	Lanus	63-61
23/11/13	A	Gimnasia	67-79
20/11/13	H	Penarol	79-82
17/11/13	H	Argentino	76-67
09/11/13	H	Weber Bahia	74-84
08/11/13	A	Weber Bahia	80-78
02/11/13	A	Boca Juniors	60-58
31/10/13	A	Obras Sanitarias	69-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	47%
Home	WLWLW	71%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	47%	71%	25%
Points / game	74.7	76.1	73.5
Allowed / game	71.0	68.9	72.9
Point differential	+3.7	+7.3	+0.6
Avg total	145.7	145.0	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	29%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	33% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

Quilmes

Liga A 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	62%
Home	LWLWW	78%
Away	LWWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	62%	78%	43%
Points / game	75.5	78.1	72.1
Allowed / game	74.1	73.2	75.1
Point differential	+1.4	+4.9	-3.0
Avg total	149.6	151.3	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	16	14	2	88%	82.1	71.1	+11.0
2	Gimnasia	16	12	4	75%	74.8	71.5	+3.2
3	Penarol	16	11	5	69%	79.4	73.9	+5.5
4	Atenas	16	11	5	69%	77.9	77.4	+0.6
5	Quilmes	16	10	6	62%	75.5	74.1	+1.4
6	Obras Sanitarias	17	10	7	59%	71.8	71.2	+0.5
7	Libertad	16	8	8	50%	75.7	74.2	+1.4
8	Quimsa	16	8	8	50%	78.7	79.9	-1.2
9	Boca Juniors	15	7	8	47%	74.7	71.0	+3.7
10	Sionista	16	7	9	44%	72.8	72.7	+0.1
11	Argentino	17	7	10	41%	69.9	75.4	-5.5
12	Estudiantes	16	6	10	38%	73.2	74.2	-0.9
13	La Union	16	6	10	38%	73.9	79.4	-5.6
14	Weber Bahia	17	5	12	29%	72.7	77.6	-4.9
15	Olimpico	16	4	12	25%	73.9	78.3	-4.4
16	Lanus	16	3	13	19%	69.4	73.8	-4.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	29	27	17	23	96
Quilmes	23	25	17	16	81

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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