Boca Juniors vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 70-79

21-15 24-20 8-27 17-17

Position#19

Record12-28

FormLLLLW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game81.6

Boca Juniors

Quilmes 🏆

Position#14

Record18-19

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game79.5

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#12

76-94

-18

A07/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

69-74

-5

H10/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

73-60

+13

H13/02

Liga A

Olimpico

89-86

H19/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

87-86

H23/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

60-69

-9

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

71-89

-18

A28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

100-102 OT

100

102

-2

A02/03

Liga A

Ferro

70-71

-1

A08/03

Liga A

La Union

#18

103-87

103

+16

H10/03

Liga A

22-20

14-29

21-30

19-15

17-19

22-20

15-15

15-20

23-14

18-10

17-23

15-13

21-23

25-21

20-25

23-17

23-22

21-14

13-27

30-23

14-18

17-4

19-28

10-19

16-28

19-18

20-19

16-24

16-16

29-21

27-27

19-20

10-18

23-22

18-11

28-20

26-24

24-19

25-24

161.6Avg total

79.8Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	75.8	81.6	157.4	-5.8	30%
Season at home (20)	77.2	78.7	155.9	-1.5	45%
Season away (20)	74.4	84.5	158.9	-10.1	15%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	81.8	161.6	-2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	83.6	164.4	-2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	75.7	82.0	157.7	-6.3	21%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.9	81.1	162.0	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker (1)	72.0	96.0	168.0	-24.0	0%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

87-94

-7

H27/01

Liga A

Ferro

88-99

-11

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

78-79

-1

A03/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

90-62

+28

A05/02

Liga A

Libertad

73-78

-5

A07/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

100-83

100

+17

H10/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

75-68

H18/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

102-100 OT

102

100

H02/03

Liga A

Penarol

#15

78-61

+17

H04/03

Liga A

Olimpico

84-80

H08/03

Liga A

18-25

14-20

20-22

35-27

22-24

12-26

23-29

31-20

17-18

18-20

26-22

17-19

16-19

22-9

25-11

27-23

22-21

12-17

18-16

21-24

26-26

24-29

24-15

26-13

26-15

19-17

4-26

26-10

24-16

16-16

21-29

27-27

28-12

13-19

15-14

22-16

24-14

21-16

21-15

18-35

165.9Avg total

85.5Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	78.6	79.5	158.1	-0.9	49%
Season at home (21)	83.0	77.8	160.7	+5.2	76%
Season away (16)	72.9	81.8	154.6	-8.9	12%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	80.4	165.9	+5.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	78.4	166.2	+9.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.8	80.3	156.2	-4.5	33%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	79.8	79.0	158.7	+0.8	57%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	62.0	152.0	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.2	20.8	39.9	-1.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	31.0	54.0	-8.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	16.6	42.2	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.3	19.3	37.5	-1.0	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	27.0	37.0	-17.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	28%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	16.7	21.0	37.6	-4.3	26%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	9.0	31.0	+13.0	100%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#12

36-49

-13

A07/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

39-39

H10/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

41-24

+17

H13/02

Liga A

Olimpico

46-44

H19/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

44-36

H23/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

31-22

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

35-46

-11

A28/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#14

32-40

-8

A02/03

Liga A

Ferro

29-38

-9

A08/03

Liga A

La Union

#18

54-44

+10

H10/03

Liga A

76.9Avg total

38.7Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.3	77.9	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.5	37.6	77.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	42.7	78.5	-6.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.2	76.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.0	74.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.4	40.1	77.5	-2.6	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.2	39.1	77.3	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	58.0	91.0	-25.0	0%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

32-45

-13

H27/01

Liga A

Ferro

34-50

-16

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

35-38

-3

A03/02

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

38-28

+10

A05/02

Liga A

Libertad

34-38

-4

A07/02

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

50-55

-5

H10/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

45-32

+13

H18/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#19

40-32

H02/03

Liga A

Penarol

#15

41-31

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Olimpico

45-30

+15

H08/03

Liga A

77.3Avg total

39.4Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	38.8	75.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	37.8	39.1	76.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.8	38.5	74.2	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	37.9	77.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.0	80.2	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.2	38.7	74.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	37.2	39.3	76.5	-2.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	28.0	66.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	22.9	41.4	-4.5	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.1	37.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.3	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	17.8	40.5	+4.8	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.5	18.4	37.0	+0.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	11.0	36.0	+14.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.2	18.3	37.4	+0.9	58%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.4	20.2	43.7	+3.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	21.4	46.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	23.8	40.8	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.0	19.2	41.1	+2.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.9	79.9	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	40.2	78.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	41.5	81.1	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.2	82.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.6	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.5	40.6	82.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.3	79.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.2	38.2	82.4	+5.9	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.5	38.4	73.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	41.3	86.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	41.7	81.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.5	37.6	78.1	+2.9	61%	-
vs Weaker (1)	52.0	34.0	86.0	+18.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
02/03/17	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	102-100 OT
15/10/16	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	70-67
02/10/16	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	81-69
31/01/16	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	89-85
24/01/16	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	80-77
18/11/15	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	89-75
04/10/15	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	87-89 OT
18/04/15	Quilmes v Boca Juniors	83-61
17/02/15	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	71-81
10/11/14	Boca Juniors v Quilmes	58-66

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/17	H	La Union	103-87
08/03/17	A	Ferro	70-71
02/03/17	A	Quilmes	100-102 OT
28/02/17	A	Penarol	71-89
26/02/17	A	Weber Bahia	60-69
23/02/17	H	Obras Sanitarias	87-86
19/02/17	H	Olimpico	89-86
13/02/17	H	San Lorenzo	73-60
10/02/17	H	Estudiantes	69-74
07/02/17	A	Quimsa	76-94

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/17	H	Olimpico	84-80
04/03/17	H	Penarol	78-61
02/03/17	H	Boca Juniors	102-100 OT
18/02/17	H	Weber Bahia	75-68
10/02/17	H	Hispano Americano	100-83
07/02/17	A	Libertad	73-78
05/02/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	90-62
03/02/17	A	Estudiantes	78-79
31/01/17	H	Ferro	88-99
27/01/17	H	Instituto de Cordoba	87-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	30%
Home	LWWWW	45%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	30%	45%	15%
Points / game	75.8	77.2	74.4
Allowed / game	81.6	78.7	84.5
Point differential	-5.8	-1.5	-10.1
Avg total	157.4	155.9	158.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	15%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	62% (8)	40% (5)
Overtime %	8%	10%	5%

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	49%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	21	16
Win %	49%	76%	12%
Points / game	78.6	83.0	72.9
Allowed / game	79.5	77.8	81.8
Point differential	-0.9	+5.2	-8.9
Avg total	158.1	160.7	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	100% (5)	0% (5)
Overtime %	11%	10%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Martin	38	28	10	74%	82.8	75.4	+7.4
2	San Lorenzo	38	27	11	71%	83.9	73.4	+10.5
3	Estudiantes	41	28	13	68%	80.8	76.6	+4.2
4	Ferro	38	24	14	63%	78.5	76.6	+1.9
5	Regatas	37	23	14	62%	86.1	82.2	+3.9
6	Weber Bahia	36	21	15	58%	76.7	76.3	+0.4
7	Instituto de Cordoba	41	23	18	56%	81.7	81.6	+0.1
8	Quimsa	40	22	18	55%	81.9	78.8	+3.1
9	Olimpico	41	22	19	54%	80.4	76.6	+3.9
10	Libertad	38	19	19	50%	80.5	78.4	+2.1
11	Obras Sanitarias	41	20	21	49%	82.3	81.2	+1.0
12	Gimnasia	41	20	21	49%	80.7	81.3	-0.6
13	Argentino	39	19	20	49%	73.5	74.6	-1.1
14	Quilmes	37	18	19	49%	78.6	79.5	-0.9
15	La Union	40	18	22	45%	76.4	80.3	-3.9
16	Penarol	41	16	25	39%	75.0	79.2	-4.1
17	Atenas	37	13	24	35%	79.0	81.2	-2.2
18	Boca Juniors	40	12	28	30%	75.8	81.6	-5.8
19	Hispano Americano	41	12	29	29%	78.5	84.7	-6.2
20	Atletico Echague Parana	39	7	32	18%	76.6	89.5	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	21	24	8	17	70
Quilmes	15	20	27	17	79

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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