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Boise State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 79-73
39-30 40-43
Position#101
Record9-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#90
Record11-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v Colorado State
16 Jan 2026
BOIS79
COLO73
07 Mar 2025
BOIS73
COLO83
09 Jan 2024
BOIS65
COLO58
28 Jan 2023
BOIS80
COLO59
13 Feb 2022
BOIS74
COLO77
07 Dec 2019
BOIS75
COLO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
155.5Avg total
77.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.774.4151.1+2.353%
Season at home (12)72.270.1142.3+2.258%
Season away (5)87.484.8172.2+2.640%
Last 10 (10)77.977.6155.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.084.0160.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Similar ◀ (17)72.772.4145.1+0.453%
vs Weaker (9)77.265.1142.3+12.178%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
50-39
48-41
43-45
33-24
43-31
60-26
44-28
24-45
34-55
36-37
26-38
35-29
35-31
30-39
40-41
32-29
38-33
22-36
47-43
147.2Avg total
75.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.971.9150.8+7.165%
Season at home (11)82.470.7153.1+11.664%
Season away (6)72.774.0146.7-1.367%
Last 10 (10)75.371.9147.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)68.271.2139.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.580.0150.5-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.869.2145.0+6.575%
vs Weaker (13)81.866.6148.5+15.285%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.6+1.6
Boise StateColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.866.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.632.568.1+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)30.633.263.8-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.068.3-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)27.838.466.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.833.064.8-1.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.434.266.6-1.841%-
vs Weaker (9)36.130.066.1+6.178%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.367.5+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.769.8+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)31.832.264.0-0.558%-
Last 10 (10)35.333.568.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.065.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.035.866.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.831.867.7+4.050%-
vs Weaker (13)36.229.866.1+6.485%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boise State wins
6
Colorado State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
10/01/26HUNLV70-62
07/01/26HNew Mexico70-80
04/01/26AGrand Canyon70-60
31/12/25HNevada62-75
20/12/25AUtah State58-100
14/12/25HNorthern New Mexico104-54
10/12/25HDartmouth76-55
06/12/25HColorado91-86
28/11/25ASouth Florida83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %53%58%40%
Points / game76.772.287.4
Allowed / game74.470.184.8
Point differential+2.3+2.2+2.6
Avg total151.1142.3172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%40%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL65%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game78.982.472.7
Allowed / game71.970.774.0
Point differential+7.1+11.6-1.3
Avg total150.8153.1146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%86.066.7+19.3
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 San Diego State1612475%81.971.8+10.1
4 Nevada1712571%76.271.9+4.3
5 Wyoming1711665%82.472.8+9.6
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State179853%76.774.4+2.3
9 UNLV168850%79.177.3+1.8
10 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State394079
Colorado State304373
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