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Nevada vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 81-66
36-26 45-40
Position#86
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game72.9
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Boise State
USA
Position#101
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v Boise State
20 Dec 2025
NEVA81
BOIS66
22 Feb 2025
NEVA69
BOIS70
12 Jan 2024
NEVA56
BOIS64
28 Dec 2022
NEVA74
BOIS72
12 Jan 2022
NEVA70
BOIS85
07 Feb 2021
NEVA73
BOIS62
05 Feb 2021
NEVA74
BOIS72
04 Jan 2020
NEVA83
BOIS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-40
38-37
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
32-28
45-36
28-34
38-49
38-37
43-28
35-27
41-43
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
152.6Avg total
77.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.472.9150.3+4.573%
Season at home (9)76.771.1147.8+5.678%
Season away (2)80.581.0161.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.475.2152.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)75.871.4147.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.879.5150.3-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.571.2141.7-0.753%
vs Weaker (9)78.863.9142.7+14.9100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
146.5Avg total
78.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.069.5147.5+8.573%
Season at home (9)75.468.9144.3+6.667%
Season away (2)89.572.0161.5+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.068.5146.5+9.580%
Last 5 (5)80.671.2151.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.572.0156.5+12.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.069.7140.7+1.356%
vs Weaker (12)78.263.0141.2+15.283%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
NevadaBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pacific
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.066.1+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.132.167.1+3.056%-
Last 30 away (12)30.134.564.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.869.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.067.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.838.772.5-4.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.932.264.1-0.347%-
vs Weaker (9)34.430.765.1+3.856%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.931.566.4+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.530.669.1+7.976%-
Last 30 away (13)30.232.762.8-2.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.870.7+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.233.270.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.533.575.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.433.766.1-1.350%-
vs Weaker (12)37.228.265.4+8.983%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
7
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Nevada v Boise State69-70
30/01/25Boise State v Nevada66-56
06/03/24Boise State v Nevada66-76
13/01/24Nevada v Boise State56-64
18/01/23Boise State v Nevada77-62
29/12/22Nevada v Boise State74-72
10/03/22Boise State v Nevada71-69
02/03/22Boise State v Nevada73-67
13/01/22Nevada v Boise State70-85
11/03/21Boise State v Nevada82-89
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64
03/12/25HUC San Diego76-70
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65
27/11/25HWashington66-83
22/11/25HUC Santa Barbara77-64
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT
09/11/25HPacific78-77
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%78%50%
Points / game77.476.780.5
Allowed / game72.971.181.0
Point differential+4.5+5.6-0.5
Avg total150.3147.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%67%100%
Points / game78.075.489.5
Allowed / game69.568.972.0
Point differential+8.5+6.6+17.5
Avg total147.5144.3161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%85.966.7+19.2
2 New Mexico1210283%82.068.6+13.4
3 Wyoming129375%86.472.6+13.8
4 Colorado State129375%83.472.2+11.2
5 Boise State118373%78.069.5+8.5
6 Nevada118373%77.472.9+4.5
7 San Diego State96367%81.874.4+7.3
8 Grand Canyon117464%75.567.9+7.6
9 Fresno State126650%76.172.5+3.6
10 UNLV115645%81.281.6-0.5
11 San Jose State125742%74.875.0-0.2
12 Air Force123925%65.574.2-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada364581
Boise State264066
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