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Colorado State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-75
36-37 26-38
Position#90
Record9-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#86
Record9-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Colorado State v Nevada
30 Dec 2025
COLO62
NEVA75
13 Mar 2025
COLO67
NEVA59
18 Feb 2025
COLO79
NEVA71
27 Feb 2024
COLO74
NEVA77
25 Jan 2022
COLO77
NEVA66
29 Jan 2020
COLO92
NEVA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A16/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A28/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
46-42
33-21
47-46
33-41
48-42
26-33
38-33
47-30
29-40
33-29
50-39
48-41
43-45
33-24
43-31
60-26
44-28
24-45
34-55
153.4Avg total
80.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.472.2155.6+11.275%
Season at home (8)88.070.1158.1+17.975%
Season away (4)74.276.2150.5-2.075%
Last 10 (10)80.672.8153.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)82.472.6155.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.780.0150.7-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.870.6146.4+5.277%
vs Weaker (13)82.565.2147.7+17.492%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
32-28
45-36
28-34
38-49
38-37
43-28
35-27
41-43
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
36-26
45-40
151.8Avg total
77.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.772.3150.0+5.375%
Season at home (10)77.170.6147.7+6.580%
Season away (2)80.581.0161.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)77.774.1151.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)78.868.0146.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.879.0147.8-10.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.170.9142.0+0.256%
vs Weaker (9)78.863.9142.7+14.9100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +2.4+2.4
Colorado StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A16/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A28/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
38.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.268.1+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.030.470.4+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)32.332.364.7+0.058%-
Last 10 (10)38.432.771.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.072.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.334.766.0-3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.831.967.8+3.954%-
vs Weaker (13)37.530.167.6+7.592%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.865.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.131.766.8+3.458%-
Last 30 away (11)29.534.564.0-5.118%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.467.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.467.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.239.672.8-6.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.231.864.0+0.450%-
vs Weaker (9)34.430.765.1+3.856%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Colorado State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AUtah State58-100
14/12/25HNorthern New Mexico104-54
10/12/25HDartmouth76-55
06/12/25HColorado91-86
28/11/25ASouth Florida83-68
28/11/25AWichita State76-70
26/11/25HVirginia Tech64-66
22/11/25HDenver81-83
16/11/25ALoyola Chicago80-67
13/11/25HCal Poly93-79
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HBoise State81-66
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64
03/12/25HUC San Diego76-70
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65
27/11/25HWashington66-83
22/11/25HUC Santa Barbara77-64
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game83.488.074.2
Allowed / game72.270.176.2
Point differential+11.2+17.9-2.0
Avg total155.6158.1150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %75%80%50%
Points / game77.777.180.5
Allowed / game72.370.681.0
Point differential+5.3+6.5-0.5
Avg total150.0147.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %8%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%85.966.7+19.2
2 New Mexico1210283%82.068.6+13.4
3 Wyoming1310377%85.071.3+13.7
4 Colorado State129375%83.472.2+11.2
5 Nevada129375%77.772.3+5.3
6 Grand Canyon128467%76.868.8+8.1
7 Boise State128467%77.070.4+6.6
8 San Diego State117464%82.072.5+9.5
9 Fresno State126650%76.172.5+3.6
10 UNLV126650%81.878.8+3.1
11 San Jose State125742%74.875.0-0.2
12 Air Force1331023%64.873.7-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State362662
Nevada373875
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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