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Boise State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 73-83
34-34 39-49
Position#55
Record22-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#49
Record21-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boise State v Colorado State
16 Jan 2026
BOIS79
COLO73
07 Mar 2025
BOIS73
COLO83
09 Jan 2024
BOIS65
COLO58
28 Jan 2023
BOIS80
COLO59
13 Feb 2022
BOIS74
COLO77
07 Dec 2019
BOIS75
COLO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
38-21
42-36
135.3Avg total
72.9Scored
62.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.165.8141.9+10.373%
Season at home (17)80.962.5143.4+18.588%
Season away (13)69.870.1139.8-0.354%
Last 10 (10)72.962.4135.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)76.866.0142.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.375.0148.3-1.745%
vs Weaker (18)76.560.2136.7+16.389%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A06/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
41-21
31-35
34-52
38-35
30-28
30-45
55-48
44-19
44-34
33-36
46-35
27-26
34-27
28-26
49-29
48-22
45-44
35-23
48-33
143.3Avg total
77.8Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.267.4142.6+7.870%
Season at home (17)80.265.4145.6+14.888%
Season away (13)68.769.9138.6-1.246%
Last 10 (10)77.865.5143.3+12.380%
Last 5 (5)78.660.2138.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.175.5149.5-1.455%
vs Weaker (18)76.361.9138.2+14.383%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
Boise StateColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
61.9Avg total
33.8Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.065.0+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.828.567.4+10.388%-
Last 30 away (13)30.131.861.9-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)33.828.161.9+5.790%-
Last 5 (5)35.629.865.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.635.568.1-2.855%-
vs Weaker (18)35.726.762.3+9.083%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.2Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.564.7+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.629.266.8+8.576%-
Last 30 away (13)29.832.261.9-2.454%-
Last 10 (10)35.230.465.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.226.660.8+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.835.067.8-2.236%-
vs Weaker (18)35.227.662.8+7.789%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boise State wins
5
Colorado State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HSan Jose State83-56
01/03/25HUtah State93-66
26/02/25AAir Force77-55
23/02/25AUNLV61-53
19/02/25HNevada79-71
15/02/25HWyoming88-53
12/02/25AUtah State85-93
09/02/25HSan Diego State68-63
06/02/25ANew Mexico65-87
29/01/25HAir Force79-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %73%88%54%
Points / game76.180.969.8
Allowed / game65.862.570.1
Point differential+10.3+18.5-0.3
Avg total141.9143.4139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%76%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %70%88%46%
Points / game75.280.268.7
Allowed / game67.465.469.9
Point differential+7.8+14.8-1.2
Avg total142.6145.6138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3024680%82.371.5+10.8
2 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
3 Grand Canyon2923679%78.268.1+10.1
4 Boise State3022873%76.165.8+10.3
5 San Diego State2820871%71.263.8+7.4
6 Colorado State3021970%75.267.4+7.8
7 UNLV30171357%69.767.9+1.8
8 Nevada30161453%72.767.7+5.0
9 San Jose State31131842%72.474.3-1.9
10 Wyoming31121939%67.471.3-4.0
11 Fresno State3062420%70.880.1-9.3
12 Air Force3042613%62.573.4-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State343973
Colorado State344983
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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