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Bonn vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 91-87
22-23 24-21 24-22 21-21
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.5
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game83.5
GermanyBBLRound 4· Telekom Dome
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bonn v Alba Berlin
01 Nov 2026
BON95
ABE88
02 Nov 2025
BON70
ABE84
06 Oct 2024
BON91
ABE87
21 May 2024
BON86
ABE93
21 Jan 2024
BON87
ABE95
25 Apr 2023
BON84
ABE77
06 Feb 2022
BON77
ABE89
04 Apr 2021
BON75
ABE80
10 Nov 2020
BON82
ABE90
26 Nov 2019
BON87
ABE90
10 Feb 2019
BON81
ABE93
08 Apr 2018
BON76
ABE84
05 Feb 2017
BON95
ABE72
08 Nov 2015
BON57
ABE77
12 Apr 2015
BON69
ABE85
10 Oct 2014
BON74
ABE83
02 Nov 2013
BON60
ABE59
15 Oct 2013
BON65
ABE86
24 Feb 2013
BON60
ABE71
28 Jan 2012
BON91
ABE92
15 Oct 2010
BON62
ABE82
30 Oct 2009
BON65
ABE53
09 Jun 2009
BON52
ABE62
03 Jun 2009
BON75
ABE72
01 Mar 2009
BON44
ABE69
08 Feb 2009
BON80
ABE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
87-60
87
60
+27
93avg 78
H12/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
84avg 78
H14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
49avg 78
A17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 78
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 78
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
89avg 78
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 78
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
62avg 78
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
95-80
95
80
+15
85avg 78
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 78
A01/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-18
27-15
22-11
32-13
19-12
17-28
22-16
14-17
17-24
20-27
17-26
21-23
19-21
19-20
11-19
20-20
21-20
27-28
18-25
20-18
31-22
16-21
32-30
20-21
12-12
32-15
14-23
13-18
21-14
19-21
22-30
26-16
20-27
20-14
29-23
21-19
21-22
17-17
13-28
163.0Avg total
82.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)95.080.0175.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)83.882.2166.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.088.7165.7-11.714%
vs Similar (17)83.881.2165.0+2.665%
vs Weaker (6)94.087.5181.5+6.567%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 78
A02/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
95avg 78
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 78
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
64avg 78
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 78
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 78
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
11-15
24-24
11-31
27-28
16-23
22-17
31-17
30-28
18-25
26-20
23-11
19-26
24-20
19-23
5-10
19-26
20-6
17-18
23-20
14-17
14-14
17-17
18-19
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
162.9Avg total
81.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.583.5176.0+9.050%
Season at home (1)105.070.0175.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)80.097.0177.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)81.881.1162.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)81.481.8163.2-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.892.0167.8-16.20%
vs Similar (11)76.076.9152.9-0.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.679.1169.7+11.587%
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
BonnAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A01/10
Champions League
77.9Avg total
40.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.084.9-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.886.9+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.282.9-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.377.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.644.081.6-6.429%-
vs Similar (17)41.941.483.3+0.659%-
vs Weaker (6)47.046.593.5+0.567%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A02/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
41.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.1+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.040.182.1+1.971%-
Last 30 away (13)38.741.179.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.845.582.2-8.80%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.478.2-2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.639.382.9+4.380%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.3
51.6%
52.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
73.5%12.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.8
55.3%
52.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.6
35.7%
33.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.5%14.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LWLWWLLLWW
Alba Berlin
LWLLLWLWWL
#14
League position
#6
+1.4
Net rating
+0.4
112.8
Offensive rating
110.1
111.4
Defensive rating
109.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
35.7%
58.1%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 110.1Defence111.4 · 109.7Shooting51.3% · 54.5%3-point %33.8% · 35.7%Ball care14.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 33.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Bonn   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bonn wins
9
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
21/05/24Bonn v Alba Berlin86-93
19/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn83-70
17/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn94-68
08/05/24Alba Berlin v Bonn90-69
21/01/24Bonn v Alba Berlin87-95
25/04/23Bonn v Alba Berlin84-77
15/01/23Alba Berlin v Bonn81-76
17/10/22Alba Berlin v Bonn98-95
06/02/22Bonn v Alba Berlin77-89
03/10/21Alba Berlin v Bonn83-80 OT
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24AVEF Riga72-86
28/09/24HSyntainics MBC95-80
25/09/24AVechta75-83
22/09/24HSassari78-71
20/09/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-91
21/05/24HAlba Berlin86-93
19/05/24AAlba Berlin70-83
17/05/24AAlba Berlin68-94
14/05/24HLudwigsburg90-69
12/05/24HLudwigsburg87-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88
12/06/24HBayern63-67
10/06/24ABayern79-70
08/06/24ABayern67-79
06/06/24HChemnitz97-84
04/06/24AChemnitz96-85
02/06/24AChemnitz72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.095.075.0
Allowed / game81.580.083.0
Point differential+3.5+15.0-8.0
Avg total166.5175.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game92.5105.080.0
Allowed / game83.570.097.0
Point differential+9.0+35.0-17.0
Avg total176.0175.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm330100%79.374.7+4.7
2 Bayern43175%79.874.5+5.2
3 Heidelberg43175%85.584.2+1.2
4 Basketball Braunschweig32167%84.073.3+10.7
5 Alba Berlin21150%92.583.5+9.0
6 Wurzburg21150%84.075.0+9.0
7 Hamburg21150%88.580.5+8.0
8 Bonn21150%85.081.5+3.5
9 Vechta21150%78.577.5+1.0
10 Rostock42250%79.580.0-0.5
11 Ludwigsburg42250%70.272.0-1.8
12 Bamberg21150%71.577.0-5.5
13 Oldenburg21150%87.593.5-6.0
14 Frankfurt31233%75.772.3+3.3
15 Syntainics MBC41325%84.089.8-5.8
16 Chemnitz2020%72.581.5-9.0
17 Gottingen3030%75.799.0-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2224242191
Alba Berlin2321222187
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