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Alba Berlin vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 77-87
17-26 19-19 21-17 20-25
Position#18
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Alba Berlin
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos
03 Oct 2024
ABE77
PAO87
10 Nov 2023
ABE85
PAO99
19 Oct 2022
ABE94
PAO65
06 Apr 2022
ABE87
PAO78
26 Feb 2021
ABE74
PAO65
06 Feb 2015
ABE59
PAO65
16 Jan 2013
ABE73
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-64
86
64
+22
85avg 78
H31/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 78
A02/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
96-85
96
85
+11
95avg 78
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 78
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
64avg 78
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 78
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 78
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-23
21-12
17-12
26-14
11-15
24-24
11-31
27-28
16-23
22-17
31-17
30-28
18-25
26-20
23-11
19-26
24-20
19-23
5-10
19-26
20-6
17-18
23-20
14-17
14-14
17-17
18-19
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
161.5Avg total
82.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.778.8161.5+3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.393.7169.0-18.30%
vs Similar (12)76.777.1153.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (15)90.679.1169.7+11.587%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
95-80
95
80
+15
88avg 79
A26/05
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
86avg 79
H31/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
80-65
80
65
+15
83avg 79
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 79
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 79
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
72avg 79
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
88avg 79
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
76avg 79
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 79
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 79
H29/09
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-36
24-18
15-7
31-19
28-13
15-19
24-27
22-12
13-15
23-14
24-20
20-16
17-19
20-27
19-20
28-23
24-21
15-17
16-24
31-30
23-18
20-16
18-25
22-17
17-22
27-29
20-13
24-21
20-22
28-17
17-25
22-18
20-20
24-10
22-16
15-22
16-21
22-24
24-18
23-23
165.2Avg total
85.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.879.4165.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)84.779.9164.6+4.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.776.7163.4+10.090%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
Alba BerlinPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A02/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
83.7Avg total
42.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.280.9+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.882.2+2.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.740.679.4-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.383.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.045.782.7-8.70%-
vs Similar (12)37.939.977.8-2.050%-
vs Weaker (15)43.639.382.9+4.380%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A26/05
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H31/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A12/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/06
Basket League
Aris
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H28/09
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/09
Super Cup
81.9Avg total
42.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.482.3+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.937.980.8+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.941.384.2+1.662%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.881.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)40.842.283.0-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.038.082.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.8
53.7%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.7
36.3%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.0
77.3%
78.0%15.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.6
58.3%
54.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.2
38.3%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.818.2
76.5%
78.0%18.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLWLWWLW
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLLWWW
#18
League position
#3
+5.0
Net rating
+9.4
110.0
Offensive rating
120.9
105.0
Defensive rating
111.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
58.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.3%
3-point %
38.3%
65.6%
Assist %
53.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 120.9Defence105.0 · 111.5Shooting54.1% · 58.0%3-point %36.3% · 38.3%Ball care21.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
11/04/24Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin84-75
10/11/23Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos85-99
07/04/23Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin84-88
19/10/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos94-65
06/04/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos87-78
10/12/21Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-67
26/02/21Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos74-65
17/12/20Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin92-69
02/04/15Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin66-68
06/02/15Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos59-65
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88
12/06/24HBayern63-67
10/06/24ABayern79-70
08/06/24ABayern67-79
06/06/24HChemnitz97-84
04/06/24AChemnitz96-85
02/06/24AChemnitz72-84
31/05/24HChemnitz86-64
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HOlympiacos85-86
28/09/24HAris81-68
14/06/24HOlympiacos87-82
12/06/24AOlympiacos88-85
10/06/24HOlympiacos83-76
07/06/24AOlympiacos86-92
05/06/24HOlympiacos84-89
02/06/24AAris80-65
31/05/24HAris89-71
26/05/24AReal Madrid95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1719212077
Panathinaikos2619172587
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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