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Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-96
28-27 23-16 17-22 17-31
Position#3
Record31-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#2
Record31-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game80.4
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Chemnitz v Alba Berlin
18 Apr 2027
CHE v ABE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
CHE85
ABE89
27 Apr 2025
CHE81
ABE103
04 Jun 2024
CHE85
ABE96
02 Jun 2024
CHE84
ABE72
24 Mar 2024
CHE79
ABE84
11 Apr 2023
CHE70
ABE76
27 Mar 2022
CHE81
ABE64
09 May 2021
CHE81
ABE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 83
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
82-68
82
68
+14
83avg 83
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 83
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
39avg 83
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
87-96
87
96
-9
76avg 83
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
71avg 83
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 83
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 83
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
51avg 83
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 83
H02/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-17
23-20
18-20
22-20
28-17
13-19
19-12
14-18
24-6
19-18
22-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
17-30
18-15
17-27
28-27
24-27
17-24
29-17
23-19
15-16
27-14
17-12
16-23
24-18
20-19
24-13
28-27
23-23
17-27
23-21
12-21
12-17
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
159.6Avg total
82.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.878.9166.7+8.976%
Season at home (20)86.375.5161.8+10.880%
Season away (21)89.282.2171.4+7.071%
Last 10 (10)82.776.9159.6+5.880%
Last 5 (5)82.276.6158.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.583.2166.7+0.454%
vs Weaker (17)92.678.8171.4+13.982%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
36avg 78
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 78
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
59-53
59
53
+6
53avg 78
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
103-83
103
83
+20
115avg 78
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
94-68
94
68
+26
104avg 78
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 78
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 78
A21/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
71avg 78
H28/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-64
86
64
+22
85avg 78
H31/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 78
A02/06
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
5-30
15-13
16-18
20-19
30-12
23-22
17-16
12-17
18-11
9-20
20-5
26-18
23-25
26-27
28-13
17-14
24-17
27-20
26-17
23-21
21-19
20-19
19-11
20-20
20-21
28-27
25-18
19-20
13-24
27-28
23-23
27-17
21-23
21-12
17-12
26-14
11-15
24-24
11-31
156.4Avg total
81.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)89.080.4169.3+8.678%
Season at home (21)92.078.0170.0+14.090%
Season away (19)85.583.0168.5+2.563%
Last 10 (10)81.574.9156.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)83.279.8163.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.692.0168.6-15.40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.775.3148.0-2.750%
vs Weaker (16)90.476.9167.4+13.594%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
ChemnitzAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A04/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H08/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H19/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/05
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A23/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
77.2Avg total
41.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.283.1+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.379.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)46.141.087.1+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.077.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.636.877.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.339.681.9+2.754%-
vs Weaker (17)45.238.884.1+6.482%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H10/05
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A02/06
BBL
76.6Avg total
39.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.080.5+0.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.982.6+2.876%-
Last 30 away (13)37.640.277.8-2.646%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.376.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.846.284.0-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.737.071.7-2.367%-
vs Weaker (16)44.138.182.1+6.088%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.2
56.8%
54.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
76.0%14.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.115.1
79.1%
76.0%15.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WLWWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+7.9
Net rating
+9.9
111.3
Offensive rating
111.5
103.4
Defensive rating
101.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.9%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
35.5%
53.9%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 111.5Defence103.4 · 101.6Shooting53.5% · 54.7%3-point %32.4% · 35.5%Ball care17.6% · 21.9%Off. rebounds31.8% · 35.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72
31/05/24AAlba Berlin64-86
28/05/24AAlba Berlin95-82
23/05/24AVechta84-67
21/05/24AVechta84-76
19/05/24HVechta87-96
17/05/24HVechta83-77
12/05/24HWurzburg79-66
08/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig82-68
04/05/24AHamburg85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/24AChemnitz72-84
31/05/24HChemnitz86-64
28/05/24HChemnitz82-95
21/05/24ABonn93-86
19/05/24HBonn83-70
17/05/24HBonn94-68
12/05/24ACrailsheim Merlins103-83
10/05/24HBayern59-53
08/05/24HBonn90-69
05/05/24ABayern53-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %76%80%71%
Points / game87.886.389.2
Allowed / game78.975.582.2
Point differential+8.9+10.8+7.0
Avg total166.7161.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLLWWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %78%90%63%
Points / game89.092.085.5
Allowed / game80.478.083.0
Point differential+8.6+14.0+2.5
Avg total169.3170.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern4134783%87.775.8+11.9
2 Alba Berlin4031978%89.080.4+8.6
3 Chemnitz41311076%87.878.9+8.9
4 Wurzburg41271466%84.580.6+3.9
5 Ulm38251366%89.382.5+6.8
6 Vechta38221658%87.382.6+4.7
7 Bonn38211755%88.385.5+2.9
8 Oldenburg35181751%85.684.1+1.5
9 Ludwigsburg40202050%86.283.2+3.0
10 Hamburg36181850%85.686.2-0.6
11 Bamberg34151944%88.589.8-1.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig34151944%81.784.4-2.7
13 Syntainics MBC34112332%85.593.3-7.7
14 Gottingen34102429%85.392.6-7.3
15 Rostock3492526%86.793.1-6.3
16 Heidelberg3492526%82.993.4-10.5
17 Crailsheim Merlins3482624%81.292.6-11.3
18 Tubingen3462818%82.395.3-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2823171785
Alba Berlin2716223196
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