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Bonn vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-89
21-22 13-24 17-24 28-19
Position#14
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game70.0
GermanyBBLRound 6· Telekom Dome
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bonn v Ludwigsburg
28 Mar 2027
BON v LUD
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
BON79
LUD81
28 Oct 2024
BON79
LUD89
14 May 2024
BON90
LUD69
12 May 2024
BON87
LUD60
30 Jan 2024
BON80
LUD75
31 May 2023
BON94
LUD65
29 May 2023
BON80
LUD71
29 Mar 2023
BON91
LUD75
02 Apr 2022
BON97
LUD88
15 Nov 2020
BON82
LUD86
12 Feb 2020
BON77
LUD83
06 Jan 2019
BON86
LUD62
10 Feb 2018
BON105
LUD109
26 Mar 2017
BON90
LUD86
29 Apr 2016
BON90
LUD85
22 Mar 2015
BON87
LUD80
09 Feb 2014
BON77
LUD88
02 Dec 2012
BON100
LUD74
18 Feb 2012
BON90
LUD78
13 Nov 2010
BON69
LUD79
21 Nov 2009
BON74
LUD59
22 Nov 2008
BON76
LUD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 78
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
89avg 78
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 78
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
62avg 78
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
95-80
95
80
+15
85avg 78
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 78
A01/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 78
H06/10
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
78avg 78
H13/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#4
W
93-74
93
74
+19
88avg 78
H15/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#4
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 78
A20/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-20
27-28
18-25
20-18
31-22
16-21
32-30
20-21
12-12
32-15
14-23
13-18
21-14
19-21
22-30
26-16
20-27
20-14
29-23
21-19
21-22
17-17
13-28
22-23
24-21
24-22
21-21
26-19
20-22
15-29
24-21
26-17
13-19
20-23
34-15
29-22
16-22
24-16
26-16
170.1Avg total
86.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.081.5170.5+7.575%
Season at home (2)93.083.5176.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)85.079.5164.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.983.2170.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)87.282.8170.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.286.5166.8-6.238%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.481.1165.4+3.362%
vs Weaker (5)94.488.6183.0+5.860%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 71
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
78-70
78
70
+8
62avg 71
H22/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 71
A30/09
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
70-64
70
64
+6
57avg 71
H02/10
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-63
62
63
-1
39avg 71
A05/10
BBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#22
W
86-62
86
62
+24
72avg 71
H08/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 71
H13/10
German Cup
Trepca
#40
W
70-57
70
57
+13
55avg 71
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#17
W
91-62
91
62
+29
91avg 71
H19/10
BBL
Dijon
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 71
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
23-23
23-21
12-15
25-16
17-19
17-19
19-16
14-29
23-22
12-26
22-14
18-17
16-15
24-17
12-15
19-12
18-22
7-15
18-14
21-14
15-12
23-17
27-19
22-10
21-29
17-20
17-26
21-21
14-11
12-13
23-12
19-13
30-20
14-17
28-12
24-16
14-27
22-16
20-18
146.1Avg total
75.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.470.0144.4+4.460%
Season at home (3)79.765.3145.0+14.3100%
Season away (2)66.577.0143.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)75.470.7146.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)80.868.6149.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.485.0163.4-6.627%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.784.8160.5-9.130%
vs Weaker (8)87.474.0161.4+13.475%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
BonnLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/05
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H20/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/09
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/09
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H28/09
BBL
VEF Riga
#37
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A01/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/10
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H15/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A20/10
BBL
81.6Avg total
42.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.284.9+0.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.440.886.2+4.582%-
Last 30 away (13)39.244.183.3-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.481.6+2.890%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.041.580.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.141.384.4+1.869%-
vs Weaker (5)46.846.693.4+0.260%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A30/09
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/10
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/10
BBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#22
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H08/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H13/10
German Cup
Trepca
#40
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#17
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H19/10
BBL
Dijon
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
75.0Avg total
38.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.482.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.840.282.0+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)37.944.982.8-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.575.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.674.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.043.582.5-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.045.684.6-6.620%-
vs Weaker (8)42.137.279.4+4.975%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.6
53.6%
52.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.2
39.3%
33.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.114.3
79.0%
73.5%14.3
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.118.6
45.3%
52.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.9
30.3%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.913.9
66.5%
73.5%13.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWLWLWLWWL
Ludwigsburg
WWWLWLWLWL
#14
League position
#8
+5.2
Net rating
+7.0
116.5
Offensive rating
99.3
111.3
Defensive rating
92.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
45.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.3%
3-point %
30.3%
58.4%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 99.3Defence111.3 · 92.2Shooting55.9% · 45.3%3-point %39.3% · 30.3%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bonn wins
0
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
14/05/24Bonn v Ludwigsburg90-69
12/05/24Bonn v Ludwigsburg87-60
20/03/24Ludwigsburg v Bonn81-85
30/01/24Bonn v Ludwigsburg80-75
21/10/23Ludwigsburg v Bonn86-91
14/10/23Ludwigsburg v Bonn79-80
03/06/23Ludwigsburg v Bonn73-82
31/05/23Bonn v Ludwigsburg94-65
29/05/23Bonn v Ludwigsburg80-71
29/03/23Bonn v Ludwigsburg91-75
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AHeidelberg95-76
15/10/24HAEK Athens93-74
13/10/24HBayern85-91
06/10/24HAlba Berlin91-87
01/10/24AVEF Riga72-86
28/09/24HSyntainics MBC95-80
25/09/24AVechta75-83
22/09/24HSassari78-71
20/09/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-91
21/05/24HAlba Berlin86-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/24HDijon80-77
19/10/24HGottingen91-62
16/10/24ATrepca70-57
13/10/24HSyntainics MBC77-85
08/10/24HCaledonia Gladiators86-62
05/10/24AUlm62-63
02/10/24HRostock70-64
30/09/24ABasketball Braunschweig71-91
22/09/24HBayern78-70
24/05/24HBayern69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game89.093.085.0
Allowed / game81.583.579.5
Point differential+7.5+9.5+5.5
Avg total170.5176.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game74.479.766.5
Allowed / game70.065.377.0
Point differential+4.4+14.3-10.5
Avg total144.4145.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm54180%77.878.6-0.8
2 Bonn43175%89.081.5+7.5
3 Bayern64267%77.374.3+3.0
4 Heidelberg64267%85.584.0+1.5
5 Ludwigsburg53260%74.470.0+4.4
6 Oldenburg53260%82.679.8+2.8
7 Chemnitz53260%76.475.6+0.8
8 Basketball Braunschweig42250%78.271.2+7.0
9 Wurzburg42250%82.076.2+5.8
10 Rostock63350%77.877.2+0.7
11 Syntainics MBC63350%85.284.8+0.3
12 Alba Berlin52340%83.080.0+3.0
13 Hamburg52340%84.885.2-0.4
14 Frankfurt52340%75.877.2-1.4
15 Bamberg41325%69.277.5-8.2
16 Vechta51420%76.881.6-4.8
17 Gottingen4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2113172879
Ludwigsburg2224241989
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