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Ulm vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-62
12-19 22-18 15-7 14-18
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game81.0
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Ludwigsburg
Germany
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game75.0
GermanyBBLRound 4· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Ludwigsburg
20 Sep 2026
ULM86
LUD77
06 Mar 2026
ULM93
LUD76
05 Oct 2024
ULM63
LUD62
28 Oct 2023
ULM70
LUD99
25 Mar 2023
ULM93
LUD76
19 May 2022
ULM79
LUD97
02 Jan 2022
ULM78
LUD66
20 Mar 2021
ULM77
LUD83
24 Oct 2020
ULM92
LUD72
23 Jun 2020
ULM85
LUD94
08 Mar 2020
ULM76
LUD94
10 Nov 2018
ULM82
LUD91
22 Apr 2018
ULM84
LUD77
18 May 2017
ULM91
LUD81
13 May 2017
ULM87
LUD76
06 May 2017
ULM93
LUD96
22 Oct 2016
ULM97
LUD80
07 Nov 2015
ULM69
LUD71
18 Oct 2014
ULM99
LUD85
09 Nov 2013
ULM104
LUD99
06 Oct 2012
ULM84
LUD91
14 Mar 2012
ULM84
LUD80
08 Apr 2011
ULM85
LUD95
13 Mar 2010
ULM76
LUD84
17 Apr 2009
ULM103
LUD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
91-74
91
74
+17
95avg 80
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 80
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 80
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
100-64
100
64
+36
98avg 80
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 80
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
63avg 80
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
82avg 80
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
90avg 80
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 80
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
78avg 80
H01/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
20-10
21-27
31-19
23-21
22-11
14-21
18-19
20-23
18-17
18-18
9-20
22-22
28-17
26-11
24-14
18-20
16-24
23-20
22-18
14-16
17-20
23-17
18-22
24-18
23-20
22-21
21-27
23-32
15-9
17-21
26-19
13-15
21-15
28-21
23-25
25-17
18-19
16-16
28-31
162.5Avg total
84.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.581.0168.5+6.5100%
Season at home (1)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)90.086.0176.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.278.3162.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)86.082.6168.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.880.5158.2-2.850%
vs Similar (13)82.881.5164.4+1.331%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.977.6166.5+11.392%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
L
60-87
60
87
-27
45avg 72
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 72
A14/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
82avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
89avg 72
A18/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 72
A20/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 72
H22/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 72
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
78-70
78
70
+8
62avg 72
H22/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
53avg 72
A30/09
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
70-64
70
64
+6
57avg 72
H02/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
18-18
15-27
11-22
13-32
12-19
28-17
16-22
23-15
22-20
21-10
25-33
18-26
22-17
15-22
35-25
19-21
14-22
16-21
18-19
18-26
19-19
16-12
20-27
11-17
23-23
23-21
12-15
25-16
17-19
17-19
19-16
14-29
23-22
12-26
22-14
18-17
16-15
24-17
12-15
157.1Avg total
75.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.075.0148.0-2.067%
Season at home (2)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)71.091.0162.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)75.082.1157.1-7.140%
Last 5 (5)72.277.0149.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.087.2167.2-7.230%
vs Similar (13)78.882.8161.6-3.938%
vs Weaker (7)91.384.6175.9+6.757%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
UlmLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/05
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A12/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H20/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A22/09
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/09
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#5
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H28/09
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/10
Eurocup
76.3Avg total
39.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.183.9+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.439.181.5+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.476.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.538.578.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (13)42.142.985.0-0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.137.681.7+6.577%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A14/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H16/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A18/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H22/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H22/09
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A30/09
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/10
BBL
77.4Avg total
36.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.784.4-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.283.0+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.446.685.9-7.214%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.377.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.677.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.244.583.7-5.320%-
vs Similar (13)39.844.183.8-4.331%-
vs Weaker (7)44.342.086.3+2.357%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.4
56.1%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.7
35.7%
33.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
73.5%14.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.0
46.4%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.1
28.5%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.7
73.7%
73.5%15.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLLWLWW
Ludwigsburg
WLWLLLWWLL
#2
League position
#8
+7.5
Net rating
-9.7
109.9
Offensive rating
100.7
102.4
Defensive rating
110.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
44.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
28.5%
61.5%
Assist %
54.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 100.7Defence102.4 · 110.4Shooting54.9% · 44.8%3-point %35.7% · 28.5%Ball care17.8% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Ludwigsburg v Ulm60-94
28/10/23Ulm v Ludwigsburg70-99
25/03/23Ulm v Ludwigsburg93-76
27/12/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm87-84
19/05/22Ulm v Ludwigsburg79-97
17/05/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm81-77 OT
14/05/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm104-99 OT
09/04/22Ludwigsburg v Ulm74-61
02/01/22Ulm v Ludwigsburg78-66
20/03/21Ulm v Ludwigsburg77-83
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24HJoventut Badalona87-83
28/09/24HWurzburg85-76
25/09/24ATrefl Sopot96-93 OT
22/09/24AChemnitz90-86
24/05/24AWurzburg72-75
22/05/24AWurzburg79-82
20/05/24HWurzburg100-64
18/05/24HWurzburg65-78
12/05/24ABasketball Braunschweig77-72
09/05/24HOldenburg91-74
Ludwigsburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24HRostock70-64
30/09/24ABasketball Braunschweig71-91
22/09/24HBayern78-70
24/05/24HBayern69-76
22/05/24HBayern73-84
20/05/24ABayern67-83
18/05/24ABayern102-98 OT
16/05/24HHamburg91-78
14/05/24ABonn69-90
12/05/24ABonn60-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.585.090.0
Allowed / game81.076.086.0
Point differential+6.5+9.0+4.0
Avg total168.5161.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.074.071.0
Allowed / game75.067.091.0
Point differential-2.0+7.0-20.0
Avg total148.0141.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basketball Braunschweig220100%93.574.0+19.5
2 Ulm220100%87.581.0+6.5
3 Bayern32167%74.772.3+2.3
4 Heidelberg32167%90.090.7-0.7
5 Ludwigsburg32167%73.075.0-2.0
6 Frankfurt21150%79.069.0+10.0
7 Alba Berlin21150%92.583.5+9.0
8 Wurzburg21150%84.075.0+9.0
9 Hamburg21150%88.580.5+8.0
10 Bonn21150%85.081.5+3.5
11 Vechta21150%78.577.5+1.0
12 Rostock42250%79.580.0-0.5
13 Bamberg21150%71.577.0-5.5
14 Oldenburg21150%87.593.5-6.0
15 Chemnitz2020%72.581.5-9.0
16 Syntainics MBC3030%85.796.7-11.0
17 Gottingen2020%73.0101.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1222151463
Ludwigsburg191871862
← all games of the day
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