PythiaBasketballBETA
Bordo Bandirma faces Karsiyaka in the Basketbol Super Ligi on 14 November 2026, with the Pythia model favouring the home side and predicting a 57% chance of victory and a projected score of 85-83, a total of 167.9 points and a 5% chance of overtime. Bordo Bandirma, 13th in the league, has gone 2-5 this season with 82.3 points per game and 87.0 allowed, while at home they are 2-1, scoring 87.0 and conceding 79.7; their last five games included a 78-95 loss to Cayirova, a 103-88 win over Bahcesehir Kol. and a 68-102 defeat by Galatasaray. Karsiyaka, positioned 8th, is 4-3 overall with 81.3 points per game and 82.6 allowed, but on the road they are 1-2, 80.0 points and 82.7 conceded; their recent five games feature wins over Besiktas and Bursaspor and a 72-97 loss to Fenerbahce. The two teams have met twice before, with the last encounter ending 84-83 in favour of Karsiyaka. The model sees Bordo Bandirma as the likely winner, projecting a close contest that could swing on the final minutes.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 82.3 | 87.0 | 169.3 | -4.7 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 87.0 | 79.7 | 166.7 | +7.3 | 67% |
| Season away (4) | 78.8 | 92.5 | 171.2 | -13.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (7) | 82.3 | 87.0 | 169.3 | -4.7 | 29% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 86.8 | 168.4 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 82.2 | 85.2 | 167.5 | -3.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 82.3 | 89.3 | 171.7 | -7.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 81.3 | 82.6 | 163.9 | -1.3 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 82.2 | 82.5 | 164.8 | -0.2 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 80.0 | 82.7 | 162.7 | -2.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.9 | 81.4 | 161.3 | -1.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.8 | 86.8 | 170.6 | -3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 78.3 | 85.6 | 163.9 | -7.4 | 24% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 85.9 | 86.0 | 171.9 | -0.1 | 55% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.5 | 81.0 | 171.5 | +9.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (7) | 42.6 | 41.4 | 84.0 | +1.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 43.0 | 35.7 | 78.7 | +7.3 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (4) | 42.2 | 45.8 | 88.0 | -3.5 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (7) | 42.6 | 41.4 | 84.0 | +1.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 39.4 | 82.0 | +3.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 40.8 | 36.2 | 77.0 | +4.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 45.0 | 48.3 | 93.3 | -3.3 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.7 | 43.6 | 83.3 | -3.9 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.4 | 42.8 | 81.2 | -4.4 | 25% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.3 | 44.5 | 85.8 | -3.2 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.7 | 40.6 | 79.3 | -1.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 41.8 | 81.8 | -1.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 38.1 | 42.9 | 81.0 | -4.9 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 41.4 | 45.3 | 86.6 | -3.9 | 27% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 45.0 | 40.0 | 85.0 | +5.0 | 100% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.5 | 18.7 | 54.8% | 37.3 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 10.5 | 35.9% | 31.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.2 | 75.9% | 14.2 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.7 | 19.6 | 54.8% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.4 | 7.9 | 35.9% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.9 | 16.5 | 75.9% | 16.5 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Cayirova | 78-95 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Bahcesehir Kol. | 103-88 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Galatasaray | 68-102 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Turk Telekom | 79-66 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Trabzonspor | 80-83 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Anadolu Efes | 79-85 |
| 25/09/26 | A | Tofas | 89-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/26 | H | Besiktas | 84-83 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Bursaspor | 86-83 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Fenerbahce | 72-97 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Cayirova | 95-79 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Bahcesehir Kol. | 82-92 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Galatasaray | 78-71 OT |
| 26/09/26 | A | Turk Telekom | 72-73 |
| 10/05/26 | H | Bursaspor | 84-82 |
| 03/05/26 | A | Tofas | 78-87 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Esenler Erokspor | 68-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 29% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.3 | 87.0 | 78.8 |
| Allowed / game | 87.0 | 79.7 | 92.5 |
| Point differential | -4.7 | +7.3 | -13.8 |
| Avg total | 169.3 | 166.7 | 171.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | - | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 57% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 82.2 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.6 | 82.5 | 82.7 |
| Point differential | -1.3 | -0.2 | -2.7 |
| Avg total | 163.9 | 164.8 | 162.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bahcesehir Kol. | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.7 | 86.6 | +6.1 |
| 2 |  Turk Telekom | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 83.6 | 75.0 | +8.6 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahce | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 86.9 | 79.6 | +7.3 |
| 4 |  Anadolu Efes | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 86.0 | 79.4 | +6.6 |
| 5 |  Petkim Spor | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 84.2 | 83.6 | +0.6 |
| 6 | Karsiyaka | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.3 | 82.6 | -1.3 |
| 7 | Esenler Erokspor | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 82.9 | 84.7 | -1.9 |
| 8 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.6 | 79.8 | +7.9 |
| 9 |  Tofas | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.5 | 82.0 | -1.5 |
| 10 |  Trabzonspor | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.2 | 82.2 | -2.0 |
| 11 |  Besiktas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 84.1 | 86.3 | -2.1 |
| 12 | Korfez Basket | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.0 | 85.2 | -3.2 |
| 13 | Bordo Bandirma | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.3 | 87.0 | -4.7 |
| 14 | Cayirova | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.9 | 88.0 | -6.1 |
| 15 | Denizli Basket | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 80.6 | 87.6 | -7.0 |
| 16 |  Bursaspor | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.9 | 83.6 | -8.7 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordo Bandirma | 26 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 83 |
| Karsiyaka | 27 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 75 |
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