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Bornova vs Samsunspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 52-89
20-20 12-19 9-26 11-24
Position#13
Record4-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game80.6
Bornova
Turkey
vs
Samsunspor 🏆
Turkey
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game71.9
TurkeyTBLRound 19
Other2022-23
Meetings · Bornova v Samsunspor
05 Mar 2023
BORN52
SAM89
23 Apr 2022
BORN85
SAM95
30 Jan 2021
BORN80
SAM82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bornova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samsunspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BornovaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H03/12
TBL
Gemlik
#15
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A11/12
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H17/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A23/12
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A30/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H07/01
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A15/01
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A21/01
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H28/01
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A04/02
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
9-19
15-20
18-18
12-24
17-18
24-19
17-24
11-20
25-13
14-19
15-22
11-25
16-25
21-20
27-32
19-23
12-12
15-15
16-15
19-26
20-17
18-19
8-30
27-20
17-19
16-19
19-26
22-17
29-16
14-22
27-26
24-19
15-27
10-17
23-19
24-13
21-22
17-21
30-22
156.1Avg total
74.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.680.6153.2-8.122%
Season at home (8)72.979.9152.8-7.025%
Season away (10)72.381.2153.5-8.920%
Last 10 (10)74.281.9156.1-7.720%
Last 5 (5)80.083.4163.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.482.4153.8-11.06%
vs Similar (10)78.686.1164.7-7.530%
vs Weaker (2)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A07/01
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H15/01
TBL
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H22/01
TBL
Gemlik
#15
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A29/01
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H03/02
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
21-17
13-16
20-19
22-21
24-14
24-19
22-20
23-12
26-21
22-16
15-13
25-15
23-24
28-31
17-14
25-26
27-18
14-21
15-21
11-26
34-11
33-13
18-14
16-16
27-18
17-23
25-16
18-18
30-13
11-26
20-18
22-19
27-26
15-21
20-28
13-8
28-10
25-17
22-17
159.9Avg total
85.7Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.771.9157.6+13.878%
Season at home (10)85.265.7150.9+19.590%
Season away (8)86.479.6166.0+6.862%
Last 10 (10)85.774.2159.9+11.570%
Last 5 (5)86.471.6158.0+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)87.285.3172.5+1.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.570.5156.0+15.083%
This opponent (Bornova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
BornovaSamsunspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BornovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
TBL
Gemlik
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A11/12
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H17/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A23/12
TBL
Fenerbahce 2
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/12
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/01
TBL
Yalovaspor
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/01
TBL
Harem Spor
#9
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A21/01
TBL
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H28/01
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A04/02
TBL
77.2Avg total
37.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.378.5-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.741.779.4-4.021%-
Last 30 away (16)36.840.977.7-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.477.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.340.676.9-4.228%-
vs Similar (10)37.742.279.9-4.530%-
vs Weaker (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Samsunspor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamsunsporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin BŞB
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A05/12
TBL
Final Spor
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H10/12
TBL
Ankaragucu Mamak
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/12
TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A24/12
TBL
iLab Basketbol
#7
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H30/12
TBL
Antalya Güneşi
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A07/01
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/01
TBL
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#1
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/01
TBL
Gemlik
#15
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A29/01
TBL
Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
#14
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H03/02
TBL
82.0Avg total
46.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.880.9+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.931.976.9+13.0100%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.785.0+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)46.135.982.0+10.290%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.078.2+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)45.241.286.3+4.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.433.977.3+9.689%-
This opponent (Bornova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bornovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bornova: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.3%
34.2%22.0
🏀 Free throws13.38.0
60.0%
72.1%8.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samsunsportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samsunspor: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
72.1%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/5 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bornova
WLWLLLLLLL
Samsunspor
WLWWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#2
-21.2
Net rating
+11.3
89.3
Offensive rating
116.1
110.5
Defensive rating
104.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
23.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.3%
3-point %
39.2%
64.5%
Assist %
74.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 116.1Defence110.5 · 104.8Shooting48.6% · 53.8%3-point %29.3% · 39.2%Ball care23.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 33.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Bornova   ■ Samsunspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bornova wins
3
Samsunspor wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Samsunspor v Bornova76-54
23/04/22Bornova v Samsunspor85-95
25/12/21Samsunspor v Bornova83-94
30/01/21Bornova v Samsunspor80-82
17/10/20Samsunspor v Bornova75-81
05/10/20Samsunspor v Bornova76-84
Bornovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23AFinal Spor92-78
28/01/23HMersin BŞB72-82
21/01/23AHarem Spor92-81
15/01/23AYalovaspor79-84
07/01/23HAnkara Kolejliler65-92
30/12/22AFenerbahce 262-65
23/12/22AAnkaragucu Mamak75-102
17/12/22HKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor65-74
11/12/22AGemlik70-85
03/12/22HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor70-76
Samsunsporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HKocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor88-52
29/01/23AGemlik84-94
22/01/23HÇağdaş Bodrum Spor79-75
15/01/23HOGM Ormanspor85-73
07/01/23AAntalya Güneşi96-64
30/12/22HiLab Basketbol81-86
24/12/22ABalıkesir BŞB93-84
18/12/22HAnkaragucu Mamak86-62
10/12/22HFinal Spor92-74
05/12/22AMersin BŞB73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bornova
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLWW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game72.672.972.3
Allowed / game80.679.981.2
Point differential-8.1-7.0-8.9
Avg total153.2152.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samsunspor
TBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%90%62%
Points / game85.785.286.4
Allowed / game71.965.779.6
Point differential+13.8+19.5+6.8
Avg total157.6150.9166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mersin BŞB1816289%81.771.3+10.4
2 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor1815383%80.470.2+10.2
3 Samsunspor1814478%85.771.9+13.8
4 Final Spor1912763%80.376.1+4.2
5 Ankara Kolejliler1811761%84.380.8+3.6
6 iLab Basketbol1811761%76.374.0+2.3
7 Yalovaspor1810856%75.470.7+4.8
8 Ankaragucu Mamak1910953%81.378.8+2.5
9 Balıkesir BŞB1910953%80.882.4-1.6
10 Fenerbahce 21981142%76.779.1-2.4
11 Harem Spor1871139%75.382.3-6.9
12 OGM Ormanspor1971237%75.875.3+0.5
13 Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor1961332%72.679.4-6.8
14 Gemlik1951426%72.981.1-8.2
15 Bornova1841422%72.680.6-8.1
16 Antalya Güneşi1921711%69.786.5-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bornova201291152
Samsunspor2019262489
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