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Boston University vs Dartmouth Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 79-71
Projected total 150.5
Scheduled
Position#134
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.5
Boston University
USA
Vs
77%
23%
■ BOST 77%■ DART 23%
Pythia win probability
Dartmouth
USA
Position#106
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boston University v Dartmouth
15 Nov 2026
BOST v DART
upcoming
16 Nov 2024
BOST78
DART50
13 Dec 2022
BOST67
DART59
14 Dec 2019
BOST78
DART76
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Boston University hosts Dartmouth on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Eagles as the clear favourite, rating them 77% to win largely because of their 3-1 season record, 80.0 points per game, and 74.5 allowed, while Dartmouth sits 3-1 with 83.0 points per game and 66.5 allowed; Boston's 2-0 home record, 96.5 points per game and 79.5 allowed at home further lift the model's confidence. Both teams have matched 3-1 records so far, with Dartmouth's 77.0 points per game and 69.0 allowed on the road, and Boston's 80.0 points per game and 74.5 allowed overall. Boston's last five games include a 100-74 win over Johnson & Wales (RI) at home, a 55-72 loss to Northwestern away and a 72-67 win over Brown away; Dartmouth's last five feature an 85-76 win over Albany Great Danes away, a 71-78 loss to Central Connecticut State at home and a 107-50 win over Framingham State at home. Historically the Eagles have won four of six meetings, though Dartmouth last beat Boston 77-64 on 13 December 2025. Pythia projects a 79-71 win for Boston, a 150.5 total, a home line of -3.0 with a 70% chance of covering, a 143.5 total with a 66% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood. The game ends with Boston's 79 points, Dartmouth's 71.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston University win
76.6%fair 1.31
Best odds1.69
Implied57.9%
Edge+18.7pp
Dartmouth win
23.4%fair 4.27
Best odds2.30
Implied42.1%
Edge-18.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#197
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H26/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A28/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A11/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A10/11
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#401
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-29
39-41
38-33
40-30
38-23
30-42
40-36
35-37
36-35
37-37
30-41
30-33
46-36
47-49
31-37
41-30
24-39
31-33
51-40
49-34
145.6Avg total
74.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.074.5154.5+5.575%
Season at home (2)96.579.5176.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)63.569.5133.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)74.171.5145.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)76.074.4150.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.770.7137.3-4.033%
vs Similar (11)72.272.9145.1-0.736%
vs Weaker (15)81.373.8155.1+7.573%
This opponent (Dartmouth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DartmouthUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
90-111
90
111
-21
H07/03
NCAA
Marist
#306
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A03/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#508
W
107-50
107
50
+57
H04/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
L
71-78 OT
71
78
-7
H08/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#233
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
40-45
38-30
38-49
29-28
35-35
42-34
29-46
28-43
33-39
43-59
47-52
26-27
43-35
51-25
56-25
30-33
36-33
49-36
36-40
152.8Avg total
76.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.066.5149.5+16.575%
Season at home (2)89.064.0153.0+25.050%
Season away (2)77.069.0146.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.476.4152.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)84.475.4159.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.483.1156.5-9.725%
vs Similar (9)73.074.9147.9-1.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.767.6148.3+13.171%
This opponent (Boston University) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 138.5
Over 138.5
76.4%
@ 1.52+14.5pp
Under 138.5
23.6%
@ 2.45-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 143.5 · main line
Over 143.5
66.0%
@ 2.00+16.2pp
Under 143.5
34.0%
@ 1.90-16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Over/Under 148.5
Over 148.5
54.2%
@ 2.75+11.6pp
Under 148.5
45.8%
@ 1.77-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.40
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Be
1.68
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Boston University total 69.5
Over 69.5
83.6%
@ 1.50+20.8pp
Under 69.5
16.4%
@ 2.50-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Boston University total 73.5 · main line
Over 73.5
72.0%
@ 1.91+22.6pp
Under 73.5
28.0%
@ 1.85-22.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Boston University total 77.5
Over 77.5
57.3%
@ 3.10+25.0pp
Under 77.5
42.7%
@ 1.38-25.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.10
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
Dartmouth total 67
Over 67
65.7%
Under 67
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dartmouth total 71 · main line
Over 71
49.9%
@ 1.87-0.1pp
Under 71
50.1%
@ 1.86+0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Dartmouth total 75
Over 75
34.2%
Under 75
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Boston University -6
BOST -6
58.8%
@ 2.40+20.0pp
DART +6
41.2%
@ 1.52-20.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BOST
Bet365
2.40
DART
Bet365
1.52
Spread Boston University -3 · main line
BOST -3
69.7%
@ 1.95+20.5pp
DART +3
30.3%
@ 1.86-20.5pp
Best 5 market prices
BOST
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.88
1xBet
1.86
DART
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Spread Boston University 0
BOST 0
76.6%
DART 0
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
BOST
No market prices yet.
DART
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.6-0.6
Boston UniversityDartmouth
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boston UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#197
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A28/02
NCAA
American University
#204
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Northeastern
#238
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#128
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#401
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)36.233.469.6+2.863%53%
Last 30 at home (15)39.433.773.1+5.773%67%
Last 30 away (15)33.033.166.1-0.153%40%
Last 10 (10)36.234.971.1+1.360%60%
Last 5 (5)36.438.675.0-2.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.030.361.3+0.767%33%
vs Similar (11)33.434.567.8-1.145%55%
vs Weaker (15)38.332.871.1+5.573%53%
This opponent (Dartmouth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DartmouthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Marist
#306
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#508
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#233
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/11
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69
Last 30 (30)36.434.871.2+1.750%43%
Last 30 at home (14)38.434.673.1+3.836%43%
Last 30 away (16)34.734.969.6-0.262%44%
Last 10 (10)36.635.371.9+1.350%50%
Last 5 (5)39.836.075.8+3.840%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.839.874.6-4.933%50%
vs Similar (9)35.433.869.2+1.756%44%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.429.064.4+6.457%14%
This opponent (Boston University) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
BOST win
no forecast
@ 1.70
DART win
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Spread Boston University -1.5 · main line
BOST -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
DART +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 69 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Boston University 1st half total 35 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Dartmouth 1st half total 33.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.75
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Boston University -2.5
BOST -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
DART +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Boston University -3.5
BOST -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
DART +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Over/Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Over/Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.57
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Boston University -4.5
BOST -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
DART +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Boston University +1.5
BOST +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
DART -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Spread Boston University -5.5
BOST -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.67
DART +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Boston University +2.5
BOST +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
DART -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
BOST
no forecast
@ 1.76
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
DART
no forecast
@ 2.22

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BOST win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
DART win + total 143.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BOST leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DART leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Boston University over 7374.4%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85		---+24.4pp
Boston University -273.3%1.76
SBO
1.78
Bet365
1.74		---+20.9pp
Boston University (regulation)74.2%1.67
Marathon Bet
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66		--+20.3pp
Boston University win76.6%1.63
1xBet
1.69
Bet365
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.64
Betano
1.62
WilliamHill
1.60		+18.7pp
Over 14171.8%1.68
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.65		---+17.3pp
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston University wins
2
Dartmouth wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Dartmouth v Boston University77-64
16/11/24Boston University v Dartmouth78-50
14/12/23Dartmouth v Boston University63-56
14/12/22Boston University v Dartmouth67-59
11/12/21Dartmouth v Boston University62-65
14/12/19Boston University v Dartmouth78-76
Boston Universitylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HJohnson & Wales (RI)100-74
10/11/26ANorthwestern55-72
07/11/26ABrown72-67
03/11/26HNortheastern93-85
11/03/26ALehigh60-74
08/03/26ANavy73-72
06/03/26HAmerican University75-73
28/02/26AAmerican University68-65
26/02/26HHoly Cross78-63
22/02/26ALehigh67-70
Dartmouthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AAlbany Great Danes85-76
08/11/26HCentral Connecticut State71-78 OT
04/11/26HFramingham State107-50
03/11/26AMarist69-62
07/03/26HCornell90-111
28/02/26APrinceton61-82
28/02/26APenn71-80
21/02/26AColumbia64-63
14/02/26HBrown76-79
14/02/26HYale70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston University
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.096.563.5
Allowed / game74.579.569.5
Point differential+5.5+17.0-6.0
Avg total154.5176.0133.0
Over 143.550%100%0%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dartmouth
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.089.077.0
Allowed / game66.564.069.0
Point differential+16.5+25.0+8.0
Avg total149.5153.0146.0
Over 143.575%100%50%
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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