PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Botafogo vs Osasco Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Osasco
23 Dec 2026
BOTA v OSAS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
BOTA85
OSAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 67
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 67
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 67
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 67
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 67
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 67
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 67
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 65
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 65
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 65
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 65
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
93-69
93
69
+24
72avg 65
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
45avg 65
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
16-31
17-19
13-28
35-12
25-27
12-20
16-27
22-19
16-21
25-26
12-17
21-20
165.5Avg total
78.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.886.8164.7-9.017%
Season at home (3)76.790.7167.3-14.00%
Season away (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.187.4165.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)75.090.7165.7-15.74%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.283.5163.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
BotafogoOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
NBB
85.4Avg total
38.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.145.181.2-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.984.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.885.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)37.445.482.8-8.013%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.3%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
Osasco
LLLLWLWWLL
#14
League position
#16
-6.7
Net rating
-15.4
91.9
Offensive rating
83.1
98.6
Defensive rating
98.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
28.3%
66.8%
Assist %
61.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 83.1Defence98.6 · 98.5Shooting50.5% · 46.0%3-point %31.5% · 28.3%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
1
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Botafogo v Osasco85-79
02/12/25Osasco v Botafogo79-70
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACorinthians Paulista74-84
12/11/26HMogi75-93
05/11/26HSao Jose81-90
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.876.779.0
Allowed / game86.890.783.0
Point differential-9.0-14.0-4.0
Avg total164.7167.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.