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Botafogo vs Osasco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 85-79
27-21 17-28 21-19 20-11
Position#16
Record6-23
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#18
Record4-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game87.7
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Osasco
23 Dec 2026
BOTA v OSAS
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
BOTA85
OSAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 62
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 62
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 62
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
70-69
70
69
+1
56avg 62
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
67-93
67
93
-26
53avg 62
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
50avg 62
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 62
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 62
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 62
A06/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
26-18
18-20
23-30
22-12
19-17
28-14
10-24
13-14
19-27
13-22
20-18
15-26
18-21
12-24
21-24
15-19
23-17
13-21
25-23
20-26
17-23
20-14
19-27
27-18
10-16
23-20
18-23
22-20
156.7Avg total
75.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.582.9155.4-10.421%
Season at home (13)75.278.8154.1-3.638%
Season away (16)70.286.2156.5-16.06%
Last 10 (10)75.281.5156.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)74.085.8159.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)71.184.2155.3-13.114%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.979.5157.4-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
63avg 67
A08/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
86avg 67
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
64-96
64
96
-32
no box
H16/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 67
H20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
57avg 67
H04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 67
A20/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 67
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-98
81
98
-17
70avg 67
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
68avg 67
H07/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
11-34
17-20
23-30
18-22
20-19
24-23
24-30
23-25
14-22
12-21
15-28
13-23
25-16
14-19
23-19
19-30
14-23
16-22
24-20
19-18
18-20
20-25
16-23
20-20
27-18
18-29
14-16
20-17
18-15
19-26
9-25
23-27
17-23
24-25
17-23
17-17
17-23
26-24
24-28
166.3Avg total
75.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.387.7163.0-12.414%
Season at home (15)73.185.3158.4-12.320%
Season away (14)77.790.2167.9-12.57%
Last 10 (10)75.590.8166.3-15.30%
Last 5 (5)76.688.4165.0-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)75.589.7165.2-14.28%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.275.2149.5-1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -5.3-5.3
BotafogoOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H05/02
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/03
NBB
77.3Avg total
36.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.778.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.837.876.6+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)35.244.779.9-9.512%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.477.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.074.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.042.178.1-6.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.140.579.6-1.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A08/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A20/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A22/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/03
NBB
80.8Avg total
37.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.043.782.7-4.724%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.343.180.3-5.820%-
Last 30 away (14)40.844.485.1-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.280.8-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.678.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)39.445.084.4-5.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.035.871.8+0.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.4
52.2%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.2
27.6%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.713.5
68.5%
72.8%13.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.9
46.6%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
32.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.611.9
67.6%
72.8%11.9
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLLLWWLLL
Osasco
LLLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#18
-11.1
Net rating
-15.5
86.9
Offensive rating
86.0
97.9
Defensive rating
101.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.6%
3-point %
31.3%
57.1%
Assist %
63.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 86.0Defence97.9 · 101.6Shooting47.7% · 46.7%3-point %27.6% · 31.3%Ball care14.9% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.2% · 36.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Botafogo   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Botafogo wins
1
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
02/12/25Osasco v Botafogo79-70
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26ABrasilia73-79
04/03/26ARio Claro83-82
19/02/26HBauru81-87
17/02/26HFranca66-88
12/02/26APato67-93
05/02/26HMogi70-69
21/01/26HSao Jose89-80
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HCruzeiro84-92
05/03/26ASao Jose81-98
22/02/26ACaxias do Sul66-83
20/02/26AUniao Corinthians79-83
07/02/26APaulistano73-86
04/02/26HPinheiros73-95
20/01/26HRio Claro75-77
16/01/26HBrasilia64-96
10/01/26ABauru86-94
08/01/26AFranca74-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLWL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %21%38%6%
Points / game72.575.270.2
Allowed / game82.978.886.2
Point differential-10.4-3.6-16.0
Avg total155.4154.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %14%20%7%
Points / game75.373.177.7
Allowed / game87.785.390.2
Point differential-12.4-12.3-12.5
Avg total163.0158.4167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2924583%85.774.5+11.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia3022873%82.171.9+10.2
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Bauru31191261%81.077.7+3.3
8 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro29111838%80.085.2-5.2
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
18 Cearense3062420%75.987.2-11.3
19 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
20 Vasco3142713%69.679.1-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2717212085
Osasco2128191179
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