PythiaBasketballBETA
NBLRound 6· Sila Sport Complex
Botev Academic will host CSKA Sofia on 15 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model pointing to Botev Academic as the clear favourite thanks to an 81% win probability and a projected 94-84 victory that reflects their 4-1 season record and 91.0 points per game against 82.6 allowed. Botev Academic have gone 4-1 across all games this season, scoring 91.0 and conceding 82.6, while CSKA Sofia are 1-4, averaging 78.4 and allowing 98.6. At home Botev Academic are 2-1, scoring 91.3 and allowing 82.3, and their last five games included wins over Yambol, Levski and Botev 2012, the most recent being a 96-93 away triumph. CSKA Sofia, on the road, are 0-2, scoring 70.5 and conceding 104.0, with their last five featuring losses to Shumen, Balkan and Cherno More. The two teams have met twice this season, with Botev Academic winning the most recent encounter. Pythia assigns an 81% chance to a home win, a 19% chance to an away win, and a 4% probability of overtime, projecting a total of 177.9 points. The final score is expected to be 94-84, with Botev Academic covering the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 91.0 | 82.6 | 173.6 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 91.3 | 82.3 | 173.7 | +9.0 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 90.5 | 83.0 | 173.5 | +7.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (5) | 91.0 | 82.6 | 173.6 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.0 | 82.6 | 173.6 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 93.0 | 96.0 | 189.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 90.5 | 79.2 | 169.8 | +11.2 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 78.4 | 98.6 | 177.0 | -20.2 | 20% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.7 | 95.0 | 178.7 | -11.3 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 70.5 | 104.0 | 174.5 | -33.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.9 | 95.6 | 175.5 | -15.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.4 | 98.6 | 177.0 | -20.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 76.0 | 91.1 | 167.1 | -15.1 | 0% |
| vs Similar (9) | 78.3 | 83.9 | 162.2 | -5.6 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 94.0 | 88.4 | 182.4 | +5.6 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (5) | 46.0 | 41.6 | 87.6 | +4.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 46.7 | 45.0 | 91.7 | +1.7 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (2) | 45.0 | 36.5 | 81.5 | +8.5 | 100% | - |
| Last 10 (5) | 46.0 | 41.6 | 87.6 | +4.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 41.6 | 87.6 | +4.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 46.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | -6.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 46.0 | 39.0 | 85.0 | +7.0 | 75% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.4 | 44.3 | 85.7 | -3.0 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.1 | 43.1 | 87.2 | +0.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.0 | 45.4 | 84.4 | -6.4 | 25% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 46.3 | 87.1 | -5.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 50.0 | 88.8 | -11.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 39.5 | 44.8 | 84.4 | -5.3 | 31% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 40.6 | 44.0 | 84.6 | -3.4 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 47.3 | 45.3 | 92.6 | +2.0 | 57% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.0 | 27.0 | 55.5% | 54.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.0 | 4.0 | 29.8% | 12.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.2 | 14.0 | 71.2% | 14.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.3 | 18.7 | 55.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.1 | 6.4 | 29.8% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.0 | 14.9 | 71.2% | 14.9 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Yambol | 96-93 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Levski | 91-65 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Botev 2012 | 85-73 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Minyor | 93-96 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Beroe | 90-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Shumen | 89-95 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Balkan | 65-94 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Cherno More | 62-95 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Rilski Sportist | 76-114 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Polytechnica | 100-95 |
| 03/05/24 | A | Balkan | 74-94 |
| 01/05/24 | H | Balkan | 82-77 |
| 29/04/24 | A | Balkan | 76-91 |
| 22/04/24 | H | Cherno More | 105-99 |
| 19/04/24 | A | Spartak Pleven | 70-102 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Points / game | 91.0 | 91.3 | 90.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.6 | 82.3 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +8.4 | +9.0 | +7.5 |
| Avg total | 173.6 | 173.7 | 173.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLL | 20% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 78.4 | 83.7 | 70.5 |
| Allowed / game | 98.6 | 95.0 | 104.0 |
| Point differential | -20.2 | -11.3 | -33.5 |
| Avg total | 177.0 | 178.7 | 174.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Balkan | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 89.4 | 71.6 | +17.8 |
| 2 |  Minyor | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 106.7 | 90.8 | +15.8 |
| 3 |  Rilski Sportist | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 90.8 | 74.3 | +16.5 |
| 4 |  Lok. Plovdiv | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.2 | 78.0 | +10.2 |
| 5 | Botev Academic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 91.0 | 82.6 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Shumen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 94.0 | 90.2 | +3.8 |
| 7 |  Cherno More | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 83.8 | 71.7 | +12.2 |
| 8 |  Spartak Pleven | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 82.4 | 76.8 | +5.6 |
| 9 |  Botev 2012 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.8 | 90.2 | -10.3 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 78.4 | 98.6 | -20.2 |
| 11 |  Beroe | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 90.7 | 87.8 | +2.8 |
| 12 |  Levski | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.2 | 92.7 | -13.5 |
| 13 |  Yambol | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 74.0 | 94.2 | -20.2 |
| 14 | Polytechnica | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 70.0 | 94.7 | -24.7 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
