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CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 105-99
27-24 29-20 19-20 30-35
Position#5
Record14-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#11
Record11-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game88.6
BulgariaNBLRound 10· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Cherno More
24 Oct 2026
CSKA62
CHER95
22 Apr 2024
CSKA105
CHER99
04 Nov 2023
CSKA99
CHER64
12 Dec 2022
CSKA97
CHER84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cherno More winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 76
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 76
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 76
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 76
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
46avg 76
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-91
99
91
+8
88avg 76
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
74avg 76
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
75avg 76
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
75avg 76
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
63avg 76
A19/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
23-23
13-23
15-26
8-14
28-25
20-18
25-28
26-20
25-24
24-25
18-17
13-26
20-26
23-13
18-22
17-27
20-22
20-23
21-26
17-23
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
165.7Avg total
76.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.282.4165.5+0.845%
Season at home (15)83.980.2164.1+3.747%
Season away (16)82.484.4166.9-2.044%
Last 10 (10)76.089.7165.7-13.710%
Last 5 (5)81.093.4174.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.286.6164.8-8.38%
vs Similar (9)82.680.3162.9+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.182.5173.6+8.675%
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
75-121
75
121
-46
64avg 73
A02/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
76avg 73
H06/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
64avg 73
H09/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
69-88
69
88
-19
63avg 73
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
60-107
60
107
-47
42avg 73
H23/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
82avg 73
H31/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
70avg 73
H06/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
59-89
59
89
-30
42avg 73
A10/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
62avg 73
A13/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
71avg 73
A20/04
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
24-29
18-36
19-24
15-26
28-20
30-18
16-17
25-24
21-26
19-23
14-22
18-15
15-23
16-28
20-22
14-19
13-23
9-29
24-36
25-28
18-20
28-25
20-26
17-23
16-19
17-22
27-13
16-26
18-21
13-17
12-25
12-12
14-15
20-20
22-33
21-24
25-27
14-24
16-23
170.0Avg total
75.2Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.888.6169.4-7.835%
Season at home (16)83.387.5170.8-4.250%
Season away (15)78.189.7167.9-11.620%
Last 10 (10)75.294.8170.0-19.610%
Last 5 (5)76.091.2167.2-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.390.0169.4-10.729%
vs Similar (3)86.782.0168.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (2)97.078.0175.0+19.0100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -5.1-5.1
CSKA SofiaCherno More
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H13/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
84.1Avg total
41.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.782.7-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.041.584.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.981.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.784.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.887.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.141.680.7-2.542%-
vs Similar (9)40.942.283.1-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.242.487.6+2.962%-
This opponent (Cherno More) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A02/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H06/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H09/03
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H23/03
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/03
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/04
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A13/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A20/04
NBL
82.1Avg total
36.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.885.1-0.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.642.080.6-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)36.945.282.1-8.30%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.079.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)40.143.583.6-3.325%-
vs Similar (3)38.740.379.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)51.035.086.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.1
53.4%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.7
28.6%
31.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.910.7
59.8%
71.1%10.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.1
49.1%
54.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.3
27.8%
31.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.811.4
67.9%
71.1%11.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLLLLL
Cherno More
LLLLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#11
-18.3
Net rating
-24.7
97.5
Offensive rating
92.8
115.8
Defensive rating
117.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.6%
3-point %
27.8%
60.4%
Assist %
53.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 92.8Defence115.8 · 117.4Shooting49.6% · 46.6%3-point %28.6% · 27.8%Ball care20.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Cherno More
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Sofia wins
1
Cherno More wins
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102
13/04/24HChernomorets78-94
10/04/24HRilski Sportist78-88
06/04/24HBalkan80-92
31/03/24ACherno More99-91
28/03/24ABalkan59-86
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ARilski Sportist76-98
13/04/24ABalkan68-80
10/04/24AChernomorets59-89
06/04/24HSpartak Pleven86-90 OT
31/03/24HCSKA Sofia91-99
23/03/24HRilski Sportist60-107
15/03/24ABalkan69-88
09/03/24HBalkan79-95
06/03/24HChernomorets89-81
02/03/24ASpartak Pleven75-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeLLLLL47%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %45%47%44%
Points / game83.283.982.4
Allowed / game82.480.284.4
Point differential+0.8+3.7-2.0
Avg total165.5164.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cherno More
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game80.883.378.1
Allowed / game88.687.589.7
Point differential-7.8-4.2-11.6
Avg total169.4170.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets3125681%85.675.7+10.0
2 Rilski Sportist3123874%85.076.0+9.0
3 Spartak Pleven3122971%87.379.1+8.2
4 Balkan31211068%82.478.0+4.4
5 Shumen31141745%85.982.7+3.2
6 CSKA Sofia31141745%83.282.4+0.8
7 Levski31131842%75.977.4-1.5
8 Academic Plovdiv31121939%80.584.1-3.6
9 Yambol31121939%79.884.7-4.9
10 Minyor31112035%77.281.4-4.2
11 Cherno More31112035%80.888.6-7.8
12 Beroe3182326%80.293.6-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia27291930105
Cherno More2420203599
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