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Braga vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 63-87
10-17 18-26 14-30 21-14
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.1
Braga
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game72.1
PortugalLPBRound 9· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Braga v Benfica
05 Dec 2026
BRAG v BEN
upcoming
13 May 2026
BRAG79
BEN94
28 Dec 2025
BRAG63
BEN87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 75
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 75
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 75
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-103
79
103
-24
69avg 75
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-93
102
93
+9
102avg 75
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 75
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
74avg 75
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 75
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 75
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
61avg 75
A20/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
24-16
22-18
22-18
12-20
12-20
20-13
19-21
9-21
14-23
16-10
19-12
24-19
20-23
19-35
16-26
22-16
22-27
31-26
27-24
19-22
25-12
19-17
21-23
13-22
24-11
13-19
16-11
18-27
24-18
16-24
16-19
22-21
11-26
23-15
27-18
16-25
15-19
18-17
23-21
156.0Avg total
77.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.281.1158.4-3.950%
Season at home (4)71.578.0149.5-6.550%
Season away (4)83.084.2167.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)77.378.7156.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.877.4153.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.075.5145.5-5.550%
vs Similar (4)73.082.8155.8-9.825%
vs Weaker (24)82.573.1155.6+9.571%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
98-57
98
57
+41
105avg 84
H18/10
LPB
Le Mans
#14
L
69-89
69
89
-20
63avg 84
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
77avg 84
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
93avg 84
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 84
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
109-80
109
80
+29
103avg 84
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
69-99
69
99
-30
59avg 84
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
96-70
96
70
+26
85avg 84
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
63-87
63
87
-24
55avg 84
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
91-65
91
65
+26
85avg 84
H21/12
Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
31-10
13-19
29-10
24-21
19-24
8-17
18-27
18-27
22-12
23-21
24-16
26-19
21-23
23-22
23-26
33-21
20-24
27-18
21-17
32-19
36-13
25-22
16-26
18-22
15-21
16-30
20-26
22-16
24-23
29-11
21-20
18-18
17-20
13-22
15-27
31-18
15-18
22-12
23-17
166.9Avg total
87.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.672.1169.7+25.4100%
Season at home (3)98.771.0169.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)96.873.0169.8+23.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.679.3166.9+8.370%
Last 5 (5)85.680.2165.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similar (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)93.976.5170.3+17.495%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
BragaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H06/12
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/12
LPB
77.0Avg total
37.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.3+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.038.275.2-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.137.577.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.077.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (4)32.844.277.0-11.525%-
vs Weaker (24)39.336.776.0+2.658%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H18/10
LPB
Le Mans
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A21/10
Champions League
Vitoria
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A01/11
LPB
Le Mans
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H05/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/11
LPB
Spartak Subotica
#28
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/11
Champions League
Ovarense
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/12
LPB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/12
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H21/12
Super Cup
85.4Avg total
46.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.483.2+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.440.686.0+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)41.637.879.5+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.738.785.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.683.2+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similar (1)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.937.082.9+8.982%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.4
49.9%
52.7%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.18.9
28.6%
32.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
70.4%15.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.1%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
32.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.8
74.3%
70.4%20.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWLWWWLLLW
Benfica
WLWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
-1.3
Net rating
+10.1
99.2
Offensive rating
110.7
100.5
Defensive rating
100.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
20.0%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.44
28.6%
3-point %
34.6%
71.9%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 110.7Defence100.5 · 100.6Shooting46.6% · 51.4%3-point %28.6% · 34.6%Ball care20.0% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 34.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Braga   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Benfica wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AVitoria72-82
06/12/25HImortal83-80
15/11/25ASporting CP74-88
09/11/25HOliveirense66-63
01/11/25AVasco Da Gama84-74
26/10/25AGalitos Barreiro102-93
18/10/25HEsgueira79-103
11/10/25HCA Queluz58-66
18/05/25HCB Queluz63-74
17/05/25HCB Queluz92-64
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HFC Porto91-65
16/12/25AGran Canaria63-87
06/12/25AOvarense96-70
19/11/25ASpartak Subotica69-99
15/11/25HFC Porto109-80
09/11/25ACA Queluz101-80
05/11/25HLe Mans93-90
01/11/25AVitoria87-76
21/10/25ALe Mans69-89
18/10/25HImortal98-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.271.583.0
Allowed / game81.178.084.2
Point differential-3.9-6.5-1.2
Avg total158.4149.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.698.796.8
Allowed / game72.171.073.0
Point differential+25.4+27.7+23.8
Avg total169.7169.7169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica770100%97.672.1+25.4
2 Sporting CP86275%89.279.1+10.1
3 Ovarense86275%79.479.5-0.1
4 Oliveirense85362%86.680.1+6.5
5 FC Porto85362%93.590.0+3.5
6 Esgueira84450%90.593.1-2.6
7 Braga84450%77.281.1-3.9
8 CA Queluz94544%83.483.1+0.3
9 Imortal83538%82.885.6-2.9
10 Vitoria82625%79.888.1-8.4
11 Vasco Da Gama81712%82.990.4-7.5
12 Galitos Barreiro81712%86.4103.8-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1018142163
Benfica1726301487
← all games of the day
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