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Vitoria vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-72
25-16 19-15 17-18 21-23
Position#10
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game90.4
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.0
PortugalLPBRound 8· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vitoria v Braga
23 Jan 2027
VITO v BRAG
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
VITO82
BRAG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 76
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 76
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 76
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 76
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 76
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 76
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 76
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-105
85
105
-20
76avg 76
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 76
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 76
A06/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
24-19
22-21
20-19
20-25
25-31
25-20
17-23
22-19
10-12
19-33
17-24
8-20
27-21
14-27
19-29
23-28
21-16
22-21
15-19
22-25
13-18
16-20
21-13
27-18
12-22
21-23
16-24
26-29
16-27
16-14
27-35
16-25
24-18
20-25
17-26
34-25
21-19
20-29
22-17
170.3Avg total
79.2Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.490.4169.9-11.014%
Season at home (3)73.792.7166.3-19.00%
Season away (4)83.888.8172.5-5.025%
Last 10 (10)79.291.1170.3-11.910%
Last 5 (5)81.490.4171.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.592.6172.1-13.17%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.184.4167.5-1.350%
vs Weaker (5)88.279.6167.8+8.660%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 76
A10/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 76
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 76
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 76
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-103
79
103
-24
69avg 76
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-93
102
93
+9
102avg 76
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 76
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
66-63
66
63
+3
74avg 76
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 76
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 76
H06/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
12-15
14-14
24-23
24-12
24-16
22-18
22-18
12-20
12-20
20-13
19-21
9-21
14-23
16-10
19-12
24-19
20-23
19-35
16-26
22-16
22-27
31-26
27-24
19-22
25-12
19-17
21-23
13-22
24-11
13-19
16-11
18-27
24-18
16-24
16-19
22-21
11-26
23-15
27-18
154.3Avg total
76.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.081.0159.0-3.057%
Season at home (4)71.578.0149.5-6.550%
Season away (3)86.785.0171.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)76.677.7154.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.879.6161.4+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.075.5145.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.383.0156.3-9.733%
vs Weaker (25)83.073.2156.2+9.872%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
VitoriaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
85.5Avg total
40.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.884.5-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.440.981.3-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)42.844.587.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.985.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.287.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.345.184.4-5.814%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.242.484.6-0.260%-
vs Weaker (5)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A01/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A15/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H06/12
LPB
75.7Avg total
36.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.676.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.038.275.2-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)41.236.978.1+4.471%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.175.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.344.377.7-11.033%-
vs Weaker (25)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
52.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
32.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
70.4%15.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.3%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.5
28.5%
32.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
70.4%13.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WLLLLLLLLL
Braga
WLWWWLLLWL
#10
League position
#7
-15.4
Net rating
-0.7
100.0
Offensive rating
99.0
115.4
Defensive rating
99.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
22.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.4%
3-point %
28.5%
46.8%
Assist %
69.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 99.0Defence115.4 · 99.6Shooting49.8% · 47.4%3-point %29.4% · 28.5%Ball care22.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Vitoria   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vitoria wins
0
Braga wins
No previous meetings.
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25AGalitos Barreiro97-90
15/11/25HOvarense77-94
08/11/25AFC Porto85-105
01/11/25HBenfica76-87
18/10/25ACA Queluz72-76
11/10/25AImortal81-84
05/10/25HSporting CP68-97
14/05/25HBenfica68-88
09/05/25ABenfica87-99
26/04/25ABenfica81-91
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HImortal83-80
15/11/25ASporting CP74-88
09/11/25HOliveirense66-63
01/11/25AVasco Da Gama84-74
26/10/25AGalitos Barreiro102-93
18/10/25HEsgueira79-103
11/10/25HCA Queluz58-66
18/05/25HCB Queluz63-74
17/05/25HCB Queluz92-64
10/05/25ACB Queluz65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game79.473.783.8
Allowed / game90.492.788.8
Point differential-11.0-19.0-5.0
Avg total169.9166.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game78.071.586.7
Allowed / game81.078.085.0
Point differential-3.0-6.5+1.7
Avg total159.0149.5171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica770100%97.672.1+25.4
2 Sporting CP75271%89.380.9+8.4
3 Ovarense75271%78.779.1-0.4
4 Oliveirense74357%86.480.7+5.7
5 CA Queluz74357%84.782.3+2.4
6 FC Porto74357%92.191.7+0.4
7 Esgueira74357%91.491.9-0.4
8 Braga74357%78.081.0-3.0
9 Imortal72529%80.085.9-5.9
10 Vasco Da Gama71614%85.190.6-5.4
11 Vitoria71614%79.490.4-11.0
12 Galitos Barreiro71614%87.6103.9-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2519172182
Braga1615182372
← all games of the day
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