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Braga vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-67
14-14 15-18 16-15 26-20
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game69.7
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#7
Record13-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.5
PortugalProligaRound 7· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Braga v Portimonense
11 Oct 2026
BRAG105
PORT71
08 Mar 2025
BRAG71
PORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
109-76
109
76
+33
107avg 75
H21/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
78-93
78
93
-15
65avg 75
A28/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
98avg 75
H04/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 75
A11/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
93-58
93
58
+35
80avg 75
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 75
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
81avg 75
H08/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
73-61
73
61
+12
68avg 75
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
71-54
71
54
+17
68avg 75
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 75
A01/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
22-15
35-25
25-13
25-28
13-13
19-22
21-30
27-23
20-13
20-17
23-25
21-14
23-15
26-15
23-13
29-20
19-22
16-10
29-6
21-20
25-24
21-25
29-14
19-23
19-16
16-13
16-18
21-18
21-15
20-19
11-9
20-19
18-19
15-5
18-11
15-20
21-20
15-22
23-22
157.8Avg total
86.0Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.269.7153.9+14.580%
Season at home (10)86.467.2153.6+19.290%
Season away (10)82.072.1154.1+9.970%
Last 10 (10)86.071.8157.8+14.280%
Last 5 (5)79.471.2150.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (8)75.878.5154.2-2.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.269.7153.9+14.580%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
94avg 69
H28/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
62-59
62
59
+3
54avg 69
A04/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
83-64
83
64
+19
84avg 69
H11/01
Proliga
Benfica
#3
L
55-104
55
104
-49
51avg 69
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CB Queluz
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
90avg 69
H25/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 69
A01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
76-60
76
60
+16
74avg 69
H08/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 69
H22/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
86-60
86
60
+26
88avg 69
A25/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
67avg 69
H02/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
29-23
23-17
15-22
15-21
17-10
12-17
18-11
25-17
19-20
20-16
19-11
14-15
16-34
10-32
15-23
23-20
22-29
24-19
19-25
25-20
21-20
18-15
20-12
16-25
23-12
21-14
16-9
13-18
21-17
13-23
23-23
24-11
19-16
24-16
19-17
14-21
20-15
30-21
15-17
150.4Avg total
76.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.772.5149.2+4.265%
Season at home (11)75.772.7148.5+3.064%
Season away (9)77.972.3150.2+5.667%
Last 10 (10)76.973.5150.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)79.068.4147.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.486.4153.9-19.00%
vs Similar (13)78.174.6152.7+3.569%
vs Weaker (9)77.470.6148.0+6.967%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
BragaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H25/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H22/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
Proliga
80.6Avg total
42.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.777.2+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.177.5+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.337.576.8+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.080.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.878.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (8)38.138.977.0-0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.035.677.6+6.370%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/01
Proliga
Benfica
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CB Queluz
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H25/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/02
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H22/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/03
Proliga
77.0Avg total
39.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.878.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.939.477.4-1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)41.138.179.2+3.069%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.577.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.074.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.943.983.7-4.029%-
vs Similar (13)38.037.375.3+0.769%-
vs Weaker (9)41.836.077.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.8
48.9%
49.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.116.5
68.5%
68.4%16.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.0
56.7%
49.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.8
31.3%
30.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.312.1
62.7%
68.4%12.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWWWWWWWLW
Portimonense
WWLWWLLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+16.5
Net rating
+10.0
105.2
Offensive rating
101.6
88.7
Defensive rating
91.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
40.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
23.7%
39.2%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
31.3%
63.0%
Assist %
65.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 101.6Defence88.7 · 91.6Shooting48.9% · 52.9%3-point %32.6% · 31.3%Ball care20.7% · 23.7%Off. rebounds39.2% · 34.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Braga   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Portimonense wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AVasco Da Gama74-84
22/02/25HImortal B71-54
15/02/25AIlliabum73-61
08/02/25HSangalhos83-74 OT
01/02/25ACB Queluz96-83
25/01/25HCAB Madeira93-58
11/01/25AGalitos Aveiro93-57
04/01/25HSangalhos90-78
28/12/24AVasco Da Gama78-93
21/12/24HGinasio109-76
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HCAB Madeira79-74
25/02/25AImortal B86-60
22/02/25HVasco Da Gama70-81
08/02/25HIlliabum76-60
01/02/25ASangalhos84-67
25/01/25HCB Queluz88-93
19/01/25HBenfica55-104
11/01/25HBenfica Lisboa B83-64
04/01/25ACAB Madeira62-59
28/12/24HBarreirense86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game84.286.482.0
Allowed / game69.767.272.1
Point differential+14.6+19.2+9.9
Avg total153.8153.6154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%70%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Portimonense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %65%64%67%
Points / game76.775.777.9
Allowed / game72.572.772.3
Point differential+4.2+3.0+5.6
Avg total149.2148.5150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vasco Da Gama2117481%82.976.5+6.4
2 Braga2016480%84.269.7+14.6
3 CB Queluz2114767%77.773.9+3.8
4 Portimonense2013765%76.772.5+4.2
5 Illiabum2012860%74.368.2+6.2
6 CAB Madeira2012860%75.269.2+6.0
7 Santo Andre1911858%72.468.8+3.6
8 Lusitania20101050%76.074.7+1.3
9 Imortal B2091145%66.871.3-4.5
10 Maia1981142%75.680.9-5.3
11 Ginasio2081240%79.885.6-5.8
12 Sampaense2081240%79.285.5-6.4
13 Sangalhos2071335%77.277.9-0.8
14 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%67.975.5-7.5
15 Barreirense2061430%71.075.8-4.7
16 Galitos Aveiro2021810%67.579.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1415162671
Portimonense1418152067
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