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Braga vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 109-76
27-23 22-15 35-25 25-13
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game67.5
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.1
PortugalProligaRound 11· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
72avg 72
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 72
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 72
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 72
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 72
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 72
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
79-51
79
51
+28
83avg 72
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 72
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 72
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 72
H13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-14
24-15
24-16
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
23-8
13-16
16-21
27-6
24-16
23-18
23-13
26-12
21-17
25-18
27-24
22-17
11-13
17-22
22-11
17-25
149.9Avg total
82.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.467.5149.9+14.980%
Season at home (5)83.666.4150.0+17.280%
Season away (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Last 10 (10)82.467.5149.9+14.980%
Last 5 (5)83.262.4145.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (14)75.775.0150.7+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.268.0149.2+13.277%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-70
59
70
-11
46avg 71
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
64avg 71
H12/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 71
A19/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 71
H26/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
76avg 71
A01/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
92-109
92
109
-17
77avg 71
A09/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 71
H16/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 71
H30/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
101-66
101
66
+35
111avg 71
H14/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
13-13
12-22
26-13
15-18
18-14
26-30
19-10
18-22
27-28
17-18
17-18
26-25
8-22
15-19
29-18
23-24
12-20
21-10
22-23
19-31
26-26
20-27
27-25
15-21
25-25
19-18
23-16
16-20
17-15
21-21
26-20
22-21
22-25
19-25
27-30
22-19
34-13
28-18
17-16
163.8Avg total
81.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.782.1163.8-0.450%
Season at home (5)83.875.6159.4+8.280%
Season away (5)79.688.6168.2-9.020%
Last 10 (10)81.782.1163.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)89.086.4175.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.388.5155.8-21.218%
vs Similar (6)81.279.3160.5+1.850%
vs Weaker (2)69.573.0142.5-3.550%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
BragaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/12
Proliga
74.6Avg total
41.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.836.575.3+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.375.3+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.333.374.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.871.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (14)37.838.676.4-0.921%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.333.874.2+6.577%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A05/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A09/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H14/12
Proliga
81.0Avg total
38.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.042.179.1-5.225%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.439.277.5-0.838%-
Last 30 away (15)35.744.780.5-9.013%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.481.0-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.286.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.144.080.1-7.920%-
vs Similar (6)43.238.581.7+4.750%-
vs Weaker (2)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.8
53.9%
49.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.9
32.4%
30.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.812.3
62.1%
68.4%12.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.6
53.0%
49.9%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.7
30.8%
30.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.3%
68.4%11.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWWWWWWLWW
Ginasio
WLWWLWLLWL
#1
League position
#14
+20.1
Net rating
-3.1
108.7
Offensive rating
104.4
88.6
Defensive rating
107.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
40.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
30.8%
67.4%
Assist %
47.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 104.4Defence88.6 · 107.5Shooting51.9% · 50.2%3-point %32.4% · 30.8%Ball care17.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.3% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Braga   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
0
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Ginasio v Braga78-84
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HIlliabum67-71
07/12/24AMaia95-76
30/11/24HSampaense96-59
16/11/24HGalitos Aveiro79-51
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75
05/10/24ASampaense81-65
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HMaia101-66
07/12/24ASampaense90-101
30/11/24HGalitos Aveiro80-76
16/11/24HSangalhos82-80
09/11/24AVasco Da Gama92-109
01/11/24AIlliabum78-77
26/10/24HBraga78-84
19/10/24AMaia79-86
12/10/24HSampaense78-72
05/10/24AGalitos Aveiro59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game82.483.681.2
Allowed / game67.566.468.6
Point differential+14.9+17.2+12.6
Avg total149.9150.0149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game81.783.879.6
Allowed / game82.175.688.6
Point differential-0.4+8.2-9.0
Avg total163.8159.4168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga108280%82.467.5+14.9
2 Illiabum118373%77.565.5+11.9
3 Vasco Da Gama118373%83.377.6+5.6
4 Imortal B107370%67.366.2+1.1
5 CAB Madeira128467%75.864.8+10.9
6 CB Queluz117464%72.870.3+2.5
7 Portimonense116555%74.574.5+0.0
8 Ginasio105550%81.782.1-0.4
9 Sangalhos115645%76.876.8+0.0
10 Maia115645%75.584.3-8.8
11 Santo Andre125742%67.870.4-2.7
12 Lusitania104640%71.672.9-1.3
13 Barreirense114736%67.971.1-3.2
14 Benfica Lisboa B113827%65.173.3-8.2
15 Sampaense113827%76.386.2-9.9
16 Galitos Aveiro111109%66.078.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga27223525109
Ginasio2315251376
← all games of the day
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