PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vasco Da Gama vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-78
28-25 13-13 22-19 30-21
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game68.3
PortugalProligaRound 12· Parque das Camélias
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco Da Gama v Braga
01 Nov 2025
VASC74
BRAG84
01 Mar 2025
VASC84
BRAG74
28 Dec 2024
VASC93
BRAG78
27 Jan 2024
VASC75
BRAG89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco Da Gama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
71-67
71
67
+4
56avg 75
H12/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 75
A19/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 75
H26/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 75
A01/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
109-92
109
92
+17
111avg 75
H09/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
69avg 75
A16/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
75avg 75
H30/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
96-80
96
80
+16
82avg 75
A07/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 75
H14/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
76-78
76
78
-2
72avg 75
A21/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-24
18-18
16-10
12-23
19-19
27-18
20-20
20-21
21-14
13-23
28-19
22-25
14-24
16-16
24-17
31-19
26-26
27-20
25-27
21-13
16-14
23-13
19-27
27-25
20-20
20-27
18-12
16-22
32-15
28-16
20-27
25-15
19-20
22-21
17-20
18-13
19-26
25-19
14-20
161.8Avg total
83.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.6160.9+5.673%
Season at home (5)86.079.2165.2+6.8100%
Season away (6)81.076.3157.3+4.750%
Last 10 (10)83.578.3161.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)83.877.0160.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Similar (13)84.185.1169.2-1.046%
vs Weaker (16)84.877.9162.7+6.975%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 73
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 73
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 73
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 73
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
79-55
79
55
+24
77avg 73
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
79-51
79
51
+28
83avg 73
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
96-59
96
59
+37
100avg 73
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
93avg 73
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 73
H13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
109-76
109
76
+33
107avg 73
H21/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
20-13
19-24
27-17
16-22
22-14
15-17
14-16
25-26
22-8
19-15
18-29
25-22
24-14
16-16
17-24
23-13
18-18
23-14
15-10
23-8
13-16
16-21
27-6
24-16
23-18
23-13
26-12
21-17
25-18
27-24
22-17
11-13
17-22
22-11
17-25
27-23
22-15
35-25
25-13
153.8Avg total
85.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.868.3153.1+16.582%
Season at home (6)87.868.0155.8+19.883%
Season away (5)81.268.6149.8+12.680%
Last 10 (10)85.268.6153.8+16.680%
Last 5 (5)89.266.6155.8+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.0151.0-5.050%
vs Similar (13)74.174.3148.4-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.268.6151.8+14.679%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
Vasco Da GamaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H12/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A19/10
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/10
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A01/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H09/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A16/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/12
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A21/12
Proliga
80.8Avg total
41.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.284.3+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.340.079.3-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.380.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.679.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.049.085.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (13)42.840.383.2+2.569%-
vs Weaker (16)40.839.480.2+1.444%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H12/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A26/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H01/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A09/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H16/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/11
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A07/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H21/12
Proliga
76.6Avg total
42.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.574.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.835.774.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.037.375.3+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.933.776.6+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.274.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.539.073.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (13)36.937.874.7-0.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.934.175.1+6.879%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.0
50.2%
49.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.6
29.1%
30.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.918.7
72.2%
68.4%18.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.523.9
53.7%
49.9%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
30.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.213.7
61.7%
68.4%13.7
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco Da Gama
LWWWWWLWLW
Braga
WLWWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+22.2
106.0
Offensive rating
109.0
99.4
Defensive rating
86.9
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.1%
3-point %
32.9%
52.4%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 109.0Defence99.4 · 86.9Shooting48.0% · 52.2%3-point %29.1% · 32.9%Ball care16.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 34.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Vasco Da Gama   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vasco Da Gama wins
3
Braga wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Braga v Vasco Da Gama82-76
27/01/24Vasco Da Gama v Braga75-89
25/11/23Braga v Vasco Da Gama97-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AMaia76-78
14/12/24HSampaense83-76
07/12/24AGalitos Aveiro96-80
30/11/24HSangalhos85-84
16/11/24AIlliabum79-67
09/11/24HGinasio109-92
01/11/24ABraga76-82
26/10/24HMaia82-77
19/10/24ASampaense78-80
12/10/24HGalitos Aveiro71-67
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HGinasio109-76
13/12/24HIlliabum67-71
07/12/24AMaia95-76
30/11/24HSampaense96-59
16/11/24HGalitos Aveiro79-51
09/11/24ASangalhos79-55
01/11/24HVasco Da Gama82-76
26/10/24AGinasio84-78
19/10/24AIlliabum67-69
12/10/24HMaia94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco Da Gama
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game83.386.081.0
Allowed / game77.679.276.3
Point differential+5.6+6.8+4.7
Avg total160.9165.2157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game84.887.881.2
Allowed / game68.368.068.6
Point differential+16.5+19.8+12.6
Avg total153.1155.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga119282%84.868.3+16.5
2 Illiabum129375%78.767.1+11.6
3 Vasco Da Gama118373%83.377.6+5.6
4 Imortal B107370%67.366.2+1.1
5 CAB Madeira128467%75.864.8+10.9
6 CB Queluz117464%72.870.3+2.5
7 Portimonense127558%75.574.4+1.1
8 Sangalhos126650%77.877.6+0.2
9 Santo Andre125742%67.870.4-2.7
10 Ginasio125742%81.485.2-3.8
11 Maia125742%76.384.6-8.2
12 Lusitania104640%71.672.9-1.3
13 Barreirense124833%68.372.3-4.0
14 Benfica Lisboa B113827%65.173.3-8.2
15 Sampaense113827%76.386.2-9.9
16 Galitos Aveiro111109%66.078.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco Da Gama2813223093
Braga2513192178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.