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Braga vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 95-86
25-26 20-25 28-19 22-16
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game67.7
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sampaense
Portugal
Position#16
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game97.0
PortugalProligaRound 4· Arena SC Braga
Other2023-24
Meetings · Braga v Sampaense
30 Nov 2024
BRAG96
SAMP59
04 Nov 2023
BRAG95
SAMP86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
56-108
56
108
-52
no box
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 72
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 72
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 72
H28/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-23
14-24
16-30
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
151.5Avg total
73.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.767.7147.3+12.067%
Season at home (2)79.560.5140.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)80.082.0162.0-2.00%
Last 10 (4)73.877.8151.5-4.050%
Last 5 (4)73.877.8151.5-4.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)67.056.0123.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)86.073.5159.5+12.550%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
W
116-111
116
111
+5
no box
H25/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A05/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
H11/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H18/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A26/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
no box
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
99-80
99
80
+19
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
69avg 66
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
84-100
84
100
-16
79avg 66
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 66
H28/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
30-28
17-26
38-35
26-32
21-15
20-23
20-12
20-32
23-19
17-20
20-20
17-22
19-24
15-21
27-18
24-22
20-17
21-31
22-20
25-18
13-27
35-15
17-20
22-31
27-21
27-13
23-15
20-29
23-12
23-39
24-27
20-26
30-30
15-27
19-17
22-21
7-20
24-27
10-16
178.4Avg total
87.4Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.097.0176.0-18.00%
Season at home (2)73.592.0165.5-18.50%
Season away (1)90.0107.0197.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)87.491.0178.4-3.640%
Last 5 (5)85.290.2175.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.886.1160.9-11.418%
vs Similar (11)87.586.6174.1+0.855%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
BragaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
67.5Avg total
32.0Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
Last 30 at home (3)29.735.365.0-5.733%-
Last 30 away (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
Last 10 (4)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
Last 5 (4)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)22.022.044.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H25/02
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H11/03
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H18/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/03
Proliga
Belenenses
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H01/04
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/10
Proliga
90.8Avg total
44.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.382.6-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.642.783.3-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.981.9-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.890.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.088.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.440.677.9-3.235%-
vs Similar (11)44.646.491.0-1.736%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.576.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.318.7
45.2%
50.4%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.0
35.7%
31.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.311.7
63.6%
69.3%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.324.0
58.1%
50.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.76.3
24.7%
31.2%19.0
🏀 Free throws15.712.0
76.6%
69.3%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WLWL
Sampaense
LLLWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#16
+15.2
Net rating
-21.2
100.4
Offensive rating
100.7
85.1
Defensive rating
122.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
39.6%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.7%
3-point %
24.7%
54.7%
Assist %
44.0%
50%
Form (last 4/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 100.7Defence85.1 · 122.0Shooting48.6% · 50.0%3-point %35.7% · 24.7%Ball care19.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.8% · 23.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 4/10)50% · 40%
■ Braga   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Sampaense wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
21/10/23AMaia80-82
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56
10/12/22HSporting CP56-108
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HIlliabum63-84
21/10/23HAcademica84-100
14/10/23AVasco Da Gama90-107
08/04/23AGinasio Olhanense99-80
01/04/23HBelenenses90-80
26/03/23ABarreirense87-90
18/03/23HBenfica Lisboa B78-85
11/03/23HGinasio Olhanense80-91
05/03/23ABelenenses87-82
25/02/23HBarreirense116-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.779.580.0
Allowed / game67.760.582.0
Point differential+12.0+19.0-2.0
Avg total147.3140.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.073.590.0
Allowed / game97.092.0107.0
Point differential-18.0-18.5-17.0
Avg total176.0165.5197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz440100%88.265.8+22.5
2 Maia330100%80.775.0+5.7
3 Braga32167%79.767.7+12.0
4 Illiabum32167%80.071.3+8.7
5 Vasco Da Gama32167%86.378.0+8.3
6 Imortal B32167%73.372.0+1.3
7 CAB Madeira32167%76.775.7+1.0
8 Barreirense42250%79.877.5+2.2
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%75.079.8-4.8
10 Santo Andre42250%78.885.2-6.5
11 Galitos Aveiro31233%78.082.3-4.3
12 Academica31233%76.381.3-5.0
13 Sangalhos31233%66.373.7-7.3
14 Benfica Lisboa B41325%68.876.2-7.5
15 Ginasio Olhanense4040%75.283.0-7.8
16 Sampaense3030%79.097.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2520282295
Sampaense2625191686
← all games of the day
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